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Coronavirus in the UK - news, lockdown and discussion

I didn't say we should slavishly copy China: I highlighted our failure (shared across the West) to properly understand and implement their infection control model. Ironically, we've applied its most authoritarian element -- mass lockdown, on a scale that exceeds anything China did -- while neglecting more targeted measures.

I support the least coercive measures compatible with containing and ultimately eradicating the virus, which is why I endlessly praise Taiwan and South Korea. I've consistently said it's a disgrace we allowed the situation to deteriorate to the point that mass house arrest was needed to halt the spread of the virus.

This is a crazy claim, the lockdown in Hubei province, a similiar population to the UK, was on a much stricter level than here, it was off the scale.

Our lockdown is even much less harsh than some European countries.
 
Sending cv+ people back to care homes was only ever going to result in the virus spreading to the most vulnerable and staff.
It just appeared to me that this was accepted as if there was no alternative.
Empty Nightingale beds could have been used. Or at least the option tried. It would be preferable to have failed trying than fail without trying.
 
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And all similar institutions? And then the same for people in households that aren't care homes? Or would you treat care homes and the residents differently?

At the moment it might make sense to have some system of isolation and repeated testing for anyone leaving hospital, even if it’s just self-isolating for 14 days at home.
 
The lockdown is definitely crumbling around here :(

Given that this is only the 1st of May, the chances of this lasting until June without enough people giving up on it to render the whole thing moot seem very high.

But an example has not been set. Individuals are forced into intolerable confinement, but companies are able to carry on as usual. People can suffer and die in lockdown, but we can't allow a construction firm to forfeit their early completion bonus. These contradictions will not stand up to the pressure they're being subjected to.
 
Describing what we have in Britain as authoritarian or mass house arrest is a bit ridiculous, TBH.

There are plenty of criticisms that can legitimately be made but this just makes you look a bit of a twat
The entire country's forbidden from leaving their homes without "reasonable excuse". It's the most sweeping and draconian curb on individual liberty in centuries, going far further than anything imposed in the world wars.

I force myself to say it's justified by the extraordinary circumstances, but won't downplay just how severe it is. Worry about those who don't share my view, and try and get it quashed in the courts before a surveillance and suppression system's in place, because its legal basis (an obscure public health act from 1984) is, at best, dubious.

I've said for weeks that I'd oppose all but the most minor and evidence-based easing (and perhaps not even that) until the virus can be suppressed by other means. That remains my view.
 
So there should have been a more authoritarian response with forced removal of suspected and confirmed CV+ patients to places, whether they need hospital care or not? Widespread testing across the nation and then quarantining in special institutions for all those that test +?
That's not a fair characterisation of the charge levelled against the system re infection in hospitals and transfer of the virus to care homes. Specifically, the charge is that people infected with the virus have been knowingly transferred from hospital to previously virus-free care homes.

There are many other things that could have been done to avoid that - dedicated virus care homes, requisitioning hotels - get them in the top five-star ones, why not if it's practical to adapt them? They're all just sitting empty.

I'm not going to have a go at them for making new hospitals that weren't needed, but given the expense of that, it's not unreasonable to suggest that a similar effort could have been made to create new facilities dedicated to c-19-positive vulnerable people in order to shield the rest. "We must protect the vulnerable" was the call from well before lockdown. It's not like they weren't aware of the issue.
 
This is a crazy claim, the lockdown in Hubei province, a similiar population to the UK, was on a much stricter level than here, it was off the scale.

Our lockdown is even much less harsh than some European countries.
I'm judging it by its own merits, not relative to Hubei. And to emphasize again, I support it. Indeed, given the circumstances, I'd force myself to support something even more draconian, at least on a regional basis. Given the scale of the outbreak in the capital, the best policy would've probably been the suspension of the Tube and more severe lockdowns in specific London boroughs.
 
Describing what we have in Britain as authoritarian or mass house arrest is a bit ridiculous, TBH.

