2014 EU/Local Election Thread - Predictions and Results

[Nigel Irritable]

Fine Gael (main right wing government party) transfers didn't exactly flood towards the SP or SF, which is not a surprise, but Coppinger got slightly more of the trickle. A large majority of their transfers went to Hall (ind) and FF.

Now Hall, a kind of populist independent who got a big vote out of the richer bits of the constituency, is eliminated. Coppinger (SP) leads McGuinness (FF) by 450 votes and Donnelly (SF) by 800. It's not clear where Hall's transfers will go as he's a bit of anomaly in urban Ireland, a protest vote by middle class people.

 

[marty21]

2014 result
Jules PIPE (elected) Labour Party 40,858
Mischa Borris Green Party 11,849
Linda KELLY Conservative Party 7,853
Simon DE DENEY Liberal Democrats 3,840
Mustafa KOREL Putting Hackney First 3,265


Hackney Mayoral election- no surprise that Pipe won,strong vote for the Greens though, Tory and Lib Dem vote collapsed , Linda Kelly defected to the Tories 3 years ago from Labour , she lost her council seat as well


2010 result
BOFF, AndrewConservatives12,405
BORRIS, MischaGreen Party 10,100
GEE-TURNER, Adrian JohnLiberal Democrats15,818
GOLDMAN, MontyCommunist Party Of Britain 2,033
PIPE, JulesLabour Party48,363
THOMPSON, William AlexanderThe Christian Party 1,084

 

[belboid]

SF excluded in Dublin West. That has to be good for Coppinger.

 

[Nigel Irritable]

SF excluded in Dublin West. That has to be good for Coppinger.

Yes. She can't lose now. According to someone doing tallies, SF vote will go 75% plus to SP. And she already has a lead.

 

[rekil]

Victory to Coppinger. Dublin West now has 2 communist TDs.

Former runner and Fine Gael candidate Eamonn Coughlan's anecdote is a good laugh for sheer pointlessness.

Spoiler

 

[Nigel Irritable]

Victory to Coppinger. Dublin West now has 2 communist TDs.

Time to start a secessionist movement.

 

[Nigel Irritable]

Not close in the end.

 

[Nigel Irritable]

Sinn Fein votes transferred at a 3.5 : 1 ratio to the Socialist Party over Fianna Fail. That's an interesting insight into the SF vote in urban working class areas, because in more rural areas you would expect a reasonable SF/FF transfer rate.

 

[Hocus Eye.]

i see the ruc have lost a councillor, and are holding steady on 0.

Shit, I had no idea Ulster was a part of these elections. Also I didn't think you could vote for the Constabulary in any area.

 

[Nigel Irritable]

Local paper interviews a newly elected Anti-Austerity Alliance councillor. It's great: http://thecorknews.ie/articles/daytripper-lil-o-donnell-12915

You basically can't get a better socialist local election candidate.

 

[Spanky Longhorn]

Shit, I had no idea Ulster was a part of these elections. Also I didn't think you could vote for the Constabulary in any area.

Northern Ireland is indeed taking part in the council elections but the police force is called the PSNI

 

[Nigel Irritable]

Unfortunately the goat herd did not win. It was still a great vote.

 

[Nigel Irritable]

A few extra late count wins for the AAA and PBP. Looks like 30 or so seats for the hard left (including three or four for other groups)

 

[Red Storm]

32 County Sov Movement fella elected in Derry.

 

[butchersapron]

This is the results from the full tusc slate of 19 in plymouth: 49, 45, 53, 28, 72, 56, 93, 92, 38, 32, 69, 59, 77, 80, 94, 79, 34, 55, 63.

 

[butchersapron]

My final bit of local Nuneaton & Bedworth stuff for now:

My calculation for share of the vote here, subject to my errors including rounding errors and not factoring in that some parties didn't stand in all wards.

Labour 41.6%
Tories 29.8%
UKIP 18.6%
Green 6.5%
TUSC 1.6%
BNP 1%

Which translates into:

Changes since 2010 locals
Lab -3.66%
Con -11.28%
UKIP +18.66%
Green +3.71%
BNP -6.66%
LD -2.81%

Swing Con to Lab: 3.81%

If that swing was consistent across the parliamentary seat labour would take it (38th target seat with 2.32% swing required)

 

[Hocus Eye.]

Northern Ireland is indeed taking part in the council elections but the police force is called the PSNI

Yes I know, I was just having a go at Pickmans and his backdated reference to what he called 'ruc' but was never called that although at the time he made up that name it was the same as the contemporary name of the NI police force.

 

[Gingerman]

What's the chances of Griffith losing his cushy number today then?

 

[belboid]

near certain

 

[DotCommunist]

read a quote from falange today in the 'I' 'The Ukip fox is in the Westminster henhouse'

he really is toad of toad hall

 

[Gingerman]

read a quote from falange today in the 'I' 'The Ukip fox is in the Westminster henhouse'

he really is toad of toad hall

The Ukip turd is in the Westminister sewer.....

 

[goldenecitrone]

The Ukip turd is in the Westminister sewer.....

The UKIP Hating Immigrants Virus is infecting the Body Politic of Westminster.

 

[butchersapron]

Some Hallam (Clegg's seat) info: Across the wards

LIBDEMS: 37% (-15.7% on GE)
LABOUR: 23% (+6.9%)
UKIP: 14% (+11.8%)
GREENS: 12% (+10.4%)
TORIES: 10.5% ( -13%)

Labour+greens = 35% + UKIP and tories wanting to unseat clegg = 35%+
Labour+UKIP =37% + Tories & greens wanting to unseat cleg = 37%+

 

[SpineyNorman]

Local paper interviews a newly elected Anti-Austerity Alliance councillor. It's great: http://thecorknews.ie/articles/daytripper-lil-o-donnell-12915

You basically can't get a better socialist local election candidate.

you'll know this Nigel - someone I know wants to know what the relationship between the Irish sp and AAA is - are you/comrades directly involved?

 

[Nigel Irritable]

you'll know this Nigel - someone I know wants to know what the relationship between the Irish sp and AAA is - are you/comrades directly involved?

The AAA is the Socialist Party plus a load of activists from the anti-water tax / home tax campaign. All SP candidates in the locals ran as AAA.

AAA seat totals as I understand it:
Fingal (North and West Dublin): 4
South Dublin: 3
Dublin City: 1
Cork: 3
Limerick: 2 possibly 3

Going into the election the AAA had the four existing SP councillors nationally.

 

[Spanky Longhorn]

Yes I know, I was just having a go at Pickmans and his backdated reference to what he called 'ruc' but was never called that although at the time he made up that name it was the same as the contemporary name of the NI police force.

It's a legitimate abbreviation of RESPECT Unity Coalition surely?

 

[Red Storm]

Former Red Action, then Working Class Action fella topped the poll as an independent in Dublin.

 

[butchersapron]

James Goldstone@jamesgoldstone
At the Lambeth Euro vote count. Doing disputed ballots, so far 'WORLD SOCIALISM' are beating drawn penises 3 to 1.

 

[rekil]

Victory to marxist-leninist-otherism

 

[binka]

When do we get the results? I am on tenterhooks here!