Urban75 Home About Offline BrixtonBuzz Contact

Coronavirus in the UK - news, lockdown and discussion

when you're above 50 the nhs invites you for flu jabs once every year is that how it works ?

Not quite that simple. I usually get offered mine through NHS work, but didn't this year. My GP got in touch and offered it, but I'm under 50 and with no underlying health issues and when I asked they said they'd widened the offer quite a bit due to covid this year.
 
The 40 something's I know who've had the flue jab have got it due to line of work. Not many TBF but I haven't been conducting a survey...
 
Yeah, sorry - I was improperly focusing on the kneejerk dead kids number rather than people (children are people) who become ill and/or suffer long Covid. (And yes, I know there are those who argue that long Covid isn't a thing but they can GTF.)
Sad, but look at road deaths... Can you hear what you're saying? 'OK, this thing is sad but that thing over there is worse'?

not sure I'm 100% sure on your point and sorry if the way I phrased it sounded blase. my point is it's an incredibly small number and we don't even know how many of that incredibly small number - if any - are actually due to covid. so i disagree with your point that the country is in the wrong for not being more affected by this.
 
So only for 40 - 50 YoS in Woking?
:D

I dunno, I didn't have a booster anywhere else so can't comment on other places, and as said, Woking wasn't offering them the day before. But Frau Bahn did get a sticker and I didn't, so all's fair really.
 
Matters relating to children from the most recently available SAGE minutes:


Data continue to show relatively increased paediatric hospital admissions with COVID-19, especially for those under 1 year old, though it remains the case that most of these children have very short stays in hospital and are not severely ill. The number of admissions, including to intensive care, remains low compared to the usual level of admissions observed with other respiratory viruses at this time of year. Encouraging vaccination uptake in pregnant women should remain a priority.

No impact of Omicron on incidence of the COVID-19 associated multisystem inflammatory syndrome PIMS-TS can yet be observed, but cases typically present several weeks after infection so this cannot be excluded at this point. It is notable that in CO-CIN data, for the most recent month, there were no vaccinated 12–17-year-olds in HDU or ICU compared to 20 unvaccinated in the same age group. Further analysis would be required to fully assess the impact of vaccination on likelihood of ICU admission. The overall risk to children from COVID-19 remains very low (high confidence).

Work is underway to understand the increased number of diagnoses of type 1 diabetes in children, and the potential association with SARS-CoV-2 infection.

ACTION: Russell Viner to coordinate assessment of evidence on type 1 diabetes in children and share with CMO when available.

The type 1 diabetes stuff bothers me most about the UK approach to children in this pandemic, but then I am sensitive to this topic because both my brother and nephew developed type 1 diabetes before they were adults. My brothers manifested not long after a huge flu epidemic in 1989/90 and my nephews developed during the pandemic. Genetic susceptibility combined with infection as a trigger seems very plausible. By the way, I previously reported that they both caught Covid recently, and I am now pleased to report that they seem to have gotten through this without any complications. I cannot say whether this was their first infection due to a lack of testing in the first wave. My brother was triple-vaccinated. Whether a previous covid infection triggered my nephews diabetes remains a possibility, but I doubt whether we will ever know for sure.
 
What are you arguing from your sample of one? That Covid isn't that bad? Well, it kills some people. You have to be very ill to be admitted to hospital, so 'mild' is a low barrier.


Yeah, sorry - I was improperly focusing on the kneejerk dead kids number rather than people (children are people) who become ill and/or suffer long Covid. (And yes, I know there are those who argue that long Covid isn't a thing but they can GTF.)
Sad, but look at road deaths... Can you hear what you're saying? 'OK, this thing is sad but that thing over there is worse'?
I wasn't commenting on COVID-19 but on the virtues or not of the flu vaccine given my experience getting flu when young and healthy.
You can infer anything you like about covid from my sample of one.
 
not sure I'm 100% sure on your point and sorry if the way I phrased it sounded blase. my point is it's an incredibly small number and we don't even know how many of that incredibly small number - if any - are actually due to covid. so i disagree with your point that the country is in the wrong for not being more affected by this.
The numbers are small, some of them did die of covid.

