Urban75 Home About Offline BrixtonBuzz Contact

Labour leadership

11223528_1482621788698562_1082249242354180936_n.jpg


standing room only in Leeds from the looks of it.

(should have gone I guess, but knackered)
 
CL5heDqWUAAtS8g.jpg





Apparently, they are merchandising JC style vests!, Kat Fletcher is very very shrewd/sharp, though the back page ad in the Guardian is a bit off.
 
Its interesting that the attacks on Corbyn - well the ones that go beyond "Urggh! Beard and sandals Stalinist lunatic!" are focusing on his anti-austerity position ("to win labour needs to be credible on the economy" etc) - which is a position lot of people agree with and potentially a load more could be persuaded on.

What I haven't seen mentioned much is the stuff that would probably stop him winning an election - withdrawal from nato, scrapping trident, being seen as "soft" on immigration and "terrorism". Come a general election - this is what the tories and the media - and UKIP - will be crucifying him on.
 
Its interesting that the attacks on Corbyn - well the ones that go beyond "Urggh! Beard and sandals Stalinist lunatic!" are focusing on his anti-austerity position ("to win labour needs to be credible on the economy" etc) - which is a position lot of people agree with and potentially a load more could be persuaded on.

What I haven't seen mentioned much is the stuff that would probably stop him winning an election - withdrawal from nato, scrapping trident, being seen as "soft" on immigration and "terrorism". Come a general election - this is what the tories and the media - and UKIP - will be crucifying him on.

Get thee behind me Satan!

Remember, the other JC didn't do too badly after crucifixion.
 
Paul Flynn, MP for Newport West, who is backing Liz Kendall, said he welcomed Green party members registering as Labour supporters. Flynn said he had been a member of the Ecology party before it became the Green party in 1985, as well as being a Labour member.

I'm not certain but I think Flynn was in the Campaign Group, but his comments on social security over the years indicated he was going rightwards.
 
Has corbyn said anything attacking drug prohibition? Now or in the past.
a quick search shows that Corbyn sponsored this early day motion in the spring.

That this House commends Health Poverty Action's report of February 2015, Casualties of War: How the War on Drugs is harming the world's poorest, which highlights how the predominant drug policy of prohibition has undermined attempts to tackle poverty and improve health; notes that this is confirmed by evidence presented in the report of January 2015, Drugs and Development: The Great Disconnect from the Global Drug Policy Observatory at Swansea University; is concerned at the alarming violence fuelled by the increased militarisation of repressive responses to the drugs trade; acknowledges the opportunity afforded by the UN General Assembly Special Session (UNGASS) on Drugs in 2016 to help the poorest and most marginalised; and calls on the Government to recognise that drug policy should be treated as a health and development issue, not a crime and security issue, and to advocate this approach at UNGASS.
 
Thing is at every meeting that JC does hes got a hundreds of people signing up to labour to support him. Hes got over 50k "likes" in his facebook page. I expect their will be a big push to get those people to register over the next few days as the deadline approaches.

That may be enough to push him over the line - I wonder how many people are joining to vote for the insipid three? Andy Burnhams has 17k facebook likes, Coopers 20k, Kendals 6k - and im guessing these will be from within labours existing membership whears Corbyns is going beyond that.

Wasn't OMOV and the £3 entry fee an idea from the blairites? LOL.

If Corbyn doesn't win hes going to be pretty bloody close.
 
Wasn't OMOV and the £3 entry fee an idea from the blairites? LOL.
yep, Millibands sop to them to prove he wasn't in hoc to the unions I think.

Though I do wonder if whoever was responsible for sorting it out actually knew what they were doing.

Hoisted by their own petard, hopefully.
 
Thing is at every meeting that JC does hes got a hundreds of people signing up to labour to support him. Hes got over 50k "likes" in his facebook page. I expect their will be a big push to get those people to register over the next few days as the deadline approaches.

That may be enough to push him over the line - I wonder how many people are joining to vote for the insipid three? Andy Burnhams has 17k facebook likes, Coopers 20k, Kendals 6k - and im guessing these will be from within labours existing membership whears Corbyns is going beyond that.

Wasn't OMOV and the £3 entry fee an idea from the blairites? LOL.

