Wilf
Slouching towards Billingham
I think this is right, in the sense that they don't have any good options. If they could press a reset button sunak would be PM in an instant, but the process to actually hoy her out is so damaging in terms of conflict and looking stupid that they probably won't do it. There was some BBC politics reporter on yesterday saying tory MPs were divided about what to do (stick or twist + whether to act now or leave it X months) but hadn't got a clue how to achieve any of their goals. The only conceivable way forward is if she resigns, but from the point of view of being a careerist politician, why would she? And that wouldn't itself restore their 'reputation' as a party.Yes, I agree. She's there until they can figure out a way to ditch her without doing even more damage, or ditching their own rules and regulations so blatantly when they didn't before. That might be next week, it might be next year. It suits them better than anything else right now to have her soak up the worst of it.
Long winded way of saying that pure stasis and lack of mechanisms/process might leave her in till the gen election. Or not.
I think there's an at least superficial parallel with where Labour got to under Corbyn in the run up to the 2019 election, inc the Brexit policy. The party still fighting like rats in a sack and a headline policy on Brexit that was just about the absence of having a policy. No way for either faction in the party to take control and the relationship particularly with working class voters shot to pieces. The tories have somehow managed to do this whilst in government and by trashing the economy. Quite impressive.