World Cup betting tips

[AverageJoe]

I am going to do a blog each day highlighting any world cup bets for the day that I think are overpriced etc.

The blog is here - http://bit.ly/b2TBYH

My tip for the day is for the first goal in the South Africa vs Mexico game being scored by a direct free kick or corner - its 18/1!

With that new ball I reckon this could be a very high scoring tournie, and direct free kicks are going to be like when you were a kid and were playing in goal using one of those plastic balls you would buy from a garage.

Anyway else got any betting tips?

 

[kained&able]

do mexico or SA have anyone who is decent on free kicks?

 

[AverageJoe]

I dunno tbh but there are only 6 ways to score - shot from inside the box (8/11), header (4/1), shot from outside the box (4/1), Penalty (10/1), Own Goal (16/1), Direct from Free Kick or Corner (18/1)

Whilst its unlikely it will be a direct from a corner, there *has* to be value in a Direct from free kick - surely!

 

[rover07]

Own goal looks good at 16/1

 

[King Biscuit Time]

Surely it's 'Direct from Free Kick' or 'Corner' rather than Direct from 'Free Kick or Corner'?

 

[Dr. Furface]

I'd say penalty at 10/1 - not that I'd ever do this sort of bet. Personally I'd rather bet on last goal (if you can) as that way your bet lasts longer.

 

[AverageJoe]

Surely it's 'Direct from Free Kick' or 'Corner' rather than Direct from 'Free Kick or Corner'?

I think its either - direct from a corner with no other touch, or a direct free kick.

Quite why they are priced the same though I have no idea....

Carlos Vela or Steven Pienaar might be a good bet for scoring too.

 

[Termite Man]

my betting tip for this world cup is bet on the teams that are going to win .

 

[RaverDrew]

my betting tip for this world cup is bet on the teams that are going to win .

More money to be made laying teams imo, especially in the knock-out rounds.

 

[Teaboy]

My tip for the England game is bet with Paddy Power, you get any losing bets refunded if Rooney scores, there has to be a fair chance of that happening so a good covering bet.

 

[twistedAM]

Uruguay to get the most red cards in the tournament 16/1

Other ones to look at: Argentina 14/1 and Serbia 18/1

 

[nicksonic]

Uruguay to get the most red cards in the tournament 16/1

Other ones to look at: Argentina 14/1 and Serbia 18/1

serbia definitely the best value on that one i'd say.

i may bet on the top two from each group...

 

[AverageJoe]

Stojkovic of Serbia is 50/1 to concede the least goals.

The back 4 in front of him includes Ivanovic of Chelsea and Vidic of Man Utd.

They also qualified ahead of France and only conceded 8 goals in qualifying

 

[nicksonic]

Stojkovic of Serbia is 50/1 to concede the least goals.

The back 4 in front of him includes Ivanovic of Chelsea and Vidic of Man Utd.

They also qualified ahead of France and only conceded 8 goals in qualifying

but got zero points in the last world cup and conceded six in one game.

 

[Teaboy]

but got zero points in the last world cup and conceded six in one game.

They are also in a pretty tough group and are likely to face an on-fire England in the last 16.

 

[Badgers]

http://www.bigfreebet.com/

 

[AverageJoe]

but got zero points in the last world cup and conceded six in one game.

That was 4 years ago!!!

 

[AverageJoe]

http://www.bigfreebet.com/

My blog has a load of those too....

http://theboymitchell.com/world-cup-2010-day-1-tips-and-preview/

 

[Teaboy]

Shameless ^^

 

[RaverDrew]

Stojkovic of Serbia is 50/1 to concede the least goals.

The back 4 in front of him includes Ivanovic of Chelsea and Vidic of Man Utd.

They also qualified ahead of France and only conceded 8 goals in qualifying

Stojkovic has been receiving a lot of criticism for the way he's played this season. He seems to be suffering a crisis of confidence atm and had a couple of absolute stinkers in the warm-up friendlies.

but got zero points in the last world cup and conceded six in one game.

I wouldn't put much weight at all on previous competition form or H2H's. The squads and managers are completely different 2-4 years down the line. Especially in the case of the Yugoslav teams who've seen their countries split and form independent teams.

I still think Serbia are dark horses for the tournament, and capable of getting a result against anyone on their day. It's a shame that Vučinić decided to play for Montenegro instead, he and Zigic would have been a lethal partnership up front, which I see as Serbia's weakest area at this tournament.

 

[nicksonic]

That was 4 years ago!!!

put the money on!

i think you'll find they qualified amazingly last time too with a good defensive record.

 

[nicksonic]

I still think Serbia are dark horses for the tournament, and capable of getting a result against anyone on their day.

thing is though, when was the last time a dark horse won a major championship? denmark 18 years ago...?

 

[ivebeenhigh]

thing is though, when was the last time a dark horse won a major championship? denmark 18 years ago...?

Greece

 

[nicksonic]

Greece

good point

eta: they weren't really dark horses, but yes it was a shock result.

 

[nicksonic]

actually by that logic neither were denmark.

 

[Teaboy]

I'd also argue that Italy winning four years ago was a bit of a shock, mostly because their team wasnt very good.

 

[Termite Man]

Argentina to score most goals might be a good bet , they are apparently playing with effectivly 5 strikers according to an argentinian source of mine .

 

[nicksonic]

I'd also argue that Italy winning four years ago was a bit of a shock, mostly because their team wasnt very good.

there's not much expectation in italy this time round, no *great* individuals in the team apart from buffon really but lippi is an excellent manager.

 

[nicksonic]

Argentina to score most goals might be a good bet , they are apparently playing with effectivly 5 strikers according to an argentinian source of mine .

i think robinho might do well. brazil are in with north korea so should rack up a few in that game.

 

[AverageJoe]

It will be Luis Fabiano that gets most of the goals for Brazil though methinks