If Corbyn doesn't win hes going to be pretty bloody close.
Don't think those like figures are as good as you do. That's partly because most of the 43k lined up against him are likely to vote for the other blairites as second choice (though he'd get some of burhams if he was eliminated). Other thing is the other candidates' likers are indeed much more likely to already be registered.
 
yep, Millibands sop to them to prove he wasn't in hoc to the unions I think.

Though I do wonder if whoever was responsible for sorting it out actually knew what they were doing.

Hoisted by their own petard, hopefully.

They just wanted it to be like American primaries, though with Sanders doing reasonably well at the moment over there they might not be quite so keen on that model these days.
 
Don't think those like figures are as good as you do. That's partly because most of the 43k lined up against him are likely to vote for the other blairites as second choice (though he'd get some of burhams if he was eliminated). Other thing is the other candidates' likers Are much more likely to already be registered.
JC has 2 pages though, each with well over 50k likes.

Many of those will be the same people, but there's probably at least 75k different people between them. The campaign team are working that quite well to ensure people sign up, and encourage others to sign up as well.

I'm also wondering what the relative size is of all the constituency parties that have come out to support Corbyn vs the others.
 
All very unpredictable - electorate not finalised, imperfect relationship between fb and actual votes etc. suppose I'd just think he'd need a pretty big fb lead over all the others combined to have a chance in the real thing.
 
Burnham's done an interview with Everton fanzine When Skies Are Grey. Mostly about football, partly about getting people involved with the vote. Not very campaigning as such
 
A clearer picture of the figures has been obtained by Sky News.

Labour: Half Eligible To Vote Are New Sign-Ups

There are currently around 270,000 members of the Labour Party, of which 200,000 were members before the election.

In addition, 70,000 have joined as affiliated supporters (mainly through trade unions) and 50,000 have paid £3 to sign up as a registered supporter. That’s a total of 190,000 people joining up since the election.

I think it's likely that the vast majority of that 190,000 are Corbyn voters. On the other hand the vast majority of the 200,000 pre-election membership will be anti-Corbyn. It's going to be tight.
 
A clearer picture of the figures has been obtained by Sky News.

Labour: Half Eligible To Vote Are New Sign-Ups

There are currently around 270,000 members of the Labour Party, of which 200,000 were members before the election.

In addition, 70,000 have joined as affiliated supporters (mainly through trade unions) and 50,000 have paid £3 to sign up as a registered supporter. That’s a total of 190,000 people joining up since the election.

I think it's likely that the vast majority of that 190,000 are Corbyn voters. On the other hand the vast majority of the 200,000 pre-election membership will be anti-Corbyn. It's going to be tight.

Except that the neo-lab constituency is split 2 and a half ways.
 
On the other hand the vast majority of the 200,000 pre-election membership will be anti-Corbyn.
What makes you think this? The constuency parties that have been nominating Corbyn won't have been packed with new members - my own Labour friends & acquaintances round (by no means a majority of left-wingers) are overwhelmingly voting for him.
 
What makes you think this? The constuency parties that have been nominating Corbyn won't have been packed with new members - my own Labour friends & acquaintances round (by no means a majority of left-wingers) are overwhelmingly voting for him.
I suppose it's largely just anecdotally that the Labour members I've been talking to are mainly all against him. I've seen plenty of support for Corbyn but mainly from trade unionists. I'm also just being pessimistic. You make a fair point about the CLPs.
Except that the neo-lab constituency is split 2 and a half ways.
Yes - but far from cleanly split. Everyone on that side is sure that Kendall won't win and I reckon will be swinging behind Burnham/Cooper as first and second in either order.
 
I suppose it's largely just anecdotally that the Labour members I've been talking to are mainly all against him. I've seen plenty of support for Corbyn but mainly from trade unionists.
well, the constituency noms suggest otherwise. I fully expect a number of people to be scared by the relentlessly negative press Corbyn has been getting into voting 'pragmatically' for Burnham or whatever, but there certainly isn't an overwhelming majority of long-time members against him.
 
Last time this happened, I had a vote in the deputy contest (not in Gordon's coronation though) - Unite member at the time, didn't have to do anything.

This time I have a vote as a Unison member, though I had to tick a box online to get it.

In what way does this make me a 'new sign up'?
 
Back
Top Bottom