Coronavirus in the UK - news, lockdown and discussion

[elbows]

There's oodles of space in Windrush Square.

There will be even more space if people pay too much attention to the flyer, I just noticed it says 11.30PM instead of AM!

 

[Badgers]

UK ‘sleepwalking’ to mental health crisis as pandemic takes its toll | Mental health | The Guardian

Coronavirus uncertainty and isolation will have a greater effect on the vulnerable during winter, say charities

amp.theguardian.com

Not surprising and likely a modest prediction % wise

 

[elbows]

Covid-19 patients in hospital in England, by region.

 

[Steel Icarus]

North and Northeast Lincolnshire going to Tier 2 from midnight Sat.

 

[LDC]

West Yorkshire Tier 3 from Monday. Finally.

 

[beesonthewhatnow]

Just call a national lockdown and be done with it ffs

 

[Sue]

So they've confirmed the levels that will apply in Scotland from Monday -- looks to be essentially the same as currently for the Central Belt, with some other places (like Dundee) added.

Covid in Scotland: Has your area changed level?

Some councils have been placed into a tougher tier. Find out which ones.

www.bbc.co.uk

 

[redsquirrel]

West Yorkshire Tier 3 from Monday. Finally.

Well it should have happened ages ago but I'm skeptical it will have much effect. AFAIK Universities in the area are not planning on cutting back on face-to-face teaching.

 

[elbows]

I'm interested in the extent that context, differing levels of hospital numbers in different regions the first time, scale and how much I stretch the graph horizontally alters perceptions of what is being shown.

Here is the South West on its own using the same data as the previous graph.

 

[teuchter]

Covid-19 patients in hospital in England, by region.

View attachment 236480

Is it easy to show this per head of population?

 

[elbows]

Is it easy to show this per head of population?

Its not something I am setup to calculate, partly because I dont like to process data too much in case I mess up and nobody notices. But I will see if some other form of the data exists where I can just use their graphs directly.

 

[Orang Utan]

West Yorkshire Tier 3 from Monday. Finally.

Sunday

 

[frogwoman]

How is Buckinghamshire looking this week elbows? Last week it seemed to be stable or even reducing slightly

 

[elbows]

Its not something I am setup to calculate, partly because I dont like to process data too much in case I mess up and nobody notices. But I will see if some other form of the data exists where I can just use their graphs directly.

Best I can manage is weekly stuff from the weekly surveillance report, and it shows admission rate not number of patients in hospital. I am leaving out the (b) graphs mentioned in the titles because those are for influenza.

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/930818/Weekly_Flu_and_COVID-19_report_w44_FINAL.PDF

It has one for intensive care admissions too.

 

[Orang Utan]

Sunday

Nope, I was wrong. They can’t even get their press releases right

 

[crossthebreeze]

Well it should have happened ages ago but I'm skeptical it will have much effect. AFAIK Universities in the area are not planning on cutting back on face-to-face teaching.

While the North East figures are still dire, stopping most face to face teaching at the universities had a very swift noticeable effect on numbers of new cases. I'm just gobsmacked that other universities that have outbreaks on campus in surrounding badly affected areas have not done the same.

 

[crossthebreeze]

Coronavirus: New data shows COVID-19 cases in Leeds care homes higher than spring peak
Sky News reporting that there is a significant level of infection in care homes in Leeds, with case numbers exceeding the previous peak in May (though obviously this is partly due to the increase in testing).

 

[elbows]

How is Buckinghamshire looking this week elbows? Last week it seemed to be stable or even reducing slightly

Same story really, but as the numbers there are so small the picture is inevitably noisy and I would describe it as natural fluctuations in a slowly rising direction rather than a reduction.

I just graphed the recent period this time so you can see what I mean.

 

[frogwoman]

Same story really, but as the numbers there are so small the picture is inevitably noisy and I would describe it as natural fluctuations in a slowly rising direction rather than a reduction.

I just graphed the recent period this time so you can see what I mean.

View attachment 236488

Thanks, not looking too bad for now then.

