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Hurricane Maria

Dominica has been “brutalised and devastated” by category 5 Hurricane Maria, the prime minister of the country has said.
Caribbean faces fresh devastation as category 5 Hurricane Maria hits islands

Hurricane warnings remain in effect for:
  • Dominica
  • Guadeloupe
  • Montserrat
  • St Kitts & Nevis
  • US Virgin Islands
  • British Virgin Islands
  • Puerto Rico, Culebra and Vieques

The "potentially catastrophic" Hurricane Maria, the strongest storm on record to make landfall in Dominica, is battering the Caribbean island, and is on course to score a direct hit on the US territory of Puerto Rico -- the first in 85 years.

A statement from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) said that its record-topping winds reached 160 miles per hour when it hit the island nation. In an update the Center said that reports "indicate significant damage to structures has occurred in Dominica."
Maria, now a Category 5 storm, made landfall on Dominica late Monday, coming ashore at 9:15 p.m. ET. It was so powerful that it tore the roof off the residence of the country's leader.

"My roof is gone," Dominica Prime Minister Roosevelt Skerrit said in a Facebook post. "I am at the complete mercy of the hurricane. House is flooding."
Later, he said, "I have been rescued."
Hurricane Maria hits Dominica with Category 5 punch - CNN
 
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Terrifying storm, the speed it spun up was incredible, especially over waters that Irma had churned up. Anything going near Haiti is always a major worry as they are so badly prepared. 2017 is on track to finish very high in the ACE (accumulated cyclone energy) scores for the region. Thought there are big caveats about anything before 1966 when satellite tracking started.

Dominica got absolutely smashed by the eye wall. I think some would have watched what an eye wall looked like coming during Irma, its not just wind, its like the air is nearly liquid. At 160mph the winds of Maria are something like 2.7 times more powerfull than the 115mph winds of Irma at Naples Florida.
 
The pressure is being reported and 916mb and dropping. Dominica made the eyewall more ragged but its likely to reorganise (correction is really has). Excellent conditions for further strengthening seem likely unless there is a lot of wind sheer in the next 24 hours.
 
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06:45 GMT this morning
DKHC_30WkAAJWSZ.jpg




18:45 today (19/ 9/17)

DKHDE1VW4AAYNcv.jpg


The white clouds are cooler thus higher. Apparently 165mph.

ECMWF model paths. Its MP4 not sure how to embed.

https://video.twimg.com/tweet_video/DKGqt2rVoAAztcr.mp4
 
Sounds like Dominica's prime minister - and everybody else on the island - had a very rough night.

skerrit2.JPG

According to his Facebook page, some flights bringing Dominicans home from islands affected by Hurricane Irma landed just 2 days ago.

Roosevelt Skerrit
 
While Trump worries over the NFL, Puerto Rico is still in deep shit.

What every American needs to know about Puerto Rico’s hurricane disaster

They're having trouble reestablishing services for several reasons. There's a law that prohibits anything other than American shipping companies to bring goods in, which Trump could waive, but hasn't. It should be noted that he did this for Miami a week before their hurricane hit. Another problem is PR's debt load. They are so overburdened with debt that no one will lend them money to get basic services running. Trump could also fix that with the stroke of a pen, but he hasn't.
 
PR also missing their NWS doppler weather radar facility which went quickly as soon as Maria hit:

Which should look like this inside the (missing) radome ‘golfball’:
EP-150109714.jpg

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img_5813.jpg

Off line indefinitely.
 
They also lost an airtraffic control tower that was essential to getting planes into the area. You can't get aid in effectively unless you can land planes quickly. So they have that difficulty in addition to the legal restrictions on bringing ships in.
 
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The response is an utter disgrace. They kept Berlin going for a year, bigger population massively less capable planes, no helicopters. They flew the coal for its power stations in by air.

Pretty much. It took them more than a week to get a carrier in to use for a base to even start running the federal response. Trump finally suspended the Jones Act, which was hampering shipping only yesterday. He did it a week in advance for Miami and Houston. Someone somewhere is using this to make money. They're either jacking up shipping prices or their going to make things so bad that they'll try to justify privatize all of the public services later.
 
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The response is an utter disgrace. They kept Berlin going for a year, bigger population massively less capable planes, no helicopters. They flew the coal for its power stations in by air.

Yeah, one thing the US military is extremely capable of is logistics. They have a vast capacity compared to anyone else, and to be fair it seems to be swinging into action now. There's obvious constraints immediately after an event - no working ports, airfields fucked, the storm is still hanging around, but it very much looks like the response was delayed at the political level here.

 
Finally a good news story, but it has nothing to do with FEMA or the US government.

Bernard insisted: The Food Bank had the money to pay for diesel. She had also reached out to Puerto Rican government officials and the Federal Emergency Management Agency, or FEMA. They couldn't tell her when, or if, diesel was coming.

"We have the money, but they're not supplying, they're not bringing it," Bernard lamented around Saturday morning. If the food bank ran out of fuel, "I would feel very sad, because we're not going to be able to continue to provide relief to the Puerto Rican people," she said.

Then, Daddy Yankee arrived. As he toured the food bank, Bernard mentioned the issue. The musician immediately alerted his entourage. They got on the phone right away.
Within minutes, they told her 200 gallons of diesel fuel was on its way to the food bank. Bernard said that would be enough for four days.

"We got the diesel! We got the diesel!" the pop star proclaimed at the Food Bank. "We can't wait for the government."
Daddy Yankee literally saved Puerto Rico's food bank - CNN
 
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