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Absolutely the only single GE 2017 results thread.

I ran out of marmite and then ripped a massive hole in the van tyre ... today could only get better tbh

The universe telling you that under Corbyn there'll be no need to worry about Marmite because we'll all have nationalised vats full of it to dive into.
 
I'll say it again. I think the swing to Labour in Northern Labour seats will be substantially smaller than in Southern Tory seats.

Bigger swings that win Southern seats are more valuable that racking up extra votes in safe Labour holds.
 
Going to bed, hope that the less-than-enormous Labour swing isn't indicative of anything more ominous.

It's also looking like we can stop looking at the Scots as the saviours of democracy and instead start blaming them for letting the Tories back in again...
 
Houghton and Sunderland South turnout from 56% to 61%, so non-voter engagement is just over 10% there
 
Can I just say this:

Newcastle Central turnout has grown from 58% to 67%. That's a 21% of the non-voters last time choosing to vote this time. It's the energising of the previous non-voters that is the key, and this is what a lot of us have been saying ever since Corbyn was elected. Again -- it's that 20% scenario in my swing model that was predicting this exit poll.
If you're gloating about this, I'm going to too...

A week ago on here, I predicted Con 300 Lab 270 SNP 50 Libdems 10, based on a much larger turnout, particularly among the young.
 
Fuck, that Sunderland result doesn't look great. That exit poll is shite.
You'd be stupid to predict on the basis of 2 seats... so I will: a leave seat and a remain/leave split seat, both showing smaller swings than expected.
 
I have to work tomorrow - off to bed. Have fun people and here's hoping when I get up, the Tories are out.
 
And our permanent niche will be sitting outside Parliament, asking passing MPs if they'll get us into the Commons bars.
 
Sunderland and Newcastle are both highly non-indicative for various reasons, and the BBC don't seem to understand this. The swing is not from Tory to Labour, really, it is from UKIP to Tory and UKIP to Labour, but more of the latter than the former.
 
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