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Coronavirus in the UK - news, lockdown and discussion


So, the next step on the way to our Mad Max dystopia...

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Ffs we're all going to look like Crazy Frog by Christmas.
 
Uh oh, I've reached the point where I feel the need to complain about my own post because R is not a rate.

<strokes place where old lockdown beard was>

Not a rate in terms of time, I guess. Haven't really thought about how far the term extends...
 
Ffs we're all going to look like Crazy Frog by Christmas.
It doesn't really seem to say much new. More like just confirming the current state of evidence (generally poor)

However, none of these interventions, even when properly used and combined, give complete protection from infection, and the authors note that some of the findings, particularly around face masks and eye protection, are supported by low-certainty evidence [1], with no completed randomised trials addressing COVID-19 for these interventions (table 2).
 
It’s really hard to do a RCT for face covering. So you need to take alternative approaches for the study method, which might not meet the gold standard of an RCT but nevertheless still have statistical merit, plus the advantage of actually being achievable.
 
It’s really hard to do a RCT for face covering. So you need to take alternative approaches for the study method, which might not meet the gold standard of an RCT but nevertheless still have statistical merit, plus the advantage of actually being achievable.
Yes, but unfortunately they grade the quality of the evidence so far as:

low certainty (our confidence in the effect estimate is limited; the true effect could be substantially different from the estimate of the effect)
 
The differences between Wales and England on public transport are huge.

In Wales, most of the seats on trains are covered over with signs telling people they need to maintain social distancing and long benches have signs ensuring people stay 2m apart.

Everything around town seems eminently more sensible and with their pubs not reopening until a week Monday, the question I keep getting asked is, "why the hell did English pubs reopen on a Saturday?"
 
The differences between Wales and England on public transport are huge.

In Wales, most of the seats on trains are covered over with signs telling people they need to maintain social distancing and long benches have signs ensuring people stay 2m apart.

Everything around town seems eminently more sensible and with their pubs not reopening until a week Monday, the question I keep getting asked is, "why the hell did English pubs reopen on a Saturday?"

It's not an England Vs Wales thing with the train seats. Different train companies handled it differently.

Northern rail had lots of seat covers but they seem to have been removed recently.
 
The differences between Wales and England on public transport are huge.

In Wales, most of the seats on trains are covered over with signs telling people they need to maintain social distancing and long benches have signs ensuring people stay 2m apart.

Everything around town seems eminently more sensible and with their pubs not reopening until a week Monday, the question I keep getting asked is, "why the hell did English pubs reopen on a Saturday?"
Went alright, though, didn't it? What magic thing happens a week Monday to make pubs safe again?
 
Went alright, though, didn't it? What magic thing happens a week Monday to make pubs safe again?

Yeah and a lot of pubs didn't open anyway. In fact several round my way still aren't as they are run by breweries who are doing a staged reintroduction across their estate. Still, opening on a Saturday was potentially a pretty daft thing to do.
 
You don't think it was safer to reopen pubs later rather than earlier, and choosing a traditionally quiet Monday rather then a 'Super Saturday' where people usually go out and get smashed out of their brains?


No, it's much easier to pick holes in one bit of your post instead of taking it as a whole and saving the typewriter the agony of a petty alphabet.
 
The differences between Wales and England on public transport are huge.

In Wales, most of the seats on trains are covered over with signs telling people they need to maintain social distancing and long benches have signs ensuring people stay 2m apart.

Everything around town seems eminently more sensible and with their pubs not reopening until a week Monday, the question I keep getting asked is, "why the hell did English pubs reopen on a Saturday?"

I agree with almost all of this :), including about transport.

But (bolded bit) a minority of pubs in Wales have been opening their gardens/yards/exteriors since Monday 3rd July (they had the sense not to open them on a bloody Saturday anyway, so no argument there).

My confidence about this is about us cycling up to a country pub outside Swansea with quality ale in it :beer: :thumbs: .

A bit busy though it was, there was no bother there :) :cool:
 
I was surprised when I returned to work 4 weeks ago to find hardly anyone wearing masks, but initially it was just us handful of IT staff working individually or in very small groups setting up offices for social distancing.

As more and more staff return to work, things are changing and I for one, will be wearing a mask when in other areas of the site and especially in shared facilities (I have never shopped unmasked).
Encountering two masked clients (scientists) enabled me to broach the subject ...

