littlebabyjesus
one of Maxwell's demons
Not a swing to labour. But this has limited relevance, tbh. Two safe Labour seats held safely.how is that not a good result?
Not a swing to labour. But this has limited relevance, tbh. Two safe Labour seats held safely.how is that not a good result?
Yep, Tories seem to be picking up most of the ukip votes which is to be expected given the Brexit result. It'll get interesting further south.I'll say it again. I think the swing to Labour in Northern Labour seats will be substantially smaller than in Southern Tory seats.
Bigger swings that win Southern seats are more valuable that racking up extra votes in safe Labour holds.
Fuck. Now I won't be able to sleep at all.If the Tories have done shit but get a majority/LibDem coalition partner do we end up with Boris as PM?
i was only looking at the 4.4% gainSwing to tories of 3.5%
I'll say it again. I think the swing to Labour in Northern Labour seats will be substantially smaller than in Southern Tory seats.
Bigger swings that win Southern seats are more valuable that racking up extra votes in safe Labour holds.
You'd be stupid to predict on the basis of 2 seats... so I will: a leave seat and a remain/leave split seat, both showing smaller swings than expected.
Wasn't there a swing to the Tories?how is that not a good result?
If they had got their position right they would have done better than averageBig leave area. Precisely where you'd expect Labour to do less well than average.
how is that not a good result?
Going to go to sleep now and wake up to discover the exit poll was wrong.You did well and have every right to gloat.
It's going to be a long five years.But saddle up, it's going to be a long night...
It's almost like 1992, the very first results show how it will go
I so want to be wrong.
More LeaveTrue, but for measure, all polls were predicting a swing *towards* Conservative in these areas.
Edit: wrote that before is seen Sunderland. Any particular reason Sunderland is so different to Newcastle?
Fuck that. Anything short of a hung parliament is now officially shit."Oh noes the swing to Labour after just two declared results wasn't as big as predicted, let's all have a nervous breakdown"
Look, even if the exit poll is as wrong as it was in 92, that leaves us exactly where we started before the election. Y'all need to chill... People were talking about a 200 seat majority less than 4 weeks ago, now look where we are.