co-op
But....but cLoWnFiSh....
I don't think anyone here is saying that proper analysis shouldn't be done. But rather that with multiple factor's involved at present eg Covid, WFH, return to work, end of lockdown, introduction of LTNs, it's going to be pretty difficult to attribute fall/rise in business to any one thing.
Chatting to my local shop owners they are both keen to see LTN introduced as it will mean more on foot/bike customers as the cars using the road as a rat run don't tend to stop to buy anything, and there's no parking either.
Bang on. Small shop keepers don't benefit from being on rat runs, those drivers don't stop to buy stuff. The biggest driver of shopping sales is footfall, the number of people walking past. If LTNs do anything at all to that number, there's no reason to think that they will do anything except push the number of pedestrians up. I posted a report going into all of this upthread.
But it's really hard to say for sure what impacts shop keepers actually get and why - not least because it's very hard to get shopkeepers to actually open their books and show, for obvious reasons. The gobby guys who hate LTNs because they think their dicks will fall off if they can't go everywhere in a car, include a few who run shops. I'd take what they say with a pinch of salt. But given the huge number of other factors impacting on shops, the idea that LTNs is their biggest problem right now would need some pretty serious evidence, and it's not there.