Donald Trump - MAGAtwat news and discussion
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moochedit
I'm not feeding seagulls
It was always going to be trump winning.
It’s Biden vs. Trump.
To me, that’s the only real takeaway from Super Tuesday, when President Biden and Donald J. Trump won nearly all of the delegates at stake. It will still be a week or two before they officially clinch their nominations, but at this point the primaries are effectively over. The general election is about to begin.
On paper, Mr. Biden ought to be the favorite. He’s an incumbent president running for re-election against the backdrop of a healthy enough economy, and against an opponent accused of multiple federal crimes.
Yet according to the polls, Mr. Trump begins the general election campaign in the lead.
Mr. Trump’s lead is modest but clear. Over the last four months, he has led nearly every poll in Michigan, Nevada, Arizona and Georgia, along with the states he carried in 2020 — enough to give him 283 electoral votes and the presidency. He also leads in most national polls over the last month, including a New York Times/Siena College poll last weekend.
This is not what many expected from a Biden-Trump rematch, especially after Democrats were resilient in the midterms and excelled in special elections by campaigning on issues like democracy and abortion.
But Mr. Trump is winning anyway, and there’s a simple reason: Mr. Biden is very unpopular. His job approval rating is stuck in the upper 30s, and voters simply don’t look upon him favorably the way they once did. Nearly three-quarters of voters, including a majority of Democrats, say he is too old to be an effective president.
In the end, Mr. Biden might well prevail by capitalizing on issues like abortion and democracy. Historically, early polls are not especially predictive of the final outcome. Many voters aren’t yet paying close attention, and there will be every opportunity for the Biden campaign to refocus the electorate on more favorable issues once the general election campaign gets underway. The events of the next eight months will surely matter, too — from the effects of a gradually improving economy to the circumstances on the border and conflicts abroad.
But just because the early polls aren’t necessarily predictive does not mean they’re not worth taking seriously. Voters know these candidates very well. Mr. Biden is the president, Mr. Trump is a former president, and both candidates have been in public life for decades. And based on all that voters have seen, they are saying they do not like Mr. Biden and don’t think he’s a very effective president. This is not a small matter.
Democrats have won a lot of elections lately, but not like this. Ever since Hillary Clinton lost in 2016, Democrats have stuck to a simple playbook: nominate acceptable, mainstream candidates and count on voters to reject right-wing Republicans. Mr. Biden himself was such a candidate back in 2020, and even then he defeated Mr. Trump by only a slim margin — by less than a percentage point in some pivotal battleground states. His basic strategy has not changed, but his favorability rating is 14 points lower.
Democrats have recently fared best among lower-turnout electorates, which tend to be composed of highly engaged, older and highly educated voters. The polls suggest that Mr. Biden’s weakness is almost entirely concentrated among the less engaged, less educated segment of the electorate, including many young, Black and Hispanic voters. These voters don’t participate much in special elections or even midterms — but they do vote more in presidential elections.
There might be a kernel of good news for Mr. Biden contained in his extreme weakness among less engaged voters: His campaign can hope they’re simply not paying close attention, and might return to his side once voters tune into the race. My colleague Claire Cain Miller, for instance, interviewed a voter who said abortion was the most important issue, but blamed Mr. Biden for the loss of abortion rights in America. That’s exactly the kind of voter a campaign can hope to sway.
Mr. Biden can also hope that Mr. Trump will loom larger in the minds of voters as the election nears. Mr. Trump’s strength in the polls is not because voters like him — he’s viewed just as unfavorably as he was four years ago. In fact, his ratings are almost exactly where they stood before the last election. Many voters may look back fondly on the economy during his term when judged against post-pandemic inflation and Mr. Biden. On the other hand, a majority of voters say they believe Mr. Trump has committed serious federal crimes.
Mr. Trump’s persistent unpopularity sets up an agonizing choice for millions of voters who liked and backed Mr. Biden in the last election, but now find themselves left to choose between two candidates they dislike, a group sometimes known as “double haters.” It also sets up a challenging election for pollsters, as these voters probably have more volatile preferences. Many of them may not come to a firm decision until they absolutely have to — in the ballot box.
No one can say what these voters will do come November. Many might ultimately choose not to make a decision at all, whether by staying home or voting for a minor-party candidate. What we know is that these voters were essential to Mr. Biden’s victory in 2020, but that they are not fans of him today and now tell pollsters they support Mr. Trump in sufficient numbers to give him the lead. That’s worth taking very seriously.
