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Political polling

TNS poll gives Tories 1-pt lead
And there is a TNS poll out too. Here is an extract from the news release.

A new poll by TNS UK shows that voter intention figures are as follows:

    • LAB 32% (-1), CON 33% (-1), LIB DEM 8% (+1), UKIP 14% (-1), GREEN 6% (+1), OTHER 6% (+1)
 
Kind of torn between not voting and spgb. On one hand i dont want to legitimise it etc etc but on the other hand i like the spgb candidate and i think a high percentage of their vote could shit the other parties up a bit. Then again NHA are also running and they have far more chance of getting in.

The thing is I also like voting in an odd way:hmm:
 
nah I live in oxford. My mp is nicola blackwood.

I have a horrible feeling that the lib dem candidate might get in.
"Oxford West and Abingdon is a mainly urban constituency in the South East.In the General Election 2010, the constituency was an Ultra Marginal seat, and a Con-Lib Dem contest. Nicola Blackwood won with a majority of .3% (176 votes); gaining the seat for the Conservatives.

This year, the constituency is looking like it will be a Con-Lib Dem Semi-Marginal seat.

Your result is due around 6:00am on Election Night."

http://democraticdashboard.com/constituency/oxford-west-and-abingdon/
 
I think Labour are going to get back in. Either as a minority govt or with a very slight majority.
They certainly would be in that position had they any chance of hanging onto their 40 Scots seats. But, as the chances of that happening are very close to zero, they will have to rely on some sort of a "progressive" grouping.
 
Kind of torn between not voting and spgb. On one hand i dont want to legitimise it etc etc but on the other hand i like the spgb candidate and i think a high percentage of their vote could shit the other parties up a bit. Then again NHA are also running and they have far more chance of getting in.

The thing is I also like voting in an odd way:hmm:


You mean you are sitting on TWO left of Labour no hopers you can vote for in good conscience? Luxury! Round here its some beardy green or else various stripe of r/w lunatics including the god damn English Democrats
 
Not looking good for capital vermin! Lab extend lead and the swing improves to 5.5%...bye bye Barfwell.:D

I think a recent Ashcroft constituency poll had the chinless one 4% ahead, they've been campaigning hard there. 4% behind in one a couple of months before, so who knows.
 
Interesting to note, (maybe?), that when this thread was started in the mid-term, just over two years ago, that London lead of 13% was the national lead found by the pollsters in the OP.
 
I think a recent Ashcroft constituency poll had the chinless one 4% ahead, they've been campaigning hard there. 4% behind in one a couple of months before, so who knows.
I honestly think Ashcroft fucked up there. I've posted elsewhere that he found a LD -> Con break twice the size of all the other constituencies polled at the same time. Rouge.
 
You mean you are sitting on TWO left of Labour no hopers you can vote for in good conscience? Luxury! Round here its some beardy green or else various stripe of r/w lunatics including the god damn English Democrats
Same in mine, except in place of the ED we've got Richard Edmonds for the fucking NF.
 
You mean you are sitting on TWO left of Labour no hopers you can vote for in good conscience? Luxury! Round here its some beardy green or else various stripe of r/w lunatics including the god damn English Democrats

In the neighbouring seat TUSC are standing too!
 
So the remarkably unambitious Labour strategy of aiming for 35% of the vote was never realised and will by all indicators not be met. What a striking lack of aspiration in the 1st place followed by dire safety first campaigning (by all parties) and paucity of imagination. :(
 
At least if Miliband gets in it twists the knife in the guts of his brother.
Any excuse...

miliband_2521088b_zpszdo2vep9.jpg
 
BBC News just now asking people on the street have they made their mind up. People saying no, not yet. "I'm 95% there" said one, another said, "I'll decide when I get to the ballot" - jaysus fucking christ, what the actual fuck is wrong with these people?
 
I'm undecided, might vote differently for local & national too. I know who I *won't* be voting for with some certainty. I think I might have tossed a coin at the last local one.
 
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