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Ukraine

[quote="Kaka Tim, post: 12964455, member:
Putin is being a cunt for sure.

I wonder wether he thought the initial siezure of the parliament would provoke massive pro-russian demonstrations and a Kiev style insurrection by russian nationalists. He would then be able to convincingly argue that this was no different to what happened in the capital. But this has failed to materialise. The impression I get is that Ukriane's ethnic russians are worried but some way from open revolt.

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respectfully i disagree, you plainly havent been watching the news. Theres been no riots in Crimea because theres nothing to riot against ,the people and local institutions are largely on the same side . The rejection of Kievs writ has therefore been largely peaceful and constitutional . And youll see the demonstrations backing it this afternoon ,given youve obviously missed the previous ones, the parliament take over and the installation of new leaders in recent days .
Putin has not helped them - or Russia - with his actions. I think - like all authoritarians - he really doesn't understand the organic and spontaneous nature of popular revolts (and - despite clear enabling from opposition parties and the west - the Kiev insurrection was a spontaneous revolt)

the overwhelming majority of ukrainians took no part in those riots . Outside that square kiev was mostly normal . It was not a popular revolt, it was a fascist coup . Whch suceeded largely as a result of Yanukovichs blundering and a police force told to stand there like dummies and just take it for months on end until their morale totally collapsed . While he negotiated peace after peace, amnesty after amnesty to no avail. Showing nothing but fear and weakness that just emboldened the fascists with every failed attempt to appease them . He was idiotically negotiating peace with politicians who didnt control the fascists and undermining himself week in week out with every failure.
Sending in what looks like special forces to secure the airports etc will surely only encourage Ukrainian nationalism and helps legitamise the Kiev regime in the eyes of the rest of the world - jsut as eyebrows where being raised about their behavior and ultra nationalist leanings.

the world wont give a fuck if those nazis stamp their writ there . They have to be stopped and not by guardian editorials . Ukranian nationalism doesnt need any encouragement, the freindship trains from kiev were already promised and in motion .Their gunmen made their move on the parliament last night and they were chased off . Crimea and the eastern regions have expressly asked for this help and more .Thankfully theyre getting it
Surely he would have been better just sitting and waiting for the reality of the IMF shock medicine to strike home and the cracks within the new regime to show (like when they try and put right sector back in their box).
.

that will happen anyway . But in the meantime if he fails to assist those who reject the fascist coup then he betrays them and strengthens the fascists, who as weve seen arent appeased by any show of weakness . Quite the reverse. Failure to act would see those of russian ethnicity go the way of kosovos serbs

And backing Yanukovych? I thought he would kick him to the kerb as a totally discredited figure

the pro kremlin media has made no secret of their disdain for Yanukovich as a person . Nontheless there was a coup against an elected president and whats happening in kiev is unconstitutional. The regions Putin is assisting are rejecting Kievs writ on that basis , that the kiev coup has no legitimacy. Therefore the elected president has . The personality has to be seperated from the position within constitutional matters . Yanukovich is finished as an acting leader or future leader . But its his position as president and the legitimacy of that post and the overthrow of the constitution which remains a basis for negotiation between the regions, should negotiations ever take place . Its not about attempting to reinstall him, its about countering the coups claim to have a legitimate right to exercise authority over the regions that regard the coup as unconstitutional and illegitimate .
 
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Something really stinks about this imo http://www.haaretz.com/news/world/1.577114

I have to say not to sound like a conspiracy theorist, but if this is anything more that PR article to give credit to the new regime, I don't exactly buy the official line that his some random "ex-Israeli soldier" who just so happen to take part in Ukraine's revolution. To me it sounds more like just a well crafted PR stunt, to overshadow the right wing elements that the Jewish community maybe concerned about, especially being the Israeli governments support of the coup. However, despite that, the more I look into this the more I keep wondering whether there is more than meets the eye. In other words the blocking of key highways, attacks on Crimean buses containing Berkut's and attacks on police departments / local governments, insured the police were not able to reinforce, or relay communication to local administrations and was probably key to the successful push towards the government. This could just simply mean Right Sector is far more organized and the coup was far more well planned, than what the Western media would like to let on, or this could mean they had a little more help than we are currently aware.
 
Please tell me people aren't cheerleading Russian intervention on here ?

Apparently there is now a big crowd (anti Kiev / pro Russian whatever you want to call them) gathered at Donetsk parly. If Russians move into rest of Ukraine things really start to get dangerous.

Now going to sit down and watch last night's newsnight. According to its editor they have exposed far right involvement at the Maidan. Who knew?
 
Please tell me people aren't cheerleading Russian intervention on here ?

Apparently there is now a big crowd (anti Kiev / pro Russian whatever you want to call them) gathered at Donetsk parly. If Russians move into rest of Ukraine things really start to get dangerous.

