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Coronavirus in the UK - news, lockdown and discussion

The support bubble thing has got a bit confusing maybe as they expanded it. And there were support bubbles, childcare bubbles and then Christmas bubbles. People don’t necessarily get that you can’t socialise with your childcare bubble. I’m in a support bubble with my sister so that means we can socialise in a group of 10.

Support bubble: A single person household may have support from another household.
Childcare bubble: One household allowed to provide childcare for another. Limited to childcare, should not be social.
 
I didn’t realise people were still doing support bubbles. This must be why I’m still seeing a lot of people in the street. Aren’t we supposed to stay in unless we go to the shops or get some exercise?

That's why getting rid of them with any tighter restrictions makes sense tbh.
 
I do wonder what their thinking is on that... Is high household transmission still showing in the data? surely far too soon to see that... I tend to leap to the assumption that they're thinking 'bloody proles using support bubbles as an excuse for mixing'.

It might be that they are intending to use a much heavier policing approach, and that bubble excuses are what the police often faced when previously 'advising people' of the rules.
 
Or one adult + a disabled adult
Or two adults + a baby under one
Or two adults + a disabled child under 5

Yes but these are exceptions you're going to specifically look up if you're in that kind of situation. The basic rule is not that hard to grasp.
 
Support bubble: A single person household may have support from another household.
Childcare bubble: One household allowed to provide childcare for another. Limited to childcare, should not be social.
there are additional bubbles available for families with newborn or disabled children too. But I don't think they really add that much confusion as there generally isn't any ambiguity whether your family includes one of these.
 
The support bubble thing has got a bit confusing maybe as they expanded it. And there were support bubbles, childcare bubbles and then Christmas bubbles. People don’t necessarily get that you can’t socialise with your childcare bubble. I’m in a support bubble with my sister so that means we can socialise in a group of 10.
I think there have been so many changes and different rules in different places, that many people have completely lost track (I know I have but then I'm basically staying at home and not seeing anyone so...). Some people are swinging the lead but I'm not sure how you deal with that tbh.
 
I think there have been so many changes and different rules in different places, that many people have completely lost track (I know I have but then I'm basically staying at home and not seeing anyone so...). Some people are swinging the lead but I'm not sure how you deal with that tbh.

Yeah... I can understand why people are 'confused' (they're not, they just can't be arsed to check). The solution is always better communication. Whether that means a specific registry, offences for false support bubbles, information campaigns etc.
 
I see Starmers schools flip-flopping did not escape the attention of Marr:

Labour's Sir Kier Starmer has accused the prime minster of being "slow into every decision" around coronavirus restrictions.

But Andrew Marr also challenged him over the closure of primary schools: "On Sunday (last week) you said specifically you didn't want to close schools. The following morning, your education spokeswoman Kate Green said schools should be the very last place to close - so you did not give a different message from the prime minister."

Starmer says: "I didn't want schools to close I'm not going to shy away from that, because of the impact that has on vulnerable children."

Marr replies that on the particular decision to close primary schools "you were just as slow and just as indecisive as the prime minister".

(from the 10:49 entry of https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-55605009 )
 
I think support bubbles have been abused (and admit have been guilty of it myself). Ended up feeling torn between two single friends both with mental health needs and agreeing a bubble with both of them (with both of their consent). That then got very difficult when further rules started being broken without getting the consent of everyone in the bubble. No it's not ok to meet someone off Grindr without asking everyone even if they have claimed to self isolate in advance. No it's not ok to go and have dinner round your ex's. No it's not ok to suddenly bring another 'safe' single friend into this ever expanding porous bubble. I'd love it to be scrapped or tightened up as it would make it a lot easier to completely pop the bubble without interpersonal grief.
 
Both my lodgers have been staying over at their boyfriends' every weekend. In theory, one could be a support bubble, but not both.

T
A friend of mine is in this situation - she lives alone but was in a support bubble with a friend who has a lodger, but now the lodger has a boyfriend so lodger says he is her support bubble... My friend isn’t sure if lodger’s boyfriend lives with anyone else so does that mean she can no longer be in this support bubble?

