Urban75 Home About Offline BrixtonBuzz Contact

The actual covid risk on public transport

Afaik train companies are cleaning such surfaces with a substance that kills viruses which last weeks, rather than days, as part of their cleaning schedules. Seats are probably bad though.

Yeah that was mentioned upthread. I'm pretty sceptical tbh. It may well remain active for two weeks but because it is a coating it will get worn off pretty quickly by repeated use. Regardless of this though they are cleaning the trains regularly though the risk remains.
 
Afaik train companies are cleaning such surfaces with a substance that kills viruses which last weeks, rather than days, as part of their cleaning schedules. Seats are probably bad though.

the substance may kill viruses for weeks but they don't say it stays on the surface that long...
 
Currently my husband cannot get home from work because it seems like everyone and their dog went out tonight in London for a last hurrah and all the buses are full. He finished work 2 hours ago and still isn't on a bus yet. So he is basically stuck in central London.
 
The relative risk is relevant when it comes to the decision about whether to close pubs while still encouraging office working.

Necessity is the key argument here. Of course the government has fucked that up by telling people to go back to the office even if they can work from home so people selling overpriced and disappointing sandwiches can stay in business.
 
Currently my husband cannot get home from work because it seems like everyone and their dog went out tonight in London for a last hurrah and all the buses are full. He finished work 2 hours ago and still isn't on a bus yet. So he is basically stuck in central London.
he get back ok Epona?
 


European airlines are pinning hopes on pre-flight COVID-19 tests that deliver results as fast as pregnancy tests to help restore passengers' confidence in taking to the skies in confined spaces with shared air.

Germany's Lufthansa <LHAG.DE>, at the mercy of government bailouts for survival, is in talks with Swiss drugmaker Roche <ROG.S> over deploying so-called antigen tests, according to two people familiar with the discussions, as the airline aims to make them available next month.

Italian operator Alitalia, meanwhile, told Reuters that from Wednesday it would add two flights from Milan to Rome, to the two it is already offering from Rome to Milan, exclusively for passengers with negative tests.

The tests are administered by health authorities at the airports and included in ticket prices. If they prove popular and safe, these antigen-tested flights will be expanded to more domestic, and later international, routes, the airline said.

Unlike laboratory-based molecular tests that have been the staple of health authorities in the pandemic, antigen tests do not require machines to process. Much like pregnancy tests, they can produce results in about 15 minutes.

However the tests require an uncomfortable nasal swab and are not as accurate as the molecular, or PCR, tests. They generally produce more "false negatives" which could mean sick people could slip through the cracks and onto planes.

An increasing number are hitting the market, from companies such as Abbott Laboratories <ABT.N>, Becton Dickinson & Co <BDX.N> and Quidel Corp <QDEL.O> and Roche, which is rebranding antigen tests from South Korea's privately held SD Biosensor.

Airlines are pressing governments to embrace alternatives to blanket travel restrictions amid a resurgence of COVID-19 cases in Europe.

Rapid antigen tests that can be administered by non-medical staff are expected to become available in coming weeks for as little as $7 each, the head of industry body the International Air Transport Association said on Tuesday.



NEGATIVE-ONLY FLIGHTS

Despite the drawbacks of such antigen tests, carriers hope they could tip the balance in convincing people to fly.

"It is to give ... confidence, at a specific point in time, that the result is positive or negative," said Christian Paulus, a Roche research and development manager.

"The PCR remains the gold standard. Therefore if there are any questions open, or if the clinical appearance of the person who had a negative test, if the person has symptoms like a fever, then you would for sure do confirmatory testing."

Alitalia launched its "COVID Tested Flights" programme from Rome to Milan last week, and will expand it from Wednesday. Only passengers with negative COVID-19 results can board.

"So far no positive passengers have been found," said an Alitalia spokesman, adding that many chose to take the airline's antigen tests the night before the flight. Travellers can access airport-testing facilities via a preferred lane with their tickets.

The airline plans to analyse findings around the middle of October, but already expects antigen-tested flights will be expanded to domestic and later international routes. "First, we have to see how this experiment goes," the spokesman said.

The pre-flight antigen tests follow a scheme in Italy where such tests were used defensively.

SD Biosensor said its tests had been deployed at Italian airports for incoming tourists, to avoid a renewed COVID-19 wave imported from infection hotspots.



