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Is Brexit actually going to happen?

Will we have a brexit?


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He'll get away with that, 'take the knife to them' could easily mean cutting their jobs.

That's their defence. The idiots following these scumbags on twitter just laugh it all off, even when you point out their language has been used by people to harm others, including murder. They are completely disconnected from reality and believe that because it's a 'common turn of phrase' nothing bad can come from it. They have normalised violence
 
Firstly, no-one is suggesting that Brexit can just be done. The issue is the 3 plus year delay to get the first step done.

Second, your use of ‘gammon’ reveals your pitiful misunderstanding of the nature of the class responses set in motion. A newsnight report this week, which could have been packaged a ‘Dispatch on what the northern working class scum think about it’ went up the road from me to Walsall.

What was striking, and what alleged lefts like yourself should be interested in, is that the political alienation of those in these communities - young, old, black, white, leaver and remained alike - is being embedded more deeply by the parliamentary farce. Everything they think is being confirmed back to them by it. Politicians are corrupt, the process is bent, every time they offer an opinion they are demonised or sneeringly dismisses as racists, their lives are irrelevant: nobody gives a fuck about people like us.

Pathetic dribble about boneheads, gammons and their ability to kick it off reveals just how disconnected some are from a mass feeling that has been strengthening and which Brexit has merely given focus and voice to. It is generated and continues to grow from a million grievances, which we can summarise as political alienation, peripheralisation and lost futures.

This is what the political class are terrified about unleashing. This is what we've seen in France.
Didn't see the the Walsall piece but did see the Cleveland policing....Middlesbourgh voted 65% leave.Thats a year on from the first BBC piece that highlighted how things are. Now you have a leave PM talking about restoring police numbers whilst being called a facist for wanting to increase police numbers by Hesiltine(remainer). A former Home Secretary that became PM (remainer) that sits om the backbenchrsmust bear some responsibility. And f"or the record" another former 'remainer' PM thinks austerity could have been done harder. Another Remainer PM ĺwice pushed that the future was empowering authority to be able to march who they lied to the cash point - I suppose it would have removed the need for Charles Lynton'paperwork
 
That's their defence. The idiots following these scumbags on twitter just laugh it all off, even when you point out their language has been used by people to harm others, including murder. They are completely disconnected from reality and believe that because it's a 'common turn of phrase' nothing bad can come from it. They have normalised violence

Indeed! It's impossible to talk about the profound, malign, hateful effects of brexit without breaking Godwin's Law.....
 
Didn't see the the Walsall piece but did see the Cleveland policing....Middlesbourgh voted 65% leave.Thats a year on from the first BBC piece that highlighted how things are. Now you have a leave PM talking about restoring police numbers whilst being called a facist for wanting to increase police numbers by Hesiltine(remainer). A former Home Secretary that became PM (remainer) that sits om the backbenchrsmust bear some responsibility. And f"or the record" another former 'remainer' PM thinks austerity could have been done harder. Another Remainer PM ĺwice pushed that the future was empowering authority to be able to march who they lied to the cash point - I suppose it would have removed the need for Charles Lynton'paperwork

And there's a "Prime Minister" in thrall to an advocate of game theory and eugenics who thinks the way forward in the biggest peacetime crisis in living memory is illegally to shut down Parliament, peppering his commentary thereupon with the invective of war (like, well... you know who)?

"Which side are you on?" indeed!
 
These things can turn very quickly. If his government were to fall to be replaced by some caretaker govt, Johnson would find it very hard to characterise himself as anything other than a failure - either to those who already think he is one or those who currently back him because he wants to 'get brexit done'. I can imagine the Brexit Party having a field day, then who knows what would happen at an election? Could see the tories virtually wiped out in parts of the country, but I don't think anyone has any real idea what would happen.

I would have thought it would be just the opposite. Boris removed from post within a month of the Oct 31 deadline gets to go into the next election saying that he was just about to deliver Brexit and was stopped by those nasty SNP, labour and Lib Dems, and the only way to get the Brexit you want is to vote Tory and give him a majority in the commons.

Taking him out with a VONC lets him off the hook and prevents the voters seeing him balls it all up when it comes to the crunch.
 
Just watching itv and a govt. ‘get ready for Brexit’ leaving 31st Oct advert came on.