Much will depend on a person's response to the measures in place, which in turn may depend on their prior experience of actual authoritarian regimes. There are people who are genuinely afraid to leave their homes. Whether you consider that feeling to be is 'wrong' is irrelevant.

There's a definite strain of thought around that says, 'I'm OK with this, so you should be too'. The reasons why that statement is bullshit seem too many and too obvious for me to even know where to start.
 
Much will depend on a person's response to the measures in place, which in turn may depend on their prior experience of actual authoritarian regimes. There are people who are genuinely afraid to leave their homes. Whether you consider that feeling to be is 'wrong' is irrelevant.

There's a definite strain of thought around that says, 'I'm OK with this, so you should be too'. The reasons why that statement is bullshit seem too many and too obvious for me to even know where to start.
Exactly. I'm acutely aware of just how much people's experiences vary, depending on their dwellings and financial situation: I've been the phone to friends in the country who're doing fine, have access to open spaces, and are busy; and others cooped up in tiny flats in a fraught job situation who're suffering greatly.

And that's not touching on the health costs imposed by the lockdown itself. That's why I'm so keep to see an alternative system in place.
 
Much will depend on a person's response to the measures in place, which in turn may depend on their prior experience of actual authoritarian regimes. There are people who are genuinely afraid to leave their homes. Whether you consider that feeling to be is 'wrong' is irrelevant.

There's a definite strain of thought around that says, 'I'm OK with this, so you should be too'. The reasons why that statement is bullshit seem too many and too obvious for me to even know where to start.
That's not what I've said at all.

I'm sure that lots of people are afraid to leave their homes, and lots of people are struggling and finding things difficult for all sorts of reasons.

Pointing out that no one is under literal house arrest and it's not helpful for anyone to describe it as such in no way diminishes the struggles many people are having.
 
Describing what we have in Britain as authoritarian or mass house arrest is a bit ridiculous, TBH.

There are plenty of criticisms that can legitimately be made but this just makes you look a bit of a twat
Next time you consider insulting another poster on these coronavirus threads, maybe have a bit of a think and give your posts a bit of an edit. Your posting style makes you look like a bit of a twat.
 
The entire country's forbidden from leaving their homes without "reasonable excuse".
Or in other words you can leave your house for any reasonable excuse. Considerably less strict than China or other European countries and while social distancing was not necessary in the world wars, blackouts were far more rigorously enforced. It just sounds like you're personally very put out by being kept in. Which is fine, a lot of us are. But it's not 'mass house arrest'. I'm going out for food and urgent plumbing supplies this afternoon and there's a nice big park between me and Screwfix. I'm not going to feel guilty about going the prettier (and probably quieter) way. No one's checking. The rest of the time I'm staying in and keeping my kids in because I want an end to this with as few deaths as possible.
 
That's not what I've said at all.

I'm sure that lots of people are afraid to leave their homes, and lots of people are struggling and finding things difficult for all sorts of reasons.

Pointing out that no one is under literal house arrest and it's not helpful for anyone to describe it as such in no way diminishes the struggles many people are having.
Characterizing it as "house arrest" is tied to the nature of the restrictions, with an expectation that you stay at home being the legal default, and the onus being placed on anyone outside to prove they're justified. "Reasonable excuse" flips the usual burden of proof. I wouldn't characterize, say, Germany's regs in the same way, as their public health purpose is much clearer.
 
Or in other words you can leave your house for any reasonable excuse. Considerably less strict than China or other European countries and while social distancing was not necessary in the world wars, blackouts were far more rigorously enforced. It just sounds like you're personally very put out by being kept in. Which is fine, a lot of us are. But it's not 'mass house arrest'. I'm going out for food and urgent plumbing supplies this afternoon and there's a nice big park between me and Screwfix. I'm not going to feel guilty about going the prettier (and probably quieter) way. No one's checking. The rest of the time I'm staying in and keeping my kids in because I want an end to this with as few deaths as possible.
Not about me. I've had lingering Covid symptoms for over a month (telephone diagnosis only), haven't been tested to get the all clear, so have been under literal home confinement, mostly confinement to a single room to avoid infecting anyone else. I'm fine.

