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Coronavirus in the UK - news, lockdown and discussion

I'm suggesting that risk is not a binary, and the more you pile riskier behaviours on top of each other - a semi-enclosed space, packed with people that you don't know, all shouting directly into each others' faces, lots of hand-to-face contact, sharing packets of crisps - the sillier a choice it seems just for the sake of being able to have a drink.

Gardens and parks would seem much safer - more spread out, fewer people, quieter, and also cheaper.

Yes, I think that's certainly right from a personal risk perspective.
 
Reinstated post as all sorted out now.

I didn't realise bookings were live for people over 45. Just had a very strange 5 minutes on Twitter where a TV historian and his mate helped me get booked up.

Anyway, cool story bro but in case anyone else here is still under 50 here's the link.


Does this work for second vaccinations?
 
Walked past my local on Saturday. The landlord and another member of staff were outside doing some work.

They're not having a booking system, just turn up and if there's space order a drink on the app. My mate's gonna have a look after work and text if it's not crowded.

Certainly not desperate but I'd rather go when it might be quieter and I'm curious to see how it's gonna work this time.

I didn't go. It's not a big pub, no garden, people queueing to basically drink at a table in the street. And it wasn't warm. So fuck that.
 
I can't read that thread, not sure why.

Is there any data out there to suggest the p1 variant is more deadly in younger ages than other variants. I get that being more transmissive (is that a word?) is a very bad thing in itself but being more deadly in younger people would be very very bad.

BBC are starting to cover that aspect a bit more these days:

Concern is growing in Brazil about the rising number of young people who are critically ill in hospital with Covid-19.

Research suggests more than half of patients being treated in intensive care last month were under 40.

The BBC's Mark Lowen visited Latin America's largest cemetery, a makeshift hospital and a vaccine hub to find out why the handling of the pandemic in Brazil has become a public health disaster.


I havent looked at the science of that strain much yet, partly because I usually get frustrated by a lack of data. But I will spend a bit more time on it in the weeks ahead, now that things seem a little clearer.
 
I should also say that when looking at Brazil, have to take into account that death rates go up when healthcare systems reach a state of collapse, and thats how their system has been described recently. Also when demand outstrips supply, intensive care rationing may skew figures, in that younger people are less likely to be denied intensive care, and this can be quite a large phenomenon when the overall number of cases is massive.

However I am not suggesting that these factors explain the picture there completely, it is reasonable to think that the strain in question affects the young more than other strains and this is a major cause for concern.
 
The 11:38 entry on the BBC live updates page features Johnson saying the sorts of things people might be more used to me saying than Johnson saying.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson has warned of the consequences of lifting lockdown, telling reporters: "As we unlock, the result will inevitably be that we will see more infection, sadly we will see more hospitalisation and deaths, and people have just got to understand that."

He also says it is "very important" for people to understand that the reduction in infections, hospitalisations and deaths "has not been achieved by the vaccination programme".

"People don't, I think, appreciate that it's the lockdown that has been overwhelmingly important in delivering this improvement in the pandemic and the figures that we've seen," he says.

"Yes of course the vaccination programme has helped but the bulk of the work in reducing the disease has been done by the lockdown."

The PM says he cannot see any reason to change the roadmap out of lockdown at the moment, but urges caution, saying that people must continue to "do the basic things" to get there.

 
I’ve had the first and should be having mine in a couple of weeks, so dunno whether I should book or wait til summoned

I think you can only book through the nhs booking system if your first was done through that system - if you took up an appt from an invitation from your gp or local gp network you have to wait until you get your second invitation. But have a go and see?
 
It’s worth remembering that for all the headlines about 4,200 deaths in a day, worst it’s ever been in Brazil, that death rate is (per capita) about the same as it was here in the UK at the beginning of the year.

Of course and that's why what is happening in Brazil is important because none of us want to go back to that*.


