You're not delegitimising the process, thoBut, for arguments sake, if knowing that one side will inevitably win, and I have no preference based on an ability to discern differential impacts, what are the possible negative impacts of non-voting?
On the other hand, I can see positive impacts including delegitimising the process.
YOUR life may be dull: but don't judge everyone by your own experienceVote OUT. Life is dull. Lets shake things up a little bit. Rock the Boat!
I don't think there is an option on the ballot paper for "whichever side is doing worst in the count" ha.I'd quite like the result to be close. Really, really close. So neither side can claim to win and for them to tear each other to pieces fighting over the poll's legitimacy. The more discrepancies, legal challenges and dodgy ballot boxes the better.
I won't even get that though will I?
Yup, trying to push exports into New Zealand sufficient to keep Brits in employment compared to the EU market will certainly not be dull! it might feature a lot of unemployment but it won't be dullVote OUT. Life is dull. Lets shake things up a little bit. Rock the Boat!
I actually decided because I was in a pub yesterday afternoon sat between 2 guys talking about this and the 1 on my right, about 80-odd years old, said everyone should not vote because then the rulers wouldn't know what to do, then the 1 on my left who was much younger pointed out that they wouldn't mind that at all and that I should vote remain. So I decided then.You're not delegitimising the process, tho
Go on...You're not delegitimising the process, tho
I asked because I sensed from your earlier post that you regarded all possible actions as having 'negative impacts'. I assumed you meant non-voting as well as R/L? I can't see the 'negative impacts' of not voting...so I wondered what your were thinking of?you undermine your claim to an ability to discern differential impacts when you have to ask what the possible negative impacts of not voting are.
tbh this isn't a referendum with winners all round. either we stay in, with "david cameron's" wing of the tory party triumphant; or we leave, with "boris johnson's" wing of the tory party triumphant: at least at first. i don't really see how you can say 'a plague on both your houses' in that is no more progressive third option unless the numbers of respondents to each option are exactly equal: in which case fuck knows what happens, they probably rerun it a couple of weeks later. it's fair enough to abstain if you have no view on the matter: but it is in this instance, i think, wrong to believe stopping at home is going to play in realistic delegitimating role, going to enthuse the masses or achieve anything at all. i refer again to the 1997 referendum on welsh devolution, in which 50.22% of the electorate voted, 50.3% voted in favour of devolution and 49.7 against devolution. the welsh assembly was created and afaik no one ever referred to the low turnout, or to the insignificance of the 'for' majority. take, again, the pcc elections in which a tiny proportion of the electorate participated. it's not like any of the victors from these piddling polls said 'i don't believe i have a mandate'.I asked because I sensed from your earlier post that you regarded all possible actions as having 'negative impacts'. I assumed you meant non-voting as well as R/L? I can't see the 'negative impacts' of not voting...so I wondered what your were thinking of?
i thought we'd moved past trusting polls other than the genuine article which will be held on 23 june.Pickman's model Why do you think it will be 55-45 in favour of remain? We have just had a poll showing Brexit in the lead does that not give you pause for concern it may go leave?
I think you'll find the onus is on you to show your workings...Go on...
tbh this isn't a referendum with winners all round. either we stay in, with "david cameron's" wing of the tory party triumphant; or we leave, with "boris johnson's" wing of the tory party triumphant: at least at first. i don't really see how you can say 'a plague on both your houses' in that is no more progressive third option unless the numbers of respondents to each option are exactly equal: in which case fuck knows what happens, they probably rerun it a couple of weeks later. it's fair enough to abstain if you have no view on the matter: but it is in this instance, i think, wrong to believe stopping at home is going to play in realistic delegitimating role, going to enthuse the masses or achieve anything at all. i refer again to the 1997 referendum on welsh devolution, in which 50.22% of the electorate voted, 50.3% voted in favour of devolution and 49.7 against devolution. the welsh assembly was created and afaik no one ever referred to the low turnout, or to the insignificance of the 'for' majority. take, again, the pcc elections in which a tiny proportion of the electorate participated. it's not like any of the victors from these piddling polls said 'i don't believe i have a mandate'.
i think the turnout will be in the region of 60-70%: and of that the vote will go approximately 55-45 in favour of remain. so there will be a considerable 'don't know'/'abstain'/'fuck you all' vote. but aside from some curmudgeons here - and i say that in the term's most positive sense - no one's ever going to give a flying fuck about the stay at homers.
and - further to your point - brogdale would need to demonstrate a large proportion of the population was deliberately staying away with the intention of undermining the legitimacy of the result. and while i think 30-40% will stay away, i don't believe anyone will seriously suggest that detracts from the verdict of the referendum.I think you'll find the onus is on you to show your workings...
