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Is Brexit actually going to happen?

Will we have a brexit?


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Huge swathes of his party and base think the EU is fucking wonderful. Playing pretty with them is for them.
They don't need it though. He has shifted focus significantly since he came back from Brussels. To do so is going to destabilise the coalition he's spent two+ years putting together. I can't see why he would do that all of a sudden without being convinced of something when he met these scumbags. Not everything he and his lot do are perfectly judged and executed moves - plenty of room for him to fuck up.
 
They don't need it though. He has shifted focus significantly since he came back from Brussels. To do so is going to destabilise the coalition he's spent two+ years putting together. I can't see why he would do that all of a sudden without being convinced of something when he met these scumbags. Not everything he and his lot do are perfectly judged and executed moves - plenty of room for him to fuck up.
I don't know how well judged or executed it is, but that's what he's doing.
 
This looks more like him going i've talked to the bully behind your back and he agrees with me.
That's certainly how some people will view it, yeah. But it's not really a departure from the approach they've taken over the last couple of years - a pragmatic & sensible jobs-first brexit negotiated with our fraternal european partners yadda yadda yadda
 
The interesting thing will be the extent to which the EU get behind Corbyn and his second ref line. In some ways it would be just about the last thing he'd want as he walks almost as many tightropes as May.
 
Where would the Labour votes have come from to win on a Remain or second ref platform? How would they have been enough to replace what they would have lost?
If Labour had come out on a platform of remaining in the EU and withdrawing Article 50 for the June 2017 election, they'd have trounced the Tories. Yes, some Labour-Leave voters would have bitched about it, but there was enough information and opportunity then to make the case for remaining in the EU to persuade enough of them that leaving would be absolutely NOT in their best interest (as we absolutely know to be the case now.) Even if some stayed home or cast protest votes for UKIP or AN Other, I'm sure Labour still would have picked up enough seats to form a majority.

Opportunity missed. Big fucking opportunity missed.
 
If Labour had come out on a platform of remaining in the EU and withdrawing Article 50 for the June 2017 election, they'd have trounced the Tories. Yes, some Labour-Leave voters would have bitched about it, but there was enough information and opportunity then to make the case for remaining in the EU to persuade enough of them that leaving would be absolutely NOT in their best interest (as we absolutely know to be the case now.) Even if some stayed home or cast protest votes for UKIP or AN Other, I'm sure Labour still would have picked up enough seats to form a majority.

Opportunity missed. Big fucking opportunity missed.
I'm not seeing a great deal of evidence to support any of that.
 
If Labour had come out on a platform of remaining in the EU and withdrawing Article 50 for the June 2017 election, they'd have trounced the Tories. Yes, some Labour-Leave voters would have bitched about it, but there was enough information and opportunity then to make the case for remaining in the EU to persuade enough of them that leaving would be absolutely NOT in their best interest (as we absolutely know to be the case now.) Even if some stayed home or cast protest votes for UKIP or AN Other, I'm sure Labour still would have picked up enough seats to form a majority.

Opportunity missed. Big fucking opportunity missed.

Certainly worked wonders for the lib dems at the last election.

What a bizarre and insular world you operate in.
 
Anyway May's announcement today won't be good news to those who want a hard brexit. Should her deal get voted now (which I'm not sure it will) then an extension looks by far and away the most likely scenario. Just more blackmail this time against the ERG.

I'm not really sure what the point of extension is if May is still in charge. She's deliberately the run the clock down for political expediency and given she only has one gear there is little reason to believe she wouldn't do exactly the same again.
 
Certainly worked wonders for the lib dems at the last election.

What a bizarre and insular world you operate in.
Seriously? Can't compare the two. LibDems fucked up by propping up the Tories so regardless of what they offer, plenty wouldn't have nor ever will touch them. But you carry on believing if it helps.
 
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