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Bye bye MEAT! How will the post-meat future look?

How reluctant are you to give up your meat habit?


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This what the world is up against:

Livestock: 14.5% of the climate problem but 0.5% of top-tier media coverage

The lack of awareness of the climate impact of industrial meat is in part due to media under-reporting on the matter. New analysis by Madre Brava of top-tier news outlets in the US, UK and English-language EU media found that only 0.5% of articles on climate mentioned meat or livestock as a source of emissions [3].

In the climate stories that did note meat’s contribution to climate change – fewer than 450 articles out of nearly 92,000 between January 2020 and June 2022 - the top three solutions most cited included: first, government regulations on industrial meat production, followed by a call for industry to increase the availability and variety of meat substitutes. In third place comes asking people to reduce their meat consumption – or to stop it altogether.
Nico Muzi, managing director of Madre Brava, said: "The bad news is that people don’t know about the ‘cow’ in the room: livestock’s outsized role in driving climate change. The good news is that people show concern and do care when informed about the impact of industrial meat on the climate."
Livestock (meat and dairy) occupies 77% of the world’s farmland to produce 18% of all calories and 37% of all proteins produced globally. Animal agriculture, mainly cattle and soy animal feed, is the largest driver of global deforestation.

 
That article considers mussels alongside snails, but these are two quite separate cases, I would say. For example, this bit:



is most easily explained as non-conscious behaviour. A cue taken from the group, such as chemicals given off by individual mussels reaching a threshold level, alters the behaviour of individuals in the group. That doesn't necessarily require the taking of a conscious decision.

I'm not entirely convinced by the argument about the so-called 'hard' problem of consciousness. I think it's quite clear that many animals have minds - ie generate conscious experience - and not only that, it's also clear when they're conscious - ie when they're awake. We respond to various environmental cues in ways that are considerably more complex than this example of mussels in a group when we're under general anaesthetic, but we don't suffer because we're not conscious. There are still lots of unanswered questions as to how we create conscious experience, but it's not unknowable in a mysterious way as those who push the 'hard' problem seem to suppose. It involves the creation of perceptions, and that involves considerable coordination of neuronal firing. So to experience pain doesn't just involve having pain receptors that produce a reaction by the whole organism to move away from fire or whatever. It also requires the generation of conscious awareness within which the quale 'pain' is experienced.

Language like 'most easily explained' and 'doesn't necessarily require' kinda concedes there's quite a bit of guesswork going on, which there always is when it comes to the problem of other minds. There can never be a deductive proof that another entity is conscious, only different degrees of inductive or abductive evidence assigned varying degrees of credence.

Whilst it might now be 'quite clear that many animals have minds', it wasn't to many of the world's most distinguished scientists until fairly recently. For centuries, many scientists have held that all, most or many animals are not conscious because they lack souls, language, metacognition, neo-cortexes, amygdalae or hippocampi. In the heyday of behaviourism it was considered verboten to attribute any animal behaviour to any internal thought processes that animals might have. But incremental and Kuhnian shifts in the sciences have led to broad rejections of these anthropocentric arguments against animal consciousness.

In light of this history and given that the science of consciousness is still in its infancy we ought to adopt an epistemic humility and an ethical cautiousness concerning the sentience of other creatures. Evidence of nociception, endogenous opioid production and cost-benefit trade offs in bivalves, though far from conclusive, is at least grounds for caution imo.
 
They do have an uncentralized nervous system that allows them to react to their environment, but most scientists conclude that their brain/nervous system isn’t advanced enough to perceive pain in the traditional sense that other animals can.

I think LBJ's idea is a good one. I support the farming of shellfish like mussels, clams & oysters!
still just speculation. sorry.
 
You're quite right that throughout much of the 20th century, ethology was in the grips of Skinnerism to the extent that it was career-death for a researcher to even mention 'minds'.

That we are thankfully moving beyond that is great, but that doesn't mean it's a free-for-all wrt assigning conscious experience. Nocioception of itself is not sufficient, while cost-benefit trade offs of various kinds are undertaken by all living things, including bacteria. Endogenous opioid production is interesting, but many very simple animals have different moods. Nematode worms, for instance, with their 302 neurons, experience moods.

