existentialist
Tired and unemotional
I note that the Pulse GP trade paper is reporting that the NHS Covid-19 app has now been tweaked to reduce its sensitivity.
Stray ponder: are people researching anti viral treatments for covid ? Haven’t seen anything about that.
More recently: clear evidence that even mild infections post vaccination can lead to long covid symptoms. The rate being somewhere (hand-wavingly) between around a half to one times that in the unvaccinated.There was this, it’s a bit old now but :
Hospital admissions continues to look encouraging.
Are we going to be exporting the Delta variation to countries where they've not had so many vaccinated do we know?
I note that the Pulse GP trade paper is reporting that the NHS Covid-19 app has now been tweaked to reduce its sensitivity.
Yeah, it's based on scaling up the people who use the ZOE app to the full population.I think i must be reading this wrong.
What does it mean when it says that ZOE man's study has shown "around 60,000 cases a day" are reported ?
is that using zoe figures plus some algorithm ?
COVID-19: UK's daily coronavirus data 'looks a bit fishy', says professor behind UK's largest symptom study
Professor Spector, the man behind the ZOE COVID Symptom Study, says reduced coronavirus testing and concerns over the "pingdemic" could be behind the "dramatic drop" in the number of daily cases recorded by the government.news.sky.com
Yeah, it's based on scaling up the people who use the ZOE app to the full population.
Needless to say it's anyone's guess who is right here. There's a good chance the methodology for getting that 60,000 number is wrong. But I wouldn't be surprised if the official numbers were a bit understated either.
Thread from Deepti Gurdasani
with a warning to expect a rise in cases in September...
Yeah, it's based on scaling up the people who use the ZOE app to the full population.
Needless to say it's anyone's guess who is right here. There's a good chance the methodology for getting that 60,000 number is wrong. But I wouldn't be surprised if the official numbers were a bit understated either.
The sewer data looks convincing though ... the arseholes seem to have won the gamble - presumably people are being reasonably sensible.
The JBC looks to be based on the Joint Terrorism Analysis Centre (JTAC). JTAC analyses intelligence related to terrorism and sets threat levels, which in turn inform ministers’ decisions on protecting the public and operational deployments by the police and other agencies.
Yes, Universities will inevitably see a spike in cases. Same as when I was in Uni and would get "freshers flu" every year. Except now with added Covid. Let's hope that as many students get vaccinated as possible in advance. It can be done if there's enough pressure from peers and from the Universities themselves.If there really is progress (however defined or measured) it goes without saying that's a good thing. But it's still best to keep in mind this is a flawed strategy in the sense that it's been a mixture of gambling and flailing around (over issues like travel and isolation). And that's not just to remind us that they are incompetent scum who have killed tens of thousands, it's also about a lack of confidence how it will play out September onwards. There'll be the schools of course, but I've seen nothing to suggest university halls won't be infection factories again. At a lower level of infection certainly, but passing the virus on to the unvaccinated and vaccinated. The other thing about universities is that most of them seem to be planning to maximise the amount of traditional teaching, in a response to 'why am I paying nine grand for this' complaints. My own institution will be putting large lectures online but otherwise returning to normal lectures and seminars. Universities are in a marketplace and none of them are going to insist on mask wearing or that students get vaccinated, afaik. They will be running pro-vaccination ads, I'm sure, and maybe that's the best way to go. But having unvaccinated 18 year olds living in halls ain't great in a pandemic.
I think there will be genuinely good 'messaging' in universities about getting vaccinated, but an unwillingness to do anything that interferes with recruitment competition and the HE free market.Yes, Universities will inevitably see a spike in cases. Same as when I was in Uni and would get "freshers flu" every year. Except now with added Covid. Let's hope that as many students get vaccinated as possible in advance. It can be done if there's enough pressure from peers and from the Universities themselves.
Yep I think that will be bang onI think there will be genuinely good 'messaging' in universities about getting vaccinated, but an unwillingness to do anything that interferes with recruitment competition and the HE free market.
It's only a couple of weeks until scottish school holidays finish, so no doubt everyone will be watching closely what happens there.
New cases increased by 83% to 649 in the week to 29 July, giving the area England's highest infection rate of 654 per 100,000 people.
The Wharf and University district, a popular destination for bars, clubs and restaurants, recorded a rate of 1,140.
Natalie Liddle, from Public Health Lincolnshire, said the majority of cases were in people aged under 30.
"We are currently managing a cluster of outbreaks in and around Lincoln - and we've seen a particular increase in cases linked to the night-time economy," she said.
"We are particularly dealing with one large outbreak at the moment, [and] that has impacted a large number of people."
Hospital admissions stopped rising a while ago, and have done a mix of staying the same or decresing since, with more decreases of note more recently.View attachment 281919
Odd that new cases are down but hospital admissions and deaths are rising
View attachment 281920