Risk factors include being male, developmental disorders and neurological conditions, being at the older end of childhood, certain ethnicities, multiple chronic disabilities. If I cast a wider net to look at reports from countries like the USA, and hospitalisations rather than only deaths, stuff like obesity, type 1 diabetes also show up.

Due to the higher case numbers in recent waves, I expect a broader picture to emerge in future.

Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in particular requires a deeper look at, I havent done much reading on this yet.

Here are a bunch of example articles:


Attitudes and studies of child death are a strange subject, there has been a tendency to brush a lot of it under the carpet in various ways, including not studying things properly via not collecting data properly. I still think we can explore this topic via the earlier point about the reduction in paediatric intensive care admissions due to lockdowns etc. But taking it further, by looking at deaths. For example here is an article from December and I will quote lots of notable bits:


The number of children in England who died fell to 3,067 between April 2020 and March 2021 – 356 fewer than were recorded in the previous 12 months – with the fall particularly marked in under-10s and those with underlying health problems.

It is likely to represent the lowest level of child mortality on record, researchers at the Universities of Bristol and Cardiff found.

In Archives of Disease in Childhood, they wrote: “What these data show is that, during 2020–21, when multiple measures were introduced with the aim of reducing morbidity and mortality from Covid-19 in the adult population, there was an unexpected fall in overall child mortality in England, most marked in younger children and those with underlying health conditions and infectious disease other than Covid-19.

“The magnitude of this fall (around 10%), including those children living in the most deprived conditions, a group for whom previous attempts to reduce excess mortality have generally been less successful, makes clear that we need to investigate what aspect of societal reorganisation and the restrictions faced by the whole population have had this effect.”

The study used data from the University of Bristol-led National Child Mortality Database (NCMD) – a first-of-its-kind initiative to collect comprehensive and timely data on every child death in England.

That this database is a first of its kind initiative speaks volumes!

Findings from the analysis showed that deaths from non-Covid infections and other underlying conditions fell, and there is some evidence of fewer deaths from substance abuse.

In addition, the reduction in mortality appeared to occur during the winter months, where the seasonal increase, often caused by infections other than Covid, was not apparent, researchers said. This period coincided with the prolonged lockdown in England from January to April 2021.

Prof Karen Luyt, programme lead for the NCMD and professor of neonatal medicine at the University of Bristol, said: “There was clear evidence that the reduction in mortality was seen in two key areas: those children with underlying health conditions and those who died of infectious diseases other than Covid.

“Our data demonstrate that child deaths caused by seasonal infections are potentially substantially modifiable at population level.

“It is therefore important that we learn from the effects highlighted in this study to improve the outcome for the most vulnerable children in our society.”

Is there a big conversation about these things? I think not, which tells us something about attitudes towards the death of vulnerable children.

As usual I am also inclined to focus on stuff like hospital-acquired infections, and it might be possible to tie in some of whats been seen with a reduction in various forms of surgery and other medical procedures over the period, greater emphasis on infection control etc.
 
That this database is a first of its kind initiative speaks volumes!
<snip>
Is there a big conversation about these things? I think not, which tells us something about attitudes towards the death of vulnerable children.
So much this!
Children are people.
 
Its only been a month since the UK regulator approved it for under 12.
Parents need to be involved so its not like the general public just wandering into a vaccination centre.
Which doesn't alter the practical reality that a lot of unvaccinated children are currently mingling with no mitigation whatsoever.
it looks like around 120 deaths within 28 days of a positive test in under 19s since the start of the pandemic. not deaths necessarily because of covid - not shown in data - but within positive test.
obviously sad but at the same time it's statistically a very small number. more kids die in road accidents in london every year, for example.
Those kids will likely still die in road accidents. I'm not sure that kind of comparison is all that helpful.
 
Those kids will likely still die in road accidents. I'm not sure that kind of comparison is all that helpful.
The comparison is relevant as far as the question of "acceptable risk" is concerned though.

There are lots of things we could do to reduce the number of kids killed in road accidents, but we don't because people want the benefits of not doing those things. (As it happens, I think we should do many of those things, but that's not for this thread)
 
So in regards my previous post, lets asume we wont even be able to have a sensible conversation about saving 356 vulnerable children from death via respiratory diseases by having a full lockdown every winter.

But we could attempt to explore a milder version of that.