*Well most of us, some do like Mark Harper and that twat Fox etc.
 
It’s worth remembering that for all the headlines about 4,200 deaths in a day, worst it’s ever been in Brazil, that death rate is (per capita) about the same as it was here in the UK at the beginning of the year.
In fact, a bit lower.
This is averaged over the whole country of course, in both cases. So ignores the fact that there could be localised outbreaks in Brazil that might be worse than any of the UK's localised outbreaks.Screenshot 2021-04-13 at 14.27.58.jpg
 
I think you can only book through the nhs booking system if your first was done through that system - if you took up an appt from an invitation from your gp or local gp network you have to wait until you get your second invitation. But have a go and see?
No, that's wrong. I had an appointment from my GP and was able to book 2nd vaccination on the website.
 
That's partly the point, though - you shouldn't be going to the pub to socialise with a bunch of people from outside your household/bubble really.

You can, the rules changed on the 29th March, "outdoor gatherings (including in private gardens) of either 6 people (the Rule of 6) or 2 households will also be allowed, making it easier for friends and families to meet outside."

 
I can't read that thread, not sure why.

Is there any data out there to suggest the p1 variant is more deadly in younger ages than other variants. I get that being more transmissive (is that a word?) is a very bad thing in itself but being more deadly in younger people would be very very bad.
According to that thread, mortality rate in 18-45 group is trebled (I think).

I suppose a part of the increase in mortality could be due to hospitals being overwhelmed by the number of cases.
 
Actually, why is the Brazil v UK comparison important / relevant?

Surely its just enough to know the situation in Brazil is very bad and would appear to be caused by a strain which spreads rapidly and is seemingly more virulent amongst younger age groups than other strains?
 
Ah ok, thanks for the correction. Did you choose book or manage your appointments to book the second one do you remember?
The second one: "manage your appointments". It already knew I'd had the first and gave me a small range of dates and locations for the second. I'm booked with a local pharmacy.

If my GP contacts me before for a 2nd jab then I'll cancel the appointment but it looks like it's all connected together so I'm not really expecting that to happen.
 
I don't know where to put this but have a question:
If I have an antibody test which comes up positive, as in it thinks i have had covid in the past, would that mean i have some degree of immunity against both catching and spreading the virus that's comparable (i don't mean the same i mean can i find information allowing a comparison) to the effect of having a first dose of vaccine?
 
I don't know where to put this but have a question:
If I have an antibody test which comes up positive, as in it thinks i have had covid in the past, would that mean i have some degree of immunity against both catching and spreading the virus that's comparable (i don't mean the same i mean can i find information allowing a comparison) to the effect of having a first dose of vaccine?

It has not been studied enough yet. It helps but no comparisons can be made. I believe it is reasonably well established that getting vaccinated, even if you have antibodies, helps your immune system in dealing with further infections.
 
The 11:38 entry on the BBC live updates page features Johnson saying the sorts of things people might be more used to me saying than Johnson saying.




But the speed of the reduction in deaths especially is down to the vaccine. That's seen clearly in the rates dropping faster in older age groups, i.e. those which have been vaccinated (unless that has changed recently?). The blond buffoon's own fucking slides showed that, guess he's already forgotten what his scientists presented us with a few weeks ago. Why is he trying to play down the success of his own vaccine rollout, the one thing he seems to have got right in the last year?
 
So, as I prepare to take my place in the queue for PCR testing in Lambeth, what do we know about the AZ vaccine and the South African variant? I ask as on Monday I had my first vaguely 'normal' day since March 2020 - three weeks and two days after my vaccination, I went out for a walk and did a bit of casual shopping (got some bits and bobs from Morleys and popped into Boots and Sainsbury's). Then the next day I find out there's a cluster of South African variant in Lambeth and we all have to get tested. Just when I thought the day of liberation had arrived, are we back to square one? Do I close the door of my flat and never venture out again? What to do? Help!
 
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