Now going to sit down and watch last night's newsnight. According to its editor they have exposed far right involvement at the Maidan. Who knew?


just CR because he thinks vlad can do no wrong
 


Theres been no riots in Crimea because theres nothing to riot against ,the people and local institutions are largely on the same side . The rejection of Kievs writ has therefore been largely peaceful and constitutional . And youll see the demonstrations backing it this afternoon ,given youve obviously missed the previous ones, the parliament take over and the installation of new leaders in recent days

I saw the demos. But the parliament building and other centres have not been stormed or occupied by demonstrators but siezed by what looks like Russian special forces. I was wondering what putins logic was - as it plays into the hands of the (largely accurate) image of russia as a bullying autocracy - and obscuring the genunine concerns of ethnic russians over the nature of the regime in Kiev.

the overwhelming majority of ukrainians took no part in those riots . Outside that square kiev was mostly normal . It was not a popular revolt, it was a fascist coup . Which suceeded largely as a result of Yanukovichs blundering and a police force told to stand there like dummies and just take it for months on end until their morale totally collapsed . While he negotiated peace after peace, amnesty after amnesty to no avail. Showing nothing but fear and weakness that just emboldened the fascists with every failed attempt to appease them . He was idiotically negotiating peace with politicians who didnt control the fascists and undermining himself week in week out with every failure.

I think there was certainly widepsread anger and disgust at Yanucovych and the protests were large (but not huge) and seemed to have started spontaneously. The far right - with the encouragement of the opposition parties (and possibly the likes of the CIA) siezed the opportunity to up the ante. I agree Yanukovcyh was utterly incompetent in his response. But I dont think this was a planned coup - more a popular revolt hi-jacked by the far right. We could end up with a full on ultra nationalist fascist government in western Urkaine - but we are not there yet. But Putin's actions will surely inflame nationalist sentiment. And world opinion does matter - Putin throwing his weight around makes it easier for the western govenrments to give unquestioning support to the Kiev regime and play it more like plucky rebels vs nasty Putin.
 
[quote="Kaka Tim, post: 12964605,
I saw the demos. But the parliament building and other centres have not been stormed or occupied by demonstrators but siezed by what looks like Russian special forces. I was wondering what putins logic was - as it plays into the hands of the (largely accurate) image of russia as a bullying autocracy - and obscuring the genunine concerns of ethnic russians over the nature of the regime in Kiev.

yeah but they dont need to storm them . Unlike the kiev coup which wanted power but didnt have a parliamentary majority and had to overthrow the state by hooliganism, the situation in crimea is a majority in the parliament back the demonstrators . A majority of the parliamentarians have simply sacked the regional government, appointed a new cabinet and regional president which is now going to hold a referendum on crimeas future in light of the overthrow of the constitution in kiev . Storming the very institutions you support and which are supporting you would be a bit silly . The Crimeans support their regional president. And the manner in which all thats been done peacefully, constitutionally and democratically stands in stark contrast to the madness in kiev.
The guys with the guns are in turn protecting those institutions and the politicians inside them . Because if they werent there its quite likely kievs special forces would be seizing them and preventing these moves from taking place . Which looks like there was an attempt to do last night going by reports .

As regards Putins logic Id say first and foremost its the western media will tell lies anyway , just look at how theyve lionised both fascists and al qaeda. Hell either be a bully or a coward . And ultimately the western media wont determine events on the ground, only strength or weakness will .

If Putin looks logically at Yanukovichs fate hell see someone who spent months fruitlessly negotiating while exercising maximum restraint while fascists just perceived it as weak , escalated their violence continually, ignored EU and UN brokered agreements, amnesties and became empowered to the point of victory all the while cheered on by the west. Yanukovich was so terrified of the western media his forces were hardly even allowed defend themselves . And were destroyed by a few thugs .



I think there was certainly widepsread anger and disgust at Yanucovych and the protests were large (but not huge) and seemed to have started spontaneously. The far right - with the encouragement of the opposition parties (and possibly the likes of the CIA) siezed the opportunity to up the ante. I agree Yanukovcyh was utterly incompetent in his response. But I dont think this was a planned coup - more a popular revolt hi-jacked by the far right. We could end up with a full on ultra nationalist fascist government in western Urkaine - but we are not there yet. But Putin's actions will surely inflame nationalist sentiment. And world opinion does matter - Putin throwing his weight around makes it easier for the western govenrments to give unquestioning support to the Kiev regime and play it more like plucky rebels vs nasty Putin.

the acting Kiev president went on air last night and demanded Russia stop provoking us . Thats the very same shit he was coming out with justifying the fascists breaking every last peace agreement in kiev . Yanokovich bent over backwards continuously, but the very next day it was he provoked us . And every agreement lay in tatters once more while their violence just escalated . It appears as he was making this demand for an end to provocations he was simultaneously sending armed men to seize the crimean parliament and suppress it. Suspected Russian forces knocked that on the head .

so theres a bit of a pattern there , and an answer to it.