Lets say we wore masks every winter. We cannot say exactly how many vulnerable children would avoid death each winter if we did, but we could estimate that the number might be higher than 1 and quite a bit less than 356. How many would it take to be considered worthwhile?
 
So in regards my previous post, lets asume we wont even be able to have a sensible conversation about saving 356 vulnerable children from death via respiratory diseases by having a full lockdown every winter.

But we could attempt to explore a milder version of that.

Lets say we wore masks every winter. We cannot say exactly how many vulnerable children would avoid death each winter if we did, but we could estimate that the number might be higher than 1 and quite a bit less than 356. How many would it take to be considered worthwhile?
I think this deserves a thread of its own.
 
Exactly, we haven’t protected children.
Vaccinating children is not about protecting children first and foremost. Not really. Vaccinating children should have been done over the last six months to reduce the spread and save other people's lives - the lives of their grandparents and great-grandparents. That rationale was rejected by the UK government back in June. As a result, probably thousands of people have died unnecessarily. It was, imo, a terrible decision.

The main benefit to the children themselves would have been a big reduction in the disruption to their lives. Better to be vaccinated than to be stuck in bubbles and facemasks all day.
 
The deaths numbers have been updated for London since the last time I looked (I think). They now go up to the 19th Jan and seem to show a peak in over-60s deaths having passed now.

View attachment 307270
Those sort of graphs always have a little downward trend at the end due to reporting delays, so I wouldn’t assume tailing off yet, such changes won’t be apparent for a week or two.
 
when you're above 50 the nhs invites you for flu jabs once every year is that how it works ?
Yes but loads of pharmacists do it and they (in theory at least) update the NHS database you've had it. we just ring up our local pharmacist and book a date. Then we hope that it is the lady pharmacist on duty that day, she's fine but her husband clearly wanted a job operating pneumatic drills but settled for being a pharmacist.
 
Those sort of graphs always have a little downward trend at the end due to reporting delays, so I wouldn’t assume tailing off yet, such changes won’t be apparent for a week or two.
The downward trend is visible between about the 15th and 19th January, so it's already a week or two in the past.
 
I've been getting a flu jab from Boots (about £15 I think) for about a decade (I'm 50 now though so can get it free :D) - I had really nasty flus* in winter 2000/2001 and 2008/2009 (I think) - the first one was particularly scary - I passed out, just suddenly collapsed, in St Martins Lane (passers-by called ambulance, no-one tried to lift my wallet, it was a powerful learning experience about the kindness of strangers). Both times I was floored for 3-4 weeks. I figured £15/year to lessen the chance of that happening again was more than worth it, even without considering beneficial effects of reduced transmission etc.

* I only call it flu because that was what I was told the first time (I assume hospital tested for it? I didn't ask at the time) and the second time felt basically the same - either one could have been a different respiratory virus of course.
 
Vaccinating children is not about protecting children first and foremost. Not really. Vaccinating children should have been done over the last six months to reduce the spread and save other people's lives - the lives of their grandparents and great-grandparents. That rationale was rejected by the UK government back in June. As a result, probably thousands of people have died unnecessarily. It was, imo, a terrible decision.

The main benefit to the children themselves would have been a big reduction in the disruption to their lives. Better to be vaccinated than to be stuck in bubbles and facemasks all day.
I dunno, the hospitalization rates in children are sky-high at the moment, and there's 100k+ cases of pediatric long covid. I'd quite like my kids to be vaccinated for their sakes, and I'll take my own chances.
 

And that's why I think abandoning "Plan B" [weak as it is] is the wrong thing to do at this moment. Maybe they should have waited another month to six weeks, when the decline in cases would be showing clearly up here in the NorthEast [as I suspect we were the last mainland area to really get started with the Omicron wave]

Insufficient vaccinations [not just the boosters] and no mitigations against transmission will mean that Omicron will continue to rampage across the UK. Also, I suspect that there are still quite a few Delta cases lurking, as the UK still had a lot of them when the new variant arrived.
 
I watched this video today - somewhere around here he mentions the upper-respiratory focus of Omicron and the relative narrowness of the tract in children.

 
This was done to distract people from Boris Johnson and happy ending the ERG.
Any public health concerns anyone might have right now are utterly irelevant to the stupidest govenment in history.
Whut?

Could you try and make your point(s?) intelligible?
 
Back
Top Bottom