The Black Hand said:Perhaps I am talking about the farmers whose operation was large enough to employ some workers... it is undeniable that some aspired to be gentlemen, and that some acheived it... (how many of course is a moot point)
AS for 'ideological evidence', quantifying this is difficult but it is definately a process...
newbie said:I guess it's uneven around the country but contributory factors to the rise in rural house prices include incomers buying country tranquility for retirement or for second/weekend properties and locals converting homes into 'country cottage' holiday rentals. This is townie money buying into an idealised British countryside, with the expectation that it be picture postcard pickled, often accompanied by the sound of the drawbridge to paradise being pulled up.
One response of the farmers to rising input costs- particularly oil- has been diversification. The FMD year revealed how reliant the rural population has become on leisure spending- farming tourists is second only to milking CAP subsidies in rural income generation, maybe overtaken it in popular areas. Another has been away from mass production of food staples towards niche products (organic &/or low volume, high value cheeses or wine or why- luxuries in other words).
There is a global market in food, sustained only by oil and exploitation. We (the population as a whole) eat oil and the fertility and labour of others (cows from Argentina, beans from Kenya) bought from supermarkets who care little for concepts like 'food miles' or sustainability. We want cheap food and lots of it (the obesity issue is pertinent here), that's why we accept the turkey gulag (brilliant!). Yet we decry the industrialisation of the countryside, because we want to go there for our leisure or our retirement, and we want it to remain picture postcard.
What this means for the rural working classes isn't clear (not to me anyway). Most likely continued dispersal away from the countryside into the towns & cities to make way for an older, richer population.
butchersapron said:Ah well - was a good idea. Maybe we can try again?
Nice one Smølfine.
The primary school I went to in 1988 had 70 pupils, it's got 200 now.From what I remember, population movements from the country to the town slowed to the point where, about 3 years ago, the countryside actually started to re-populate.
Yeah, I think it's actually been "repopulating" for a while... might be getting confused with me figures.... could be talking about an increase in numbers of people buying farming land/new farmers etc....General Ludd said:The primary school I went to in 1988 had 70 pupils, it's got 200 now.
On positive note, the last hopping finished today so my step-dad might actually have some weekends off.
And that's not because noone wants to go into farming, if you gave most farm labourers half a change they'd love their own farm. But the guaranteed income that subsidies provide mean that land prices are stupid, and that's before you buy milk quotas and everything else you need.(Another aside: Just 1% of agricultural land changes hands each year, and just 40% of that is new entrants to farming - and the underlying trend is for the number of new entrants to increase by 1% per year.)
I'd be interested to hear more detail on that research.totaladdict said:<snip> I have some figures on this, <snip>
Ye bugger! Means I'll have to get in the attic and grab me research. I will get round to it but I just started a new job and it's knackering me out at the moment. Sometime this weekend hopefully....Bernie Gunther said:I'd be interested to hear more detail on that research.<snip>
A very interesting question... but I want you to answer it not ask it!!Who will own the means of food production and how will labour be deployed, as it replaces cheap oil energy?
Problem for me is that I understand the energy, architecture and sustainability bit rather better than I understand the class composition and production relations bit, which is why I wanted to raise the issue of how that stuff is likely to change over time in this thread.totaladdict said:<snip> A very interesting question... but I want you to answer it not ask it!!
Trying to come with a decent answer to question of changes in production relationships and an well constructed answer to Jezza's questions. The pub has taken over a bit in the last few days though.Just need GL to get his arse into gear and we're away again
The first thing I'd say in response to this is that it is all predicate on no new energy sources being found/developed before scarcity of oil starts to cause massive increases in the cost of energy. Thus one plausible outcome is that nothing changes at all.Problem for me is that I understand the energy, architecture and sustainability bit rather better than I understand the class composition and production relations bit, which is why I wanted to raise the issue of how that stuff is likely to change over time in this thread.
Right. Time to answer tricky question. Tricky because I have no firm statistical evidence of this, rather anecdotal evidence and whatever impressions I have gathered. The first sign for me is that, like in the cities, absenteeism and workplace theft and sabotage have increased in rural areas, like in the cities. What is significant about this is that whilst in the cities these new forms of resistance have appeared as a result of old modes of struggle (unions etc) becoming outdated and inefficient, whilst in the countryside these old modes of struggle were always much weaker for both cultural and strategic reasons (the lack of mass factories in particular). So in the cities increases in sickies is a sign of a shift in struggle, whilst in the countryside it indicates an increase in the level of struggle. More anecdotally I think in the last 10 years there has been an increase in the political consciosness of the rural working class, so that now there is now a 'mob' (and mob in a non-derogatory sense) that the CA can try and harness to achieve its political goals. I also think the state has become more important, so the working class in the countryside sees itself more in opposition to the state than previously where the played much less of a role in working class ideas which were, imo, much more localised. It's all got very wooly now but effectively I'm attempting to say that there has been a noticable increase in extent to which the rural working class sees itself as a whole, and it's struggles as a whole, rather than as seperate struggles and seperate individuals.which, as you know, is a surprise to me. are there specific instances of this you can cite, or something to put flesh on this one?
General Ludd said:If the price of energy does substantially increase the obvious initial consequence is an increase in the power of the working class, and not just in farming but everywhere
I'd just add to this:General Ludd said:It should also be noted that we currently have 'unnaturally low' levels of employment of farm labour as a result of subsidies for production. (Subsidies are slowly being shifted away from production but qualitively the reforms have so far changed little and there have been no changes in production relationships as a result of these reforms) By making producing quantities of commodities that would otherwise be uneconomic profitable the average size of farms has been increased, and so the number of farm labourers employed has been reduced since smaller farms employ more workers per acre than very large farms. Production subsidies have also had the affect of increasing use of chemicals, since a chemical that delivers a 10% increase in production for a 20% increase in costs would not normally be used but if a 10% increase in production is rewarded with subsidies equal to a further 15% increase in production then those chemicals will be used. Subsidies have had the further affect of increasing land prices with provides another barrier against small farms and encourages more intensive farming since the return per acre necessary to make farming profitable compared to other locations for capital is much higher than it would be for a low land price. None of this is accidental of course, they were all forseeable consequences that in may opinion were forseen and chosen as a response to the increase in power of the rural working class in WW2 and the surrounding time periods.
While that is probably true, there's also a likelihood that increased petrol costs will leave rural people poorer in other areas instead. People will still use their cars - they'll go without other things instead, like they do now (it'll be a few pints less down the pub, or the kid not getting a new pair of football boots, or no more sky TV...). But that's a minor point worth considering rather than negating your point completely.newbie said:It's possibly worth adding that rural isolation will increase as petrol prices outpace incomes- the poorest already have the least mobility and that trend will gather pace. In those circumstances, how do the atomised rural w/c exercise the power you anticipate they'll aquire?
That's very interesting. I'm finding something similar happening in my urban area. Gardeners in our little neighbourhood have a kind of gift-economy, in which surplus produce is often presented to neighbours free, then reciprocated as seasons turn. We're also right on the peri-urban fringe and have some direct access to farm produce without mediation by lots of corporate entities. I get my manure from a farm.totaladdict said:<snip> I don't know about that... but I do think people around here are adapting. There's now 3 stalls at the local car boot sale selling "natural" produce (not organic as they can't afford certification, just no pesticide, no oil-based fertilisers etc), where 3 years ago there were none. I see more little 'put the money in the box' type vegetable tables outside houses than 5 years ago. 2 weeks ago my next door neighbour left a huge box of courgettes on the street with a big "Free" sign... and they were all gone by the end of the day. <snip>