'BETTER THAN QUARANTINE'

Lufthansa Chief Executive Carsten Spohr last week told employees during a townhall meeting that the airline was in talks with Roche. The drugmaker started selling the rapid tests this week, and said SD Biosensor could initially supply it with about 40 million tests per month.

The Lufthansa tests could initially go to cabin crews, a spokeswoman said, though Bjoern Becker, a senior director of product management, ground & digital services for the Lufthansa Group, said the tests could also be made available to first-class and business-class passengers.

"We think the tests would be a better option than putting somebody into quarantine," the airline spokeswoman said.

Beyond airlines, Germany is eyeing broader antigen test use from October, including in nursing homes where older patients have been hardest hit by the deadly virus.

Regulators still worry about test accuracy, which typically detect the virus 80% to 90% of the time, below the 95% rate of lab tests.

Still, some officials don't want the perfect to be the enemy of the pretty good as they pursue some semblance of economic normality.

"They're good enough," German health minister Jens Spahn said, pledging antigen tests in "significant quantities". The state of Bavaria has already ordered 10 million.
 
I've been wondering if any useful information can be drawn from the "second wave" outbreaks in the UK.

Because London had the biggest outbreak in the first wave, many people pointed the finger at the heavy use of public transport as an obvious reason for this.

Is there any correlation between public transport usage and level of outbreak in the second wave so far? I imagine there might be a correlation with population density and that in turn might be correlated with higher public transport usage - but I wonder if people who know more about statistics than I do can do anything with whatever data is available. Because I think that public transport use is higher in London than in other parts of the UK with similar population densities.

On top of that, the number of people using public transport in the lead up to the second wave will, I imagine, have been much lower than the number of people using it in the lead-up to the first wave.
 
I've been wondering if any useful information can be drawn from the "second wave" outbreaks in the UK.

Because London had the biggest outbreak in the first wave, many people pointed the finger at the heavy use of public transport as an obvious reason for this.

Is there any correlation between public transport usage and level of outbreak in the second wave so far? I imagine there might be a correlation with population density and that in turn might be correlated with higher public transport usage - but I wonder if people who know more about statistics than I do can do anything with whatever data is available. Because I think that public transport use is higher in London than in other parts of the UK with similar population densities.

On top of that, the number of people using public transport in the lead up to the second wave will, I imagine, have been much lower than the number of people using it in the lead-up to the first wave.
No evidence but from my experience public transport has been steadily getting busier since the end of lockout and has now got to the point where at peak times I am often travelling on pretty full (but not crowded) trains and busses. Basically hovering around the point where every pair of seats is taken so people have to stand to avoid setting next to someone else. So it is now normal to have someone directly in front of you and behind you.

This has been made worse by the cuts in services and I expect them to be cut again from tomorrow which will probably make things worse again.

After this week I am not due to be working in the office again for 3 weeks. So may not have much direct experience of the next few weeks.
 

A second round of testing fails to detect any coronavirus on London's public transport.

The article doesn't give much detail though, would like to understand exactly what it involves.

Looks like they’re doing after-hours testing on an empty network?
 
No evidence but from my experience public transport has been steadily getting busier since the end of lockout and has now got to the point where at peak times I am often travelling on pretty full (but not crowded) trains and busses. Basically hovering around the point where every pair of seats is taken so people have to stand to avoid setting next to someone else. So it is now normal to have someone directly in front of you and behind you.

This has been made worse by the cuts in services and I expect them to be cut again from tomorrow which will probably make things worse again.

After this week I am not due to be working in the office again for 3 weeks. So may not have much direct experience of the next few weeks.
Whereabouts are you?
 
Surely it would be difficult to track individual cases back to public transport as people are almost always on their way to somewhere else where they might think they caught it?
Pub, work, shopping whatever...
 
Surely it would be difficult to track individual cases back to public transport as people are almost always on their way to somewhere else where they might think they caught it?
Pub, work, shopping whatever...
I think if you were doing the tracing properly you would get a list of locations from them which would include the transport they used as well as the destinations they visited.
 
Let's just say the North.
What would be significant is the proportion of people who use public transport to get to work. For london that's pretty high. Where you are, it might be a lot lower - even if those who do use it have seen things start to get busy again.
 
Back
Top Bottom