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Political polling

Sorry, what's uncalled for? My comment? If so my comment specifically mentioned Labour and BP supporters posting a council by election result and then claiming that it contains a wider significance. People who do that are, and there is no getting around it, fucking stupid. It's clearly politically ignorant but it doesn't even work agitationally.
OK, that's your view.
Mine is that it's not really necessary to call another poster a fucking idiot in a thread like this.
Difference of views.
 
The Conservatives lost a council seat to the Liberal Democrats in the latest local by-elections. The Tory defeat came in a poll at South Northamptonshire Council in Middleton Cheney ward following the resignation of a Conservative councillor. The votes were: Lib Dem 384, Conservative 345, Green 89, Labour 59.

However, the Conservatives achieved a gain in the Rutland County Council by-election, which was sparked by the disqualification of an independent councillor. Voting there was: Conservative 357, Lib Dem 156, Green 121.

Elsewhere, the Tories were reported to have held a seat at Wellingborough (Finedon ward), while the Lib Dems held two seats - at Rushmoor (St Mark's ward) and Shropshire (Bishop's Castle division).

Bercow pledges 'creativity' to stop no-deal - LIVE

Good luck in trying to work out a trend going on, with that set of results, based on very low number of votes, and where local issues come into play.
 
I think it s, it was her basis for a proper academic bok and everything! There was a new version out yesterday, which is probably why this infographic gained prominence again, and it's got an introduction by Isabel Hardman, so it must be all true and rigorously tested!
Maybe showing my age?
 
OK, that's your view.
Mine is that it's not really necessary to call another poster a fucking idiot in a thread like this.
Difference of views.

FFS. I called people who post by-election results and then claim that they are inscribed with a deeper and/or wider political significance 'fucking stupid'. I haven't called anyone here specifically 'fucking stupid' but I am approaching the point where I might....
 
The sampling is inherently skewed towards the mundane though because you can't fill in a survey when there's a bin liner on your head, etc.

Aye, but have you ever met a liberal who isn't possessed with repressed emotions/feelings/desires/urges? Bin bag headed or not?
 
“Over represented differences that are statistically significant” could mean that 1% of supporters ticked a box for one party and 0% did for the others. It doesn’t have to mean lots of supporters ticked the box.
 
All over the fucking place. Wouldn’t like to see the result of a 37% vote for the vermin mind.
 
Comres put out this bit of analysis alongside that poll Reflections on the Westminster psychodrama « ComRes

This bit really stood out to me
8. Orange Is The New Red?
Jeremy Corbyn’s near monopoly on the youth vote is evaporating as newly enfranchised voters turn to the Lib Dems, almost certainly over Brexit. In comparison to a ComRes/Daily Express poll conducted in September 2018, the Labour vote share among 18-24s has decreased from 62% to 38%, while the corresponding Lib Dem vote share has increased from 9% to 25%.
 
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