As for using a rule of parsimony wrt explanations, I think that is justified in the case of assigning consciousness precisely because, from what we know about it, being conscious takes organisation and considerable effort and energy, as shown by the fact that all the animals we do think are conscious have to switch off that consciousness at regular intervals in order to stay alive. There are sea creatures that have more complex nervous systems when they are in a mobile larval stage then eat their own brains when they become adults and settle down to a sessile lifestyle. They don't need them any more - no organism keeps something that costs energy if they don't need it, and if they don't need it at any time in their lives, they quickly evolve never to develop it in the first place.
 
still just speculation. sorry.

I'm not entirely sure what you would count as non-speculation in that case.

There is a theory put forward by some that mind is somehow a fundamental property of matter - so-called panpsychism. I think it's a bad theory. I don't think it's coherent because for mind to exist, perceptions need to be created. Panpsychism doesn't explain how it is that our minds are switched off by general anaesthetic. To be meaningful, I think you need to define mind a bit more carefully and fully than that, certainly if you want to attribute experience and a capacity for suffering to it. And you also need to look at why and how conscious perception/experience has evolved, because to be meaningful it has to be looked at as an evolved capacity of some living organisms. That's what we mean when we talk about our conscious awareness - the one we have direct access to (or not, in the case of being unconscious).
 
I wonder if we get misled into focusing too much on consciousness per se, rather than on awareness of the passing of time — being able to find meaning in the past and future. A dog is clearly conscious but I would suggest that it can’t represent the future, only exist in the ever changing now
 
I wonder if we get misled into focusing too much on consciousness per se, rather than on awareness of the passing of time — being able to find meaning in the past and future. A dog is clearly conscious but I would suggest that it can’t represent the future, only exist in the ever changing now
In the context of Bentham's question 'can it suffer?', existence in an ever-changing now would be sufficient. The point about consciousness is that it is itself a representation - both of the world and of the entity experiencing the world: me in the world. For suffering to exist, that representation needs to exist. And it has a physical correlate. We may not yet fully understand what that correlate is, but we also don't have no idea at all what kind of thing it is.
 
In the context of Bentham's question 'can it suffer?', existence in an ever-changing now would be sufficient. The point about consciousness is that it is itself a representation - both of the world and of the entity experiencing the world: me in the world. For suffering to exist, that representation needs to exist. And it has a physical correlate. We may not yet fully understand what that correlate is, but we also don't have no idea at all what kind of thing it is.
Oh, no question that an ever-present now is enough for suffering. I thought we’d moved the discussion on.
 
I wonder if we get misled into focusing too much on consciousness per se, rather than on awareness of the passing of time — being able to find meaning in the past and future. A dog is clearly conscious but I would suggest that it can’t represent the future, only exist in the ever changing now
Dogs can react to anticipatory threats based on past experience though?
 
That’s absolutely true, but I would argue for a behavioural rather than cognitive underpinning. I could be wrong.
I can give you a simple example of forward planning from my old cat. He was sat staring through the window at the back garden from the first floor when another cat jumped up on the garden fence (he loathed all other cats and did not tolerate them in his garden). Upon seeing his enemy, he smartly about-turned and ran out of the room, downstairs, into the kitchen, through the cat flap and into the garden to see off the rival. He had a goal - see off that cat. And he made a plan - turn away from the other cat so that it and the garden are no longer in view and dash outside taking the appropriate route.

That might sound simple, but it's something of a cognitive feat.

Another example comes from Konrad Lorentz's pet greylag goose. It used to come inside the house and would usually dash straight upstairs. There was a wonky floorboard half-way up the staircase, which it had learned to dodge. It kept up this habit even once the floorboard had been fixed. One day, feeling particularly excited, the goose ran inside and dashed to the top of the stairs before stopping dead in its tracks. It stood there for a moment, then went back down the stairs to carefully climb them once more. In its excitement, it had forgotten to take the detour and, being a highly superstitious animal without a firm grasp of cause and effect, it was clearly horrified by the thought of having taken the wrong route. It rectified the situation by climbing the stairs a second time taking the 'correct' route.

Other animals such as dogs, cats and geese are certainly capable of imagining an action and its outcome before carrying that action out. That involves some concept of the future.
 
How large are your snails? :eek: :D
To be completely honest. I don't have a big issue here with snails and slugs because we're blessed with some spiky friends that track them down at night. But my old gaff was a walled terrace garden and they were in the hundreds there.
I'm quite enamoured by gastropoda. They're amazing animals and as long as they fuck off out of the greenhouse they're free to roam here until Harry gets them. .
 
