Does George Galloway stand an chance of winning Poplar and Limehouse at the General Election?
Poplar and Limehouse, George Galloway
- Thread starter williammartin
- Start date
Maurice Picarda
Actually, might as well flounce.
Looking at the 2005 results, Respect snaffled all the Labour votes then that they'd be able to get now, without denting the Labour majority to the point that the seat was questionable. So, no.
JHE
.
It's a new constituency, but here are the notional 2005 results based, I suppose, on ward voting figures in the 2005 Gen Election.
Labour: 11929 (34.7%)
Conservative: 7987 (23.2%)
Respect: 7198 (20.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 5099 (14.8%)
Other: 2214 (6.4%)
Majority: 3942 (11.5%)
http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/guide/seat-profiles/poplarandlimehouse
If Labour's vote is down again, as it might well be, and if al-Respeq still has enough people in the area to mount a decent campaign, which they might, it looks like Pop & Lime will be a three-way marginal, with Lab, Con and al-Respeq all in with a chance.
Labour: 11929 (34.7%)
Conservative: 7987 (23.2%)
Respect: 7198 (20.9%)
Liberal Democrat: 5099 (14.8%)
Other: 2214 (6.4%)
Majority: 3942 (11.5%)
http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/guide/seat-profiles/poplarandlimehouse
If Labour's vote is down again, as it might well be, and if al-Respeq still has enough people in the area to mount a decent campaign, which they might, it looks like Pop & Lime will be a three-way marginal, with Lab, Con and al-Respeq all in with a chance.
As respect willl be concentrating their resource in this and 2 other seats- think they are fighting no more than half a dozen nationwide- then yes- a good chance. Salma Yacoob has a better chance in Brum though
Paul Marsh
NeitherWashingtonNorMecca
Does anyone know what the vibe is in the local mosques?
I quite often wonder what Respect would have been like if their only MP was Salma Yacoub instead of GG
incidentally, does anyone know if the Greens are giving GG a free run as well as SY in Hall Green?
No idea but the demographics are interesting:-
2001 Census Demographics
Total 2001 Population: 94854
Male: 50.7%
Female: 49.3%
Under 18: 25.4%
Over 60: 11.3%
Born outside UK: 35.3%
White: 53.3%
Black: 7.1%
Asian: 32.8%
Mixed: 2.6%
Other: 4.2%
Christian: 42.1%
Hindu: 0.8%
Jewish: 0.6%
Muslim: 33%
Full time students: 7.3%
Graduates 16-74: 31.2%
No Qualifications 16-74: 32.5%
Owner-Occupied: 29.8%
Social Housing: 50% (Council: 35.4%, Housing Ass.: 14.6%)
Privately Rented: 17.2%
Homes without central heating and/or private bathroom: 5.4%
butchersapron
Bring back hanging
They're going to be well out of date. I hope the scumbag GG wins. I think he has a chance but will likely get squeezed between the tories and labour - expect a vote down to 10% tops.
No- Greens fighting all London seats excepting Barking.
Paul Marsh
NeitherWashingtonNorMecca
Making way for Margaret Hodge has to be the worst thing the Greens have done in many years. Shameful.
Better than potentially making way for Nick Griffin
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