My concern's with those trying to end the lockdown before a replacement's in place. Surely they'll be best persuaded to hold off by acknowleding how bad it can be, and the urgent need to build up an alternative?
 
Ok, but where I am, there’s no sign of any cops let alone enforcement, so it doesn’t feel like we’re living in a draconian state yet
Yup, by all accounts it's a postcode lottery. Thanks to patchy enforcement that appears to be (mostly) sensible, we're not in a Draconian state, but the letter of the law itself is sever, and allows for disproportionate and arbitrary prosecutons. They're thankfully few, but it's not a sustainable solution in the medium-, let alone long-term.
 
Re: the make shift hospitals or using the Nightingale's and moving care home residents there.

So, you'd move them there out of their familiar environment, and to places that are quite likely to be far from unsuitable for their needs? Many patients with conditions such as dementia or physical needs like hoisting that makes their care very complex, even more so in unfamiliar places. How long would you put them there for, and who would look after them?

Would you give them this option or make it compulsory, as I am willing to bet most would want to take the risk and go back to their home.

I totally agree there's been some massive failings, but I also think there was no ideal answer with the care homes, just some less bad ones.
I say this in the spirit of your final sentence: I just think sending people home is 'less-less bad' than you suggest. It's not just the rate of infection in care homes, which is now rampant, it's the impact on the wider care in those homes. As an example, my Mum (in a care home, Parkinson's and dementia) had a fall and appears to have broken her hip. The home contacted me in the expectation she would be going in for an x-ray and even told me the likely ward she would end up in for surgery in North Manchester. They were then stopped from sending her by 111 along the lines that 'she'd be more in danger if she went into hospital'. Now that might be the right decision in terms of defending the NHS and might even be the right decision for her. I'm not having a go, there are no easy solutions. But there she is, in a home with 4 cases of the virus, on paracetamol with no GP access. Fwiw, the staff are very good and are doing their best with reasonable staffing levels. But a lot of care home residents won't even have that.
 
Not about me. I've had lingering Covid symptoms for over a month (telephone diagnosis only), haven't been tested to get the all clear, so have been under literal home confinement, mostly confinement to a single room to avoid infecting anyone else. I'm fine.

My concern's with those trying to end the lockdown before a replacement's in place. Surely they'll be best persuaded to hold off by acknowleding how bad it can be, and the urgent need to build up an alternative?

same here, but isolation is 14 days or bit more,
 
I say this in the spirit of your final sentence: I just think sending people home is 'less-less bad' than you suggest. It's not just the rate of infection in care homes, which is now rampant, it's the impact on the wider care in those homes. As an example, my Mum (in a care home, Parkinson's and dementia) had a fall and appears to have broken her hip. The home contacted me in the expectation she would be going in for an x-ray and even told me the likely ward she would end up in for surgery in North Manchester. They were then stopped from sending her by 111 along the lines that 'she'd be more in danger if she went into hospital'. Now that might be the right decision in terms of defending the NHS and might even be the right decision for her. I'm not having a go, there are no easy solutions. But there she is, in a home with 4 cases of the virus, on paracetamol with no GP access. Fwiw, the staff are very good and are doing their best with reasonable staffing levels. But a lot of care home residents won't even have that.

I obviously have no idea of the whole situation (and what was actually said by the care home staff, 111, etc.) but people should not be avoiding A&E because of that reason. They might not want to, but it's been made very clear that people need to get sorted for acute non-CV related problems.

I'd be on the phone to them asking some questions tbh. Was her fall witnessed? Why do they think the hip is broken? Has she been assessed by a HCP? What exactly did 111 say, and when, and to who? What's the plan for her now?
 
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I'd be happy enough with this fucker being shot given what he appears to have done during a national emergency. However I wont be happy to see the Tories using this story to shift a little blame for the PPE crisis away from them.

 
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