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Absolutely the only single GE 2017 results thread.

I'll say it again. I think the swing to Labour in Northern Labour seats will be substantially smaller than in Southern Tory seats.

Bigger swings that win Southern seats are more valuable that racking up extra votes in safe Labour holds.
Yep, Tories seem to be picking up most of the ukip votes which is to be expected given the Brexit result. It'll get interesting further south.
 
I'll say it again. I think the swing to Labour in Northern Labour seats will be substantially smaller than in Southern Tory seats.

Bigger swings that win Southern seats are more valuable that racking up extra votes in safe Labour holds.

True, but for measure, all polls were predicting a swing *towards* Conservative in these areas.

Edit: wrote that before is seen Sunderland. Any particular reason Sunderland is so different to Newcastle?
 
You'd be stupid to predict on the basis of 2 seats... so I will: a leave seat and a remain/leave split seat, both showing smaller swings than expected.

Hmm...I think for the referendum they gave a good indicator of what was happening.
 
In safe Labour seats Corbyn-haters might decide to stick it to him knowing it's unlikely to damage Labour. In marginal seats they might hold their noses and vote Labour. (Don't think the same holds for May). So I'm not sure results in safe seats like Newcastle and Sunderland mean much.
 
It's almost like 1992, the very first results show how it will go :(

I so want to be wrong.

"Oh noes the swing to Labour after just two declared results wasn't as big as predicted, let's all have a nervous breakdown"

Look, even if the exit poll is as wrong as it was in 92, that leaves us exactly where we started before the election. Y'all need to chill... People were talking about a 200 seat majority less than 4 weeks ago, now look where we are.
 
on tweeter

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I fucking hate that Kuenssburg woman. Always thought she was after Nick Robinson's job, perhaps she had a wax image of him in her boudoir and ritually pierced it with false nails.
 
"Oh noes the swing to Labour after just two declared results wasn't as big as predicted, let's all have a nervous breakdown"

Look, even if the exit poll is as wrong as it was in 92, that leaves us exactly where we started before the election. Y'all need to chill... People were talking about a 200 seat majority less than 4 weeks ago, now look where we are.
Fuck that. Anything short of a hung parliament is now officially shit.
 
Going to bed.

Everyone one knows Torys lie in exit polls like people who claim never to have pissed in the sink.

Correct for people who can't even admit what they've done and May's got her working majority.

Still at least people are sticking to the one thread.
 
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