I guess it’s really happening then.
 
Looks easy

All I need to do in the next month is:


Take out appropriate travel insurance with health cover before travelling to the EU

You may be charged for your care if you do not get health cover with your travel insurance.

Read the guidance: Foreign travel insurance

Do it as soon as possible

Check a passport for travel to Europe after Brexit

You may not be able to travel if you do not renew your passport in time.

Read the guidance: Passport rules for travel to Europe after Brexit

Do it as soon as possible

Check what you need to do to make sure you can travel through the border of the country you are visiting

You may not be allowed to enter the EU if you cannot show you meet immigration rules.

Read the guidance: Visit Europe after Brexit

Do it as soon as possible

Check whether your mobile phone company has changed its mobile roaming charges before travelling to the EU

You may be charged for using your mobile device in the EU if your operator has re-introduced roaming charges.

Read the guidance: Visit Europe after Brexit

Do it as soon as possible

Check for disruption to your journey before you travel between the UK and the EU - border checks may take longer

If you do not allow enough time, you could miss your flight, train or ferry.

Read the guidance: Visit Europe after Brexit

Do it as soon as possible

Your business or organisation
Check if you need to change your conformity assessment or conformity marking to sell your CE marked goods in the UK or EU

In most cases you can continue using the CE marking in the EU and UK (although in some cases you may need to transfer your certificate of conformity to an EU conformity asssesment body) - but if your good requires UKCA marking and you have not used it, then it will not be valid for sale in the UK.

Read the guidance: Prepare to use the UKCA mark after Brexit

Do it as soon as possible

Get legal advice if your business is merging with an EU company

If you do not follow the rules, you may be investigated by the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) and the European Commission.

Read the guidance: Merger review and anti-competitive activity after Brexit

Do it as soon as possible

Check if you need to appoint a representative in the EU, and label your goods with your EU importer's details

If you do not meet the requirements, you may not be able to export goods to the EU.

Read the guidance: Placing manufactured goods on the EU market after Brexit

Do it as soon as possible

Check if your employees need a visa or work permit and meet any requirements for their profession to work in the country they’re going to

You or your employees may not be able to enter or work in some countries.

Read the guidance: Providing services to any country in the EU, Iceland, Liechtenstein, Norway or Switzerland after Brexit

Do it as soon as possible

Check if you need to change how you do accounting and reporting

You may breach reporting requirements in EEA countries if you do not make any changes you need to.

Read the guidance: Accounting if there's a no-deal Brexit

Do it as soon as possible

Check how to label food if you're selling it in the UK or EU

You may not be able to sell goods in the EU if they're labelled incorrectly.

Read the guidance: Food labelling changes if there's a no-deal Brexit

Do it as soon as possible

Get a legal representative in the UK, EU or EEA if you carry out clinical trials

You will not be able to carry out clinical trials without a legal representative.

Read the guidance: Further guidance note on the regulation of medicines, medical devices and clinical trials if there’s no Brexit deal

Do it as soon as possible

Check what you need to do to sell or supply medicines in the UK

You will not be able to legally sell or supply medicines in the UK if you do not get your business ready.

Read the guidance: Further guidance note on the regulation of medicines, medical devices and clinical trials if there’s no Brexit deal

Do it as soon as possible

Check if you need to pay a tariff on goods you import from the EU

Your goods will be held at customs if you do not pay the correct tariff.

Read the guidance: Check temporary rates of customs duty (tariffs) on imports after a no-deal Brexit.

It takes more than 4 weeks

Sign up to search for contracts to sell goods or services to the UK public sector

You won't receive notifications of new UK public sector contract opportunities.

Read the guidance: Public-sector procurement after a no-deal Brexit

Do it as soon as possible

Check if you need permission to sell someone's intellectual property in the EEA, if you've already sold it in the UK

You may not be able to export your intellectual property protected products from the UK to the EEA without the right permission.

Read the guidance: Brexit and exhaustion of intellectual property rights

Do it as soon as possible

Check how to get approval to sell vehicles and vehicle parts in the UK and the EU

You will not be able to sell vehicles or vehicle parts in the UK and the EU if they are not approved correctly.