Or family A has a baby so form a support bubble with family B, and family B are in a childcare bubble with family C, and family C are in a support bubble with person D who lives alone... so they think why not just all socialise as one big bubble since all connected anyway?
 
The solution is always better communication.
I know it's all been said and dragged over before, but the other day I did find myself once again thinking just how utterly ludicrous the government's piss-poor communication throughout all this is.

We have smart, talented people who know how to communicate science effectively, but instead we've got this utterly garbled mess. I guess that's in part reflective of the garbled mess that is the government's ever-changing strategies and policies, only so much you can do to turn something that doesn't make sense into something that does, but still, I feel confident in also saying it is for a lack of trying (and ability).
 
A friend of mine is in this situation - she lives alone but was in a support bubble with a friend who has a lodger, but now the lodger has a boyfriend so lodger says he is her support bubble... My friend isn’t sure if lodger’s boyfriend lives with anyone else so does that mean she can no longer be in this support bubble?

Or family A has a baby so form a support bubble with family B, and family B are in a childcare bubble with family C, and family C are in a support bubble with person D who lives alone... so they think why not just all socialise as one big bubble since all connected anyway?

Afaik a lodger makes a household more than one person, but yes it is stupid that that isn't more clear.

The latter example is more simple: Childcare bubbles are explicitly not for socialising.
 
A lot of this is rules lawyering... The principle that should always be returned to is minimising contact. Support bubbles are if you need support. Childcare bubbles are strictly for childcare. There are always going to be difficult exceptions and edge cases... But understanding that part should lead to erring on the side of more conservative interpretations... Whereas often the opposite is true.
 
There is some twisted comflation of things going on here that require some careful unpicking:


This view was backed by Mark Woolhouse, professor of infectious disease epidemiology at Edinburgh University. “This epidemic would have unfolded very differently and in a much happier way if we had accepted, back in February, that we were in this for the long term,” he said. “However, the view that it was a short-term problem prevailed.

“It was thought we could completely suppress the virus, and that is why we are in the mess that we are in now.”

The idea that the virus could be eradicated was a costly mistake, said Martin Hibberd of the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. “We have to understand Covid-19 is going to become endemic. The virus will not disappear. We are not going to eradicate it. Even if every human on Earth was vaccinated, we would still be at risk of it coming back.”

I dont think Im in the right mood to carefully unpick it right now so I'll just say that the likes of Whitty have consistently spoken of their expectations that it would become endemic. They even used that stuff, and the threat of future waves, to justify their original shitty 'act late and weak and just press the curve down a bit otherwise it will bounce back later just when we dont want it to, in winter'. And the government paid lip service to the idea of suppression, but nobody seriously thought they were pursuing a zero covid approach at any stage. So I find the idea that we are in the current mess because they thought they could totally suppress the virus to be a sick joke.

There are aspects of the article which I wouldnt be so damning of, and the need for a long term approach and for people to have realistic expectations about the future is important. But there are some untested preconcieved ideas and some disgusting distortions in whats being said by some of those people. Whichever side these people are on, there are signs of the usual problem with narrow, orthodox thinking and a lack of genuine ambition.
 
Not sure if it’s against the rules but I am doing my sister’s recycling for her as the binmen haven’t come in ages and we have massive recycling bins in our block. Won’t be going inside, just picking the bags up and sticking them in the car. Will just wave at my sister and kids at the door.
Can’t really see the harm in it?
 
There is some twisted comflation of things going on here that require some careful unpicking:




I dont think Im in the right mood to carefully unpick it right now so I'll just say that the likes of Whitty have consistently spoken of their expectations that it would become endemic. They even used that stuff, and the threat of future waves, to justify their original shitty 'act late and weak and just press the curve down a bit otherwise it will bounce back later just when we dont want it to, in winter'. And the government paid lip service to the idea of suppression, but nobody seriously thought they were pursuing a zero covid approach at any stage. So I find the idea that we are in the current mess because they thought they could totally suppress the virus to be a sick joke.