Well, not really...but let me try another way, then? How is your participation in the process any contribution to the delegitimisation of the whole farce?I think you'll find the onus is on you to show your workings...
that's because it's a neoliberal referendum.Thanks for the reasoned response, and I do see what you're getting at...but the alternative action involves voting for one or other of the neoliberal variants. Neither am I dissuaded from abstention on the basis that my decision will be ignored by the state.
There would come a point at which such suggestions would be made.and - further to your point - brogdale would need to demonstrate a large proportion of the population was deliberately staying away with the intention of undermining the legitimacy of the result. and while i think 30-40% will stay away, i don't believe anyone will seriously suggest that detracts from the verdict of the referendum.
no there won't. there will come a point at which they may say 'hmm 55-45 isn't really a convincing majority' but that'll be from bad losersThere would come a point at which such suggestions would be made.
Quite possibly.no there won't. there will come a point at which they may say 'hmm 55-45 isn't really a convincing majority' but that'll be from bad losers
don't know yet. i'm torn between voting to go, to see what would happen, and voting to stay because i am concerned about what might happen. i realise my vote is unlikely to swing things one way or the other, but i never bothered voting in a referendum before and i might as well give it a go.Quite possibly.
Are you voting, then?
It isn't, nothing is. It is happening. The EU is neoliberalism writ large (as I know you know). It cannot be changed, for the reasons Nigel outlined above. A rejection of the EU is a rejection of that neoliberalism. Eventually. Unless it all turns to shit first.Well, not really...but let me try another way, then? How is your participation in the process any contribution to the delegitimisation of the whole farce?
I don't think we're miles apart.It isn't, nothing is. It is happening. The EU is neoliberalism writ large (as I know you know). It cannot be changed, for the reasons Nigel outlined above. A rejection of the EU is a rejection of that neoliberalism. Eventually. Unless it all turns to shit first.
One that is objectively more neoliberal.I don't think we're miles apart.
Whilst a 'rejection of the EU' might be a rejection of one particular delivery of the neoliberal process, a positive vote for Brexit merely embraces another model of neoliberalism.
I believe it was Chair Mao who first thought : Ryanair, you shit cunts! Close proximity to Peking my arse! How am I going to motivate the lads to walk from here?I don't think we're miles apart.
Whilst a 'rejection of the EU' might be a rejection of one particular delivery of the neoliberal process, a positive vote for Brexit merely embraces another model of neoliberalism.
Neither will accept it in good grace either way. I think we can take some comfort in that it's polarised the Tory party and given huge support to the anti-Cameron wing in a way that is damaging internally.I'd quite like the result to be close. Really, really close. So neither side can claim to win and for them to tear each other to pieces fighting over the poll's legitimacy. The more discrepancies, legal challenges and dodgy ballot boxes the better.
I won't even get that though will I?
I don't think we're that far apart. Of course the UK as currently run is neoliberal. But it isn't enshrined in it's unbreakable rules that it has to be. The EU, by promoting rules over democracy, is wholly unreformable. Whereas the UK is merely not reformable enough.I don't think we're miles apart.
Whilst a 'rejection of the EU' might be a rejection of one particular delivery of the neoliberal process, a positive vote for Brexit merely embraces another model of neoliberalism.
The interests dictating the continued neoliberal turn don't rely upon 'rules'; they control 'the market'.I don't think we're that far apart. Of course the UK as currently run is neoliberal. But it isn't enshrined in it's unbreakable rules that it has to be. The EU, by promoting rules over democracy, is wholly unreformable. Whereas the UK is merely not reformable enough.