Apparently cases of omicron went from 1% of cases to 14% in one week here in Ireland.
That to me sounds like a massive jump. So by next week can we assume cases will be at 28% and by new years day will be 56% and by 7th Jan 100% ?
And if we currently have 4500 cases a day and 14% today was 630 and this virus doubles its rate every 2 days...then by 9th Jan everyone on the island of Ireland will have been infected.
And if hospitalisations are 25% less than currently.... they are 45 a day here at the moment. So lets say it goes to 11 a day...but omicron is 6 times more transmissable so lets make that 66 a day ...
And deaths here are 0.2% of hospitalisations...80 people a week...with delta....
And deaths predicted at 0.1% of population with omicron..that's 5500 deaths here....in the space of 6 weeks....
Wiith only 350 ICU beds in the entire country.
We are basically fucked. Omicron may well be mild but it will take people. Those who are most vulnerable and unvaccinated with underlying conditions.
Fuck.
It just does not look good...from the perspwctive of someone with underlying conditions and ectremely vulnerable despite vaccinations. Let alone someone who might not he able to be vaccinated.