Zapp Brannigan
Built like a steakhouse, handles like a bistro
Haley is just another Republican arsehole, but she's done a good job in keeping Trump's attention split between the primaries and his, ahem, 'legal issues'. Hopefully his campaign is a bit more shambolic for it, and he'll end up in clink anyway.
Jeff Robinson
Marxist-Lentilist: Jackboots and Jackfruit
Anerica just needs enough cunts like this to get Trump back in
WouldBe
Dislicksick
If only being declared bankrupt disbarred you from running for office.
moochedit
I'm not feeding seagulls
Or he could ask nice Mr Putin for a loan
gosub
~#
Does make it harder though.If only being declared bankrupt disbarred you from running for office.
Couldn't be an MP
NoXion
Craicy the Squirrel
Oh, I see the issue. He's brain dead so he has to use his balls to do his thinking.
Nylock
I hate 'these days'...
No need. There's enough bent right-wing billionaires and dodgy oligarchs looking for a presidential quid pro quo in the domestic population. There'll be no need for him to go looking overseas. They'll either get it back with additional benefits if he makes it into office, or from the rubes when the campaign is in full swing and the donations come rolling in...Or he could ask nice Mr Putin for a loan
Raheem
Well-Known Member
I suppose that's at least something.
Seems like he eventually found the money somewhere. Next one due is a lot bigger though.
WouldBe
Dislicksick
Down the back of the sofa.
Silas Loom
Hated by both sides
From Chubb, weirdly. How on earth do you decide that it is safe to lend money to Donald Trump?
emanymton
A cat politely sat on the flaming gardener.
Fucking nuts isn't it?
gosub
~#
What Idiot Backed Trump’s Bond in E. Jean Carroll Trial? This One.
Good luck to this man.
newrepublic.com
two sheds
Least noticed poster 2007
More entertainment promised 
newrepublic.com
Trump Is About to Face an Avalanche of January 6 Lawsuits
Donald Trump’s legal woes are multiplying after that stupid immunity claim.
newrepublic.com
Jeff Robinson
Marxist-Lentilist: Jackboots and Jackfruit
I’m surprised, I would have thought he’d be a fan
Yossarian
⏭️
Maybe he thought Trump was too soft on immigration
Jeff Robinson
Marxist-Lentilist: Jackboots and Jackfruit
Republican Party now solidified as nothing more than a personality cult forTrump.
www.theguardian.com
Ever since 1912 it's been a rotten, reactionary party steeped in bigotry, religious fundamentalism, violence and plutocracy, but it is now entering a new phase of barbarism. It now believes in nothing other than worshipping at the feet of a rapist, pedophile, insurrectionist and would-be dictator.
‘Absolute bloodbath’ at RNC as new leadership loyal to Trump purges staff
Chair Michael Whatley and co-chair Lara Trump move to reorganize the RNC, with an expected cull of 60 staff
Ever since 1912 it's been a rotten, reactionary party steeped in bigotry, religious fundamentalism, violence and plutocracy, but it is now entering a new phase of barbarism. It now believes in nothing other than worshipping at the feet of a rapist, pedophile, insurrectionist and would-be dictator.
Jeff Robinson
Marxist-Lentilist: Jackboots and Jackfruit
Six out of sixteen charges against Trump dismissed by judge in Georgia RICO trial
www.nbcnews.com
Judge in Georgia election interference case dismisses three counts against Trump
Judge Scott McAfee found some of the counts against the former president and some of his co-defendants were lacking details.
www.nbcnews.com
petee
no gods, no malarkey
Republican Party now solidified as nothing more than a personality cult forTrump.
‘Absolute bloodbath’ at RNC as new leadership loyal to Trump purges staff
Chair Michael Whatley and co-chair Lara Trump move to reorganize the RNC, with an expected cull of 60 staff
including ...
Ex-Trump Lawyer Who Sought to Overturn 2020 Election Hired by RNC as ‘Senior Counsel for Election Integrity’
Bobb also served as an attorney for former President Donald Trump, whose daughter-in-law Lara Trump was installed as RNC co-chair last week.
www.mediaite.com
The Republican National Committee has hired former OAN reporter Christina Bobb as senior counsel for election integrity.
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