Read the guidance: Vehicle type-approval if there’s no Brexit deal

It takes more than 4 weeks

Check what steps you need to take in order to import goods from the EU

If you do not get your business ready, you may not be able to import goods into the UK from EU countries.

Read the guidance: Get your business ready to import from the EU to the UK after Brexit

Do it as soon as possible

You may not need to do all these actions ahead of the 31 October deadline. The action you may need to take may change subject to negotiations and your own circumstances.
 
Firstly, no-one is suggesting that Brexit can just be done. The issue is the 3 plus year delay to get the first step done.

Second, your use of ‘gammon’ reveals your pitiful misunderstanding of the nature of the class responses set in motion. A newsnight report this week, which could have been packaged a ‘Dispatch on what the northern working class scum think about it’ went up the road from me to Walsall.

What was striking, and what alleged lefts like yourself should be interested in, is that the political alienation of those in these communities - young, old, black, white, leaver and remained alike - is being embedded more deeply by the parliamentary farce. Everything they think is being confirmed back to them by it. Politicians are corrupt, the process is bent, every time they offer an opinion they are demonised or sneeringly dismisses as racists, their lives are irrelevant: nobody gives a fuck about people like us.

Pathetic dribble about boneheads, gammons and their ability to kick it off reveals just how disconnected some are from a mass feeling that has been strengthening and which Brexit has merely given focus and voice to. It is generated and continues to grow from a million grievances, which we can summarise as political alienation, peripheralisation and lost futures.

This is what the political class are terrified about unleashing. This is what we've seen in France.

I acknowledge a lot of what you say, but I think your overstate how most people feel, how nuanced their reactions are.

I know that area pretty well, visit relations in Cradley Heath every month. People are sceptical and colourfully disdainful of politicians, but that’s hardly new nor is disillusionment. And most people don’t engage in it to the degree boards like this do. That sense of crisis isn’t there for everyone, or at least it’s a bit of theatre at the periphery of the daily whirl and making ends meet. Most people are far too canny and robust to take Brexit seriously enough to throw a brick for it.
 
I'd disagree with the last sentence. I have good friends who have been refused to stay in the UK. I'm very angry about loosing my friends just so that some old cnut can be happy to receive their blue passport.
 
I don’t really remember the blue passport thing blowing up until after the ref.
And I really shouldn’t open this thread during night shift in a care home. Ugly, regressive, bollocks.
 
Tbh I suspect a lot of those who ‘just want it done’ aren’t xenophobes or free market ideologues, they’re just sick to death of hearing about it. This will include quite a lot who voted remain too. The inability to deliver and the endless news cycle about it all is pretty wearing even for those of us with a reasonable interest/tolerance of politics. Johnson is on to something when he goes on about delivering it do or die. Just do it and figure the rest out afterwards, it’ll probably be fine.
 
IS BREXIT ACTUALLY GOING TO HAPPEN?
I dont think Brexit is going to happen. The forces who don't want it to happen are too great.

Opposed are the majority of the british political establishment, the Civil Service, the education and arts institutions, the City of London, large corporate interests, the TUC, the US, the EU, international finance, Scotland, Northern Ireland and half the population - and that proportion is likely to grow as the cluster fuck unfolds.

For an op made back on 27th June 2016 that assertion has proved not only prophetic but also an understatement based on recent revelations.
 
Ok here I go. I’m going to regret this one.

What’s so awful about being on the liberal left? (And I don’t mean being a Lib Dem!)

*runs and hides*
Bit late as I've been busy the last couple of days but this article in Tribune provides an example of the differences that danny and butchers highlighted. This example is specifically in the context of the Labour Party but the points it makes are of wider relevance.
In recent decades, socialism has declined and been replaced on the left by progressivism, a project to build majorities by uniting those with progressive social views. These views often extend to the economy too, with theses like Kate Pickett and Richard Wilkinson’s The Spirit Level summing up the alignment between progressive social views and economic equality. But the coalition they imply remains based upon attitudes rather than interests.
(my emphasis)

Or to put it in crude terms - a worker who holds reactionary opinions about immigrants may be a dick but they are still a worker, their class interest are still aligned with mine (and presumably yours). A boss may be lovely and progressive, may be implementing all kinds of policies that tackle discrimination, inequality and even workplace democracy but at a fundamental level their interests are in opposition to those of their workers.
 
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