cupid_stunt
Chief seagull hater & farmerbarleymow's nemesis.
Oh dear, the cry babies saying that nasty old YouGov is helping the Tories\Lib Dems at the expense of Labour.
Data offered, as expected, zero.
Meanwhile from the 5 latest polls by major polling companies (KantorTNS is a way there)
via @Survation, 29 - 30 Aug
CON: 31% (+3)
LAB; 24% (-)
LDEM: 21% (-)
BREX: 14% (-1)
(90%)
via @YouGov, 28 - 29 Aug
CON: 33% (-1)
LAB; 22% (-)
LDEM: 21% (+4)
BREX: 12% (-1)
GRN: 7% (-1)
(95%)
via @OpiniumResearch, 21 - 23 Aug
CON: 32% (+1)
LAB: 26% (-2)
BREX: 16% (-)
LDEM: 15% (+2)
GRN: 4% (-1)
(93%)
via @KantarTNS, 15 - 19 Aug
CON: 42% (+17)
LAB: 28% (-6)
LDEM: 15% (-)
BREX: 5% (-5)
GRN: 3% (-)
TIG/CHUK: 1% (-)
UKIP: 0% (-4)
(94%)
via @BMGResearch (pre 18 August)
CON: 31% (+3)
LAB: 25% (-2)
LDEM: 19% (+1)
BREX: 12% (-2)
(87%)
These are the most recent polls by 5 polling companies.
Most show the Tories around 31% other than KantarTNS.
BMG shows a 6% lead but a 19% Lib Dem vote.
Opium shows a 6% lead with 15% Lib Dem vote
YouGov shows a 11% lead with 21% Lib Dem vote
Survation shows a 7% lead with 21% Lib Dem vote
KantarTNS shows a 14% lead with 15% Lib Dem vote.
The difference is YouGov shows more for the Greens and less for Brexit Party. Survation has the Lib Dems on the same numbers as YouGov but a smaller lead as less goes to the Greens
BMG has nearly the same number for the Lib Dems but a smaller lead again due to small parties not picking up as much.
Opiums low Lib Dem score is more of the outlier but the only one that supports the current meme.
Obviously though pollin on Urban is only used to validate personal opinions. So the actual numbers are only to be cherry picked.
Given a deeply fractured electorate generally not having much in either main party then its down to how the polling companies pick up the sentiment for other parties and how they model for that sentiment to come back to the big two on election day.
Obviously though that is nowhere near as much fun as accusing them of "over egging" because you do not like the poll (or the British people)
While we are here, survations leadership numbers.
Lot easier to see with a screen-shot...
Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election - Wikipedia