One colleague has decided he's somewhat at risk as numbers of people pick up and is resisting being at work much.....only 50, massively strong - black belt in Aikido, but heavy and type 2 diabetic...
 
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We went to our local (which we avoided for years as it seemed pretty rough but actually it's quite nice when it's quiet) for a quick lunch half pint yesterday - took about 10 mins to set up the app for ordering and tracing, but then it worked pretty well. We'll probably go for lunch next week when both kids will be out of the house during the day at summer camps * faints * - it's got quite a nice garden and it is is well spaced out, and they've got a military grade cleaning regime going on. Local pubs all seem very quiet. We had lunch outdoors at a country pub on Sunday and that was pretty quiet but I think only because the morning had been on the rainy side and it had only just stopped (was good news for us as it didn't take bookings and we were counting on having lunch there midway through a walk).

I find it odd people talking about 'if there is a second wave' because, to my mind, of course there will be a second wave, it's basically unavoidable unless we stay on total lockdown until immunity/vaccine, but then I also think it is the right thing to do to partially open up in summer when it's easier to do things outdoors, open shop/restaurant frontages etc, as it might give businesses a fighting chance of survival. For all the hurrumphing about 'Oh, they just want people to die so that we can line the pockets of Big Business', the vast majority of businesses are small and need a chance to make a living. I don't think we'll get a true second wave this summer, though there will be spikes in areas - my understanding is the government is expecting it around October, though I'd have thought later in winter might be more likely.
 
We went to our local (which we avoided for years as it seemed pretty rough but actually it's quite nice when it's quiet) for a quick lunch half pint yesterday - took about 10 mins to set up the app for ordering and tracing, but then it worked pretty well. We'll probably go for lunch next week when both kids will be out of the house during the day at summer camps * faints * - it's got quite a nice garden and it is is well spaced out, and they've got a military grade cleaning regime going on. Local pubs all seem very quiet. We had lunch outdoors at a country pub on Sunday and that was pretty quiet but I think only because the morning had been on the rainy side and it had only just stopped (was good news for us as it didn't take bookings and we were counting on having lunch there midway through a walk).

I find it odd people talking about 'if there is a second wave' because, to my mind, of course there will be a second wave, it's basically unavoidable unless we stay on total lockdown until immunity/vaccine, but then I also think it is the right thing to do to partially open up in summer when it's easier to do things outdoors, open shop/restaurant frontages etc, as it might give businesses a fighting chance of survival. For all the hurrumphing about 'Oh, they just want people to die so that we can line the pockets of Big Business', the vast majority of businesses are small and need a chance to make a living. I don't think we'll get a true second wave this summer, though there will be spikes in areas - my understanding is the government is expecting it around October, though I'd have thought later in winter might be more likely.
I think there is a bit of herd immunity potential in this too as the young and healthy get a chance to mingle, catch it and recover whilst the older and more vulnerable are mostly still staying at home.
 
Plans for several hundred walk-in test centres and 500,000 per day test capacity by the end of October:


The thing about winter preparations in regards testing is that at some point in the autumn/early winter we lose the ability to assume a huge chunk of those experiencing symptoms have SARS-CoV-2 as opposed to other seasonal respiratory infections. So you need much more capacity, and they will also need to think about whether they are going to do lots of testing for the other viruses too.
 
Plans for several hundred walk-in test centres and 500,000 per day test capacity by the end of October:


The thing about winter preparations in regards testing is that at some point in the autumn/early winter we lose the ability to assume a huge chunk of those experiencing symptoms have SARS-CoV-2 as opposed to other seasonal respiratory infections. So you need much more capacity, and they will also need to think about whether they are going to do lots of testing for the other viruses too.

Testing is still being rationed by the limited number of symptoms listed. The NHS site says you can get tested ”if you have coronavirus symptoms now (a high temperature, a new, continuous cough, or a loss or change to your sense of smell or taste)”. This rules out those - the majority - who don’t have these symptoms or don’t have any symptoms at all but feel they may have a reason to get tested. In reality you can go ahead and book a test anyway but the site discourages you from doing this. My local walk-in centre remains very quiet, probably partly for this reason. If they want more people to get tested the messaging will have to change. It would make sense to me to say that if you feel like you’ve got a cold coming on then get tested.
 
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