 

[cupid_stunt]

Coronavirus: New data shows COVID-19 cases in Leeds care homes higher than spring peak
Sky News reporting that there is a significant level of infection in care homes in Leeds, with case numbers exceeding the previous peak in May (though obviously this is partly due to the increase in testing).

Take with a massive pinch of salt.

Very little testing was happening back in May, now care home workers are being tested every week, nothing in that report suggests there's any large scale outbreak in care homes, most likely workers being picked-up early, which is a good thing TBF.

 

[sheothebudworths]

I've not caught up so apologies if it's already been posted but I've just had the latest email update from the Good Law Project, in relation to the contracts handed out, and - not that we don't already know they're a bunch of the most hideous, filthy sort of profiteering cunts - thought it was worth posting the further detail.

Cabinet contacts awarded COVID contracts

action.goodlawproject.org

 

[cupid_stunt]

Take with a massive pinch of salt.

Very little testing was happening back in May, now care home workers are being tested every week, nothing in that report suggests there's any large scale outbreak in care homes, most likely workers being picked-up early, which is a good thing TBF.

Just to add, on Sky News on the telly just now, the reporter has said he was told most of these cases are staff and not residents.

 

[cupid_stunt]

I was puzzled by the news that Scotland's highest tier is 4, when I thought they had introduced a 5 tier system.

Apparently the lowest tier is '0', which would imply no restrictions whatsoever, but that's not the case.

LINK

If anyone is confused by the rules in England, Scotland has managed to out do us.

 

[elbows]

Just to add, on Sky News on the telly just now, the reporter has said he was told most of these cases are staff and not residents.

The available Covid-19 hospital daily admissions data from August 1st to October 25th has a tab for hospital admissions from care homes. Leeds teaching hospitals NHS trust has the highest figure in England for that period, 56, which is higher than the whole London region which had 49.

Of the 56 currently recorded in the data for that Leeds NHS trust, 29 of them were in the period 19th-25th October.

Data is from Statistics » COVID-19 Hospital Activity


One caveat is that since this data also includes people who were diagnosed whilst in hospital, these numbers can include people who went from a care home to hospital for another reason and then caught it in hospital.

 

[elbows]

And here is a quick look at the regional picture of the daily hospital admissions(and diagnoses in hospital) data for people coming from care homes.

 

[weepiper]

I was puzzled by the news that Scotland's highest tier is 4, when I thought they had introduced a 5 tier system.

Apparently the lowest tier is '0', which would imply no restrictions whatsoever, but that's not the case.

LINK

If anyone is confused by the rules in England, Scotland has managed to out do us.

It's less confusing if you understand that tiers 1 to 3 are broadly equivalent to English tiers 1 to 3. 4 is a step higher than English tier 3 and 0 is a step lower than English tier 1. 0 is 'as close to normal as is likely to be possible' which is still not 'back to normal', because that's not going to happen without mass vaccination.

 

[frogwoman]

Whatever the Tuesday effect, the figures are horrific. There's a real disconnect between all that death and the warblings on Johnson et all.

I keep thinking about this too. I keep thinking we've got totally desensitised

 

[Steel Icarus]

I keep thinking about this too. I keep thinking we've got totally desensitised

It's not, I don't think. It's just that trying to make sense of it all is pretty much all we can do innit. Besides, who wants to be 'sensitised' at a time like this?

 

[kabbes]

elbows, by eye it looks as if the south-east is proportionally less affected so far (compared to its own first wave) than other regions. Am I right?

if so, interesting to speculate why. I suspect it’s partly that its own first wave was heavily commuter-driven, whereas a lot of those people are now WFH. The same thing (for various reasons) wouldn’t be so true in other regions. It’s also probably partly due to the lack of big metropolitan universities in the south-east region (relatively speaking as compared with other regions).

 

[Brainaddict]

Whatever the Tuesday effect, the figures are horrific. There's a real disconnect between all that death and the warblings on Johnson et all.

Yeah, it's nuts. Feels like we could be back at 1000 deaths a day within 6 weeks. The one thing that could have stopped it has been refused by the government, and everyone carries on as normal. You begin to understand how the Spanish flu was (a) allowed to happen and then (b) forgotten about.