Its easy for the west to demonise putin and support the fascists full stop . The media lies regrdless and shamelessly so . It wasnt the media that stopped the mass ethnic cleansing of Russians in ossetia, it was the Russian army . As it will be in Crimea . World opinion will see Russian forces thanked by grateful millions and a bunch of nazis in kiev banning russian speakers using their own language being faced down for once.

No offence , im not being disrespectful here but you seem ultimately to be advocating the same course of action yukanovich took . That is ultimately to appease the nazis and stay onside with their western cheerleaders . While the nazis and the coup have made no secret of their intention to bring the recalcitrant regions firmly under their control .

In response to the coups demand for an end to provocations Russian senators are now talking about sending a limited troop contingent to crimea . It may be wiser for the nazis to stop provoking the Russians .
 
It’s difficult to gauge what has happened in Kharhiv and Donestsk. Some commentators have posted scenes of an empty square in Donetsk, suggesting the demonstrators were only paid for short time.
@HannaGun @piosmo RT @olgatokariuk Empty square in Donetsk pro-Russian 'activists' were paid to stay till 2pm pic.twitter.com/yhATUwTgku
— padewski (@apadewski) March 1, 2014

from guardian updates

is this correct, is the Guardian speculating?
 
Please tell me people aren't cheerleading Russian intervention on here ?

Apparently there is now a big crowd (anti Kiev / pro Russian whatever you want to call them) gathered at Donetsk parly. If Russians move into rest of Ukraine things really start to get dangerous.

Now going to sit down and watch last night's newsnight. According to its editor they have exposed far right involvement at the Maidan. Who knew?

only took them 2 months..wow
 
Its easy for the west to demonise putin and support the fascists full stop . The media lies regrdless and shamelessly so . It wasnt the media that stopped the mass ethnic cleansing of Russians in ossetia, it was the Russian army . As it will be in Crimea . World opinion will see Russian forces thanked by grateful millions and a bunch of nazis in kiev banning russian speakers using their own language being faced down for once.

The Georgians, in their foolish gamble to capture 'their' territory, led to the deaths and fleeing of Ossetians. In South Ossetia. Was it ethnic cleansing though? The numbers of dead on both sides ended up being a little overblown? Although many were displaced. How would you describe the actions of motley bands of paramilitary thugs (or 'volunteers') who followed behind Russian forces when your hero, with one hand up Medvedev's arse, decided to bring out the banhammer?
 
from guardian updates

is this correct, is the Guardian speculating?

This Ukrainian article reports massive protests, 2,000 in Dontesk and growing to 10,000, but being their always shit at estimating crowds you could probably half that figure: http://zn.ua/UKRAINE/v-donecke-prorossiyskie-aktivisty-shturmuyut-obladministraciyu-140110_.html. Plus the Ukrainian army caught a Russian at their base in Feodosiya: http://www.ukrinform.ua/ukr/news/ukraiinski_morpihi_u_feodosiii_vpiymali_diversanta_1913333
 
from guardian updates

is this correct, is the Guardian speculating?

it appears now the guardian are adopting the tactic of reporting on the strength of demonstrations once theyre over and not during them . Afterall everyone who went was paid to and can be ignored.
 
Violent popular protests and vicious government crackdowns can be confusing to the average punter, who may not have a good grasp of the politics involved.

When such situations arise, many struggle to decide whether to cheer on heavily-armed police and military squads as they shoot some sense into the populace, or whether to paint one's ballsack green, orange or yellow etc. and then post pictures of it on Facebook, in solidarity with the people.

To solve this problem, I've created the following handy flowchart, which depicts the usual mental processes exhibited by politicians and commentators in the UK when confronted by bloodcurdling state terror/the people yearning to be free:

revolution_flowchart.jpg


http://flyingrodent.blogspot.co.uk/2014/02/a-cut-out-n-keep-guide-to-ostentatious.html
 
oh noes..what is the poor fash gonna do now . Send for McCain and Chuck Norris .

lol

pmsfl

A cynical mind might think that they would welcome this - Putin takes the "Russian" parts of Ukraine away by force and them and their ilk will probably be in control of whats left for years and years. The chances of them getting into NATO would probably markedly increase as well.
 
A cynical mind might think that they would welcome this - Putin takes the "Russian" parts of Ukraine away by force and them and their ilk will probably be in control of whats left for years and years. The chances of them getting into NATO would probably markedly increase as well.

theres nowt in the other parts except billions of debt and skint ukranians . The moneyspinners... industries , best agricultural land and tourist resorts are all in the east

btw the fash have now taken to casually spraying russian tourist coaches with gunfire now, one tourist seriously injured
 
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