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"... the IPCC report’s authors initially recommended a shift to plant-based diets, stating that “plant-based diets can reduce GHG emissions by up to 50% compared to the average emission-intensive Western diet,” according to a draft leaked by Scientist Rebellion.

"In the published report, the line was changed to “balanced, sustainable healthy diets acknowledging nutritional needs,” skirting a direct mention of beef and dairy, what a sustainable diet actually looks like, or any reference to the Western and largely wealthy countries that should most urgently start eating less meat."

 
"... the IPCC report’s authors initially recommended a shift to plant-based diets, stating that “plant-based diets can reduce GHG emissions by up to 50% compared to the average emission-intensive Western diet,” according to a draft leaked by Scientist Rebellion.

"In the published report, the line was changed to “balanced, sustainable healthy diets acknowledging nutritional needs,” skirting a direct mention of beef and dairy, what a sustainable diet actually looks like, or any reference to the Western and largely wealthy countries that should most urgently start eating less meat."

They're fucking worse than the tobacco industry in the 60s/70s.
 
An aspect that gets lost in this discussion is the extent of what is described here as the Peasant Food Web. It's the source of most of the world's food, and its network of small producers needs supporting.

https://www.etcgroup.org/sites/www.etcgroup.org/files/files/etc-whowillfeedus-english-webshare.pdf
The Peasant Food Web nurtures 9-100 times the biodiversity used by the [Industrial] Chain, across plants, livestock, fish and forests. Peasants have the knowledge, innovative energy and networks needed to respond to climate change; they have the operational scope and scale; and they are closest to the hungry and malnourished.

Those of us who live in the rich north are stuck in the industrial food chain whether we like it or not. But we are not the world. Good to show some humility towards the accumulated wisdom of tens of thousands of years (going back before farming). Not all the solutions to the mess we're in come from high-tech and big corporations. They're mostly the problem.
 
Peasants, especially those living near the equator, soon will struggle to grow maize and wheat if Western patterns of extraction and consumption, including consumption of meat, continue at present rates.
 
So one the one hand the meat industry is trying to cover up the impact they have on the climate and try to encourage people to keep on eating meat like everything is just fine and dandy.

And on the other hand, there's this:

Forty of the world’s largest livestock producers may collectively see profits fall by almost $24 billion in 2030 from 2020 levels, as a result of climate change, according to an estimate by a large investor group known as FAIRR.

The forecast reduction in profits mainly reflects a jump in feed prices and carbon taxes. The group of 40 companies could see profit margins fall by 7%. Those in North America, including Tyson Foods Inc. and egg producer Cal-Maine Foods Inc., will be among the hardest hit as profit margins fall by 11% on average, the data indicate. Other large meat producers such as Brazil’s JBS SA and China’s WH Group Ltd. will also be affected, according to FAIRR.

 
Are any of the worlds petrochemical companies encouraging motorists to reduce the amount of fuel they're using? Of course they're not.

I'm not sure why anyone would think that the meat industry would encourage anyone to stop eating their main product.

The price of the product will go up and people will just revert to buying the cheapest available meat like factory pork and chicken probably.
 
Are any of the worlds petrochemical companies encouraging motorists to reduce the amount of fuel they're using? Of course they're not.

I'm not sure why anyone would think that the meat industry would encourage anyone to stop eating their main product.

The price of the product will go up and people will just revert to buying the cheapest available meat like factory pork and chicken probably.
Yes, this is why cheering figures showing a decline in meat buying due to an economic crisis is wrong-headed. Bit of joined-up thinking is needed here.

And it's not just meat. Poor practices and destructive monocultures for plants are also hugely damaging to the environment. Poor farming practices are bad full stop.
 
There seems to be some hysteria in the blogosphere about the fact that the IPCCs recent climate emergency announcements focussed (correctly) on fossil fuel use and not meat.
For balance, here is a referenced blog post (edited by another of the "wrong scientists" Prof Frederik Leroy):
Livestock and greenhouse gas emissions

If nothing else, it'll keep the conspiracy theorists on here going.

If I can be arsed (or I think anyone will read it), I'll post some work I've done on Poore and Nemecek 2018, although its pretty outdated at this point.
 
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