Raheem
Well-Known Member
The Mail at least showing some awareness of its own history with 'Hurrah'.
The Mail at least showing some awareness of its own history with 'Hurrah'.
The hospitalization is on its way down, though more sharply in London. I agree about the new cases though. With testing ramped up to these levels Germany found this kind of level of new cases around 3 to 4 weeks ago. My biggest worry is the evident failure to stop spread in hospitals. How long people are outside or if they're having picnics is as good as irrelevant compared to that, yet this will be the focus rather than the ongoing infection protocol failures.I think for me it's this:
- There is no pattern in decline for new cases. Obviously that may represent a real decline (because more testing), but with at least 5k new cases/day... um.
- The picture for deaths is still unclear. Does seem to be a decline, but really needs another week to see how that plays out.
- US deaths may be coming up. Again, really needs a week to be clear, and exactly what that represents is difficult to say.
Broadly though, the theme there is 'let the data clarify itself (themselves?) a bit'. Monday week might be the right time for some (cautious) announcement, I just don't see how Monday can be.
The hospitalization is on its way down, though more sharply in London. I agree about the new cases though. With testing ramped up to these levels Germany found this kind of level of new cases around 3 to 4 weeks ago. My biggest worry is the evident failure to stop spread in hospitals. How long people are outside or if they're having picnics is as good as irrelevant compared to that, yet this will be the focus rather than the ongoing infection protocol failures.
I'm sure I read guidelines somewhere about walking for an hour, cycling for half an hour and running somewhere between the two per day.
Discussed hereI'm sure I read guidelines somewhere about walking for an hour, cycling for half an hour and running somewhere between the two per day.
Yeah, the lack of progress outside London is a worry. Only thing I would say about that, having spent waaaaay too much time looking at these things, is that there is a general (although not universal) pattern across countries that the more severe your outbreak, the steeper the initial curve down is, simply because it was so high to start with.Seems to me outside of London the situation is largely plateaued. General trend is downwards with both deaths and hospitalisations but not in any great way. It would be interesting to see the trend line for the country if London was removed?
The start of lockdown was driven by the situation in London. Is the phasing out of lockdown being driven in the same way?
It occurs to me that, in the lead-up to lockdown, the papers released on SAGE stuff indicate that a major consideration was that 'everybody else is dong it, so people will expect us to do it'. Is the same logic being applied here? Is there any more thinking behind it than that?
Yeah, that was my instinct... 'Italy is easing up, we need to keep up with Europe'.
If that's true, then it's absolutely sophomoric logic. Aren't at least some of the SAGE folks supposed to have a scientific background? Sounds like they should be fired. Out of a cannon.
If that's true, then it's absolutely sophomoric logic. Aren't at least some of the SAGE folks supposed to have a scientific background? Sounds like they should be fired. Out of a cannon.
Yep... and there are some good scientists and statisticians on it. But there are a lot of them, they need to agree on the advice they're giving, and even if that advice is absolutely spot in it's then getting shunted through a set of people who probably need 'my valet' to tie their shoelaces.
Something that's bothering me a lot about COVID-19. In many other events involving needless death of large numbers of people like a terrorist attack or a natural disaster or something you'd have minutes silences ordered by the govt, flags at half mast, memorials announced etc. There doesn't seem to be anything like that with this unless I've missed it. There aren't many details about most of the people who died and I guess it's because there are just so many but it seems really sad and wrong
It does not help that the BBC and the rest of the press is failing to cover the pandemic as an emergency. The BBC is basically back to the wartime rules coverage. You go on the BBC's website and what you see is stories like 'I am 23, I hadn't realised Covid-19 can affect me too' or 'Corona virus: I get dressed up every day but have nowhere to go', etc. The general approach seems to be let's not dwell on the daily death rate and government's blunders, instead let's do a bit of public-health messaging and tell the public what is being done about testing. What you get after weeks of this sort of coverage is masses of people desensitized to the horror of covid-19, similar to when soldiers are dying in some distant conflict and you can't quite associate yourself with their deaths because no one talks about their deaths nor the reasons and causes of their deaths.
Life right now feels like two parallel running high speed trains. On one train everyone is dying and on the other people are just longing to arrive somewhere alive. There is a strange sense of cruelty and coldness about people waiting for others to stop dying so they can arrive somewhere to resume their normal lives.
There was the Trade Union initiated minutes silence for front line workers.
I thought you were supposed to ramble once a day and close to home , and maybe those are both changing? Looks like national trust likely to reopen its sites (which will be very inconvenient as I’ve gotten used to having the whole place to myself)
I thought you were supposed to ramble once a day and close to home , and maybe those are both changing? Looks like national trust likely to reopen its sites (which will be very inconvenient as I’ve gotten used to having the whole place to myself)
You can't pretend that what other countries are deciding to do is irrelevant to what the best decision is for the UK.
Where did you get this from? It seems really really unlikely.Looks like national trust likely to reopen its sites
exactly. What other countries are doing, how and when they are doing it, and what effects it is having are all obviously crucial factors to consider for any country that finds itself at the rear of the race.But neither can you ignore the context for why those countries are doing what they're doing in the first place. Like having fewer deaths, better testing regimes and more pro-active infection control than our feckless PPE wanker government ever bothered to do.
Where did you get this from? It seems really really unlikely.
There's nothing about the National Trust in any of the papers. Maybe limited openings of some completely outdoor sites but unless they just throw open the gates there's going to be pinch points. And public toilets. And ice cream vans with queues. It sounds really unlikely to me.Outdoor space first I suspect.