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Is Brexit actually going to happen?

Will we have a brexit?


  • Total voters
    362
utterly delusional. Haven't they noticed that no a single member of the EU27 has tried to put any pressure on Barnier to soften the EU's stance?
Well they'll soon be wondering where their Japanese cars will come from when we leave!
 
There are loads of perfectly good reasons to want Brexit.

But the Brexit that voters might quite reasonably think that they have been promised is that one: free trade, but no deeper relationship. And they've been promised that it will make everyone better off because things'll be cheaper, and there'll be loads of money to spend on public services, and there'll be less competition for work/school places/hospital beds/housing because there'll be less immigration, and we'll be cruising to prosperity on smashing new trade deals.

And they're not going to get that Brexit. And no-one in the Tory party or the Leave campaign has got the guts to do anything more than try to blame it on a stab in the back or EU unreasonableness.
 
No doubt there are loads of committed Brexiters and UKIPpers.

No doubt there are loads of floating voters too. That's why I think some of these ads are so vague: "support the steel industry", "support animal rights", "support education", "vote to be free!"...

They didn't vote for No Deal and all that entails.

I reckon that's the big battle now in the Tory party. The committed libertarian loons (Exclusive: Liam Fox warns Theresa May that extending Brexit talks would be a 'complete betrayal') desperately trying to get over the line so they can do their tax haven, no regulation, free trade bollocks, against the May faction who want to keep the party together but recognise that No Deal will be an economic disaster, at least immediately.

Hence these rather apocalyptic warnings on food stockpiling and the like to voters who were told: more jobs, more money, more services, fewer people... just tick the Leave box.
 
They're utterly fucking mad, all of this is utter fucking lunacy.

May's spent weeks fighting her own party, lost her Brexit Secretary and Foreign Secretary, over an agreement she managed to strike with her own party which was instantly dismissed by the E.U. And this is like the fifth time it's happened, where the Tories spend more time shifting their negotiating strategy and finally agreeing on something - but forgetting the E.U isn't interested in the division within the party, they're trying to negotiate the fucking thing the fucking referendum was about.

In the two years since the referendum, they've achieved almost precisely fuck all on the important issues of trade, borders etc and are still clinging desperately, like nuggets of shite to arse hair, to the hope that the UK public will blame the European Union for, er, patiently waiting for us to sort our shit out and engage in negotiations.

And here it comes: A humiliating Brexit deal risks a descent into Weimar Britain | Timothy Garton Ash

Grasping attempt at comparing Versailles to the Brexit negotiations here folks.
 
It's odd that he should allow that to go out with the headline about Weimar - in fact it sounds like he wrote it - and then early in the article say, "of course, I'm completely exagerrating when I say it's analogous..."!?!?!?!?!?!

There is plenty of genuine betrayal stuff going round:

Theresa May presiding over ‘cloak and dagger’ plot by ‘establishment elite’ to sink Brexit, ex-minister claims.. as PM demands rebels’ backing

Screenshot_2018-07-27 farage betrayal.png
They have to. They can't deliver what they promised and someone has to be to blame, even if it's only for the sake of Farage's future career on Fox News. . .
 
I reckon we are going to have a second referendum with 60% or more voting to remain. And all this will go down as one of the most costly and embarrassing periods in our history.

The far right and extreme Brexiteers wont take it well and i suspect we are going to have years or civil unrest instigated by them. Terrorism and agitation.
 
The far right and extreme Brexiteers wont take it well and i suspect we are going to have years or civil unrest instigated by them. Terrorism and agitation.
Might depend on what's covered by civil unrest, but I think a lot of them are quite keen on their armchairs.
 
I think a general election as a sort of proxy referendum on a deal that can't get through Parliament is more likely. I can't see an actual second referendum happening.

I can see loads of other scenarios too! ;)
 
If slightly over half the country voted out, and slightly under voted in, then you’d have thought some kind of soft brexit half-in, half-out compromise would actually be the most representative outcome. How come it seems to please pretty much nobody?
 
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