There are aspects of the article which I wouldnt be so damning of, and the need for a long term approach and for people to have realistic expectations about the future is important. But there are some untested preconcieved ideas and some disgusting distortions in whats being said by some of those people. Whichever side these people are on, there are signs of the usual problem with narrow, orthodox thinking and a lack of genuine ambition.

Yeah, that is a weird article... But hard to unpick a bunch of selected quotes.
 
I think some places round here are kind of taking the piss with the definition of essential retail too tbh which must be a real kick in the teeth for shops that have followed the rules and lost a lot of business as a result.
Yeah, saw a clothes shop open that had displays of Haribo in the window. I wondered if they were trying to get round things by pretending they were selling food or some other absolute bollocks. (They've big windows so you can see in and couldn't see in passing how else they could be open as apart from that, it looked like their usual stock.)
 
Not sure if it’s against the rules but I am doing my sister’s recycling for her as the binmen haven’t come in ages and we have massive recycling bins in our block. Won’t be going inside, just picking the bags up and sticking them in the car. Will just wave at my sister and kids at the door.
Can’t really see the harm in it?
Technically you and your dad could be in a support bubble with your sister cause she's a single mum. Unless she has another support bubble.
I don't think bins are a problem.
 
Yeah, that is a weird article... But hard to unpick a bunch of selected quotes.

The quotes make more sense when pre-pandemic orthodox wisdom is taken into account, and when the history of certain people that were quoted is taken into account.

I cant do the full subject justice right now, but in terms of orthodox approach and lack of ambition, such things are also present in the very first posts I made about this pandemic. When I spoke about how if the new virus could transmit very effectively between people, humanity would not stop it or even really try to. It is a source of regret that I've spend much of the pandemic commentating on what was happening and what might happen next, instead of what should happen next. I attempted to compensate for this later by picking at various aspects of the orthodox approach, but my ideas were still limited.

As for specific people that were quoted, Woolhouse is the obvious one to pick on. Pandemic cunt. May occasionally come out with something sensible I agree with, but for sure an example of how much horror a particular narrow view can impose. He saw lockdown as something that caused more harm than good, eg in this quote from August:

“Lockdown was a panic measure and I believe history will say trying to control Covid-19 through lockdown was a monumental mistake on a global scale, the cure was worse than the disease.
“I never want to see national lockdown again. It was always a temporary measure that simply delayed the stage of the epidemic we see now. It was never going to change anything fundamentally, however low we drove down the number of cases, and now we know more about the virus and how to track it we should not be in this position again.
“We absolutely should never return to a position where children cannot play or go to school.
“I believe the harm lockdown is doing to our education, health care access, and broader aspects of our economy and society will turn out to be at least as great as the harm done by Covid-19.”


That sort of thing alone is enough for me to view him as a dangerous shithead in this pandemic. And the shitty nature of his stance is made worse when exploring what he actually did on a personal level compared to the approach he would have the rest of us take. This article is from last April:

A Scottish Government coronavirus adviser ignored Nicola Sturgeon’s advice and stayed at his island holiday home hours before lockdown restrictions were put in place.

Professor Mark Woolhouse, 60, has angered residents on Lismore by temporarily moving to the tiny Hebridean island with his family from Edinburgh.

 
Not sure if it’s against the rules but I am doing my sister’s recycling for her as the binmen haven’t come in ages and we have massive recycling bins in our block. Won’t be going inside, just picking the bags up and sticking them in the car. Will just wave at my sister and kids at the door.
Can’t really see the harm in it?

This is the sort of practical exception (I don't think it even is an exception really) that really is going to be fine... It's something that needs to be done, and doesn't actually result in any contact. Well, wash hands.

Again, what it is critical to avoid is any unnecessary indoor contact. The added layers of caution and uncertainty mean that outdoor social contact is also limited...
 
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