Casually Red
tomorrow belongs to me
I imagine the Suruc attack will force Erdogan to rethink his policy.
Trouble is, he's probably being blackmailed by threats of similar attacks in Istanbul, or the holiday resorts. One presumes ISIS could carry out such attacks at will. On the other hand, the PKK could do the same--they killed another soldier yesterday too. I've no sympathy for Erdogan at all, but he's really walking a tightrope at the moment.
The thing is though it mightn't just be IS . Erdogan very deliberately turned his
Country into a worldwide hub for the absolute worst , the absolute dregs of global medievalism and nut jobbery . Not just in their thousands but literally tens of thousands . Flowing in there from the 4 corners of the earth. To be armed ,trained and hosted . What type of complete and utter wanker would bring that down on himself by choice ?
While IS are prime and most likely suspects..the fact is any number of other groups hosted on Turkish soil..and indeed a few native ones..could conceivably have done it too . And would in a heartbeat .Their motivations and modus operandi are little different. Whatever ones opinion of Assad he was right when he warned those states they were sowing the seeds of their own societies destruction by using forces they think they can control but ultimately can't .
Erdogan , like the Jordanians , took a gamble that Syria could quickly be overthrown . He gambled badly wrong . The big offensives we've seen in Syria over the past number of years , such as those in Latakia and Idleb have involved literally thousands of foreign jihadists ..Chechens , Libyans , Tunisians , Moroccans ...all sorts . Pouring across the Turkish border with tanks , artillery , technicals . Shiploads of weapons by the hundreds of tonnes in Turkish docks and warehouses. For years now . That's utter madness . And now like any demented chronic gambler who keeps losing he has to keep playing the same hand over and over again. Those lunatics have networks and contacts all over turkey now . With their own fiefdoms on his border . Up to their necks in multi million dollar smuggling rackets and all sorts . Majorly empowered . The tail can wag the dog now .
And now he finds himself without a parliamentary majority . And with a policy
all his conceivable co alition partners are opposed to . And a lot of his military and intel people too . And , like a few others according to the Saudi cables, with a vengeful Assad to reckon with down the line should the Syrian gamble not pay off . So doomed to keep playing the same hand no matter what .
Even if he achieves his victory now what does he get ? A failed state on his borders swarming with armed nutters and empowered Kurds into the bargain .
Or if he loses a vengeful Assad who's had close family and friends killed fighting the people Erdogan sent to kill him . And who'll chase the crackpot forces he sent back to where they came from ? If that happens they won't just evaporate..there's far too many of them . Futures not good for turkey either way .