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The Islamic state

A useful top-down state-centric look at the manoeuvres around Aleppo and what they represent to all concerned given the recent military changes (regime defeats in north south and east/increased rebel unity/better organisation and weapons and supply lines for the same) and the longer term aims of the big-boys - my feeling is the key ISIS rebel clash will come in Homs not Aleppo:

Will Aleppo Be the Next Capital of ISIL?

ISIL’s sweeping attack on the positions of the Army of Conquest (AC) in the north of Aleppo in Syria recently has left many question marks about the eventual course of developments in that region. This was not “just another” attack in the daily war in Syria. It was a moment when all players came to recognize both their limitations and their potential. It deserves, therefore, a closer look.

ISIL was not the sole attacker. Bashar Al Assad simultaneously bombarded the non-ISIL positions with tens of barrel bombs while they were under intense attacks from the terrorist ISIL. Non-ISIL opposition groups used the occasion to reinforce their often-repeated propaganda theme that Assad and ISIL are directly working together.

But it is not true that Assad works with ISIL; the two have different objectives. Yet, on many occasions, like that of attacking the Army of Conquest in north Aleppo, they both have a clear convergence of tactics.
 
The US will establish a new base in Anbar & do more training. Guess it might help a little.
In a major shift of strategy in Iraq, the Obama administration is planning to establish a new military base in Anbar Province and send hundreds of additional American military trainers to help Iraqi forces retake the city of Ramadi and repel the Islamic State. The plans call for an expanded American presence at Taqaddum, an Iraqi base near the town of Habbaniya, the center of Iraq military’s operations in Anbar Province. Officials said about 400 advisers could be sent to Iraq.

To assemble a force to retake Ramadi, the number of Iraqi tribal fighters in Anbar that are trained and equipped is expected to be increased from about 5,500 to as many as 10,000. More than 3,000 new Iraqi soldiers are to be recruited to fill the ranks of the Seventh Iraqi Army division in Anbar and the Eighth Iraqi Army at Habbaniya.
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/10/w...sers-to-reclaim-iraqi-city-officials-say.html
 
An interesting article from the IT on Bosnians being urged to join daesh:

Moderate Bosnian Muslims called to join Islamic State
Radicals exploit social and economic woes of traditionally moderate Balkan Muslims

The video’s slick style is now familiar: between clips of documentary footage, and with English subtitles, young Muslim gunmen urge fellow believers to join them in Islamic State, to wreak bloody vengeance on an infidel West.

But the languages the men speak are surprising: they espouse mass murder in Bosnian and Albanian and tell those who cannot come to the IS “caliphate” in Syria and Iraq to wage jihad at home, in the Balkans.

The video appeared online before Pope Francis’s visit last weekend to Bosnia, where he preached peace and reconciliation a month before the 20th anniversary of the Serb slaughter of some 8,000 Bosnian Muslims at Srebrenica.

The film paints Balkan history, including Bosnia’s 1992-5 inter-ethnic war, as a long tale of Muslim suffering at Christian hands and it is Islamic State’s strongest message to disaffected Muslims in Albania and former Yugoslavia.

It comes as the Balkan states face growing western pressure to staunch the flow of hundreds of young men to IS and other radical groups, to monitor closely those who return from the battlefield and to find out who recruits them – and how.



Continuing tension
With its recent history of ethnic conflict and Serb genocide of Muslim Bosnians, continuing tension between its communities and dysfunctional state and security structures, Bosnia is under particular scrutiny for signs of rising radicalism.


According to Vlado Azinovic, an expert on terrorism at Sarajevo University, about 156 Bosnian men and 61 women and children left the country for Syria and Iraq between December 2012 and December 2014; about 26 were killed there and about 50 have returned home.

In proportion to the country’s population of 3.8 million, Bosnia has one of Europe’s highest participation rates in the Syrian conflict, which is baffling to those who cherish the moderate Islam that has prevailed here for 500 years.

More radical beliefs came to Bosnia with mujahideen fighters who arrived from the Middle East and North Africa during the 1992-5 war.

The areas where they settled after the war are those most commonly associated now with “rogue” Bosnian-born preachers of Wahhabi or Salafi Islam, who move from village to village holding covert, unauthorised prayer meetings.

For several years, the unofficial leader of Bosnia’s Salafi community was Nusret Imamovic, whom the US has now placed on a list of “specially designated global terrorists” for allegedly joining the al-Qaeda- linked Nusra Front in Syria.

He was formerly based in Gornja Maoca, a remote Bosnian village abandoned by Serbs during the war and taken over by Wahhabis, who flew the black banner of Islamic State there earlier this year.

Many Bosnians now with Islamic State and Nusra spent time in Gornja Maoca, as did Mevlid Jasarevic, who is serving 18 years in jail for strafing the US embassy in Sarajevo with more than 100 bullets in 2011.

Emrah Fojnica, a Bosnian who was acquitted of being Jasarevic’s accomplice and also lived for a while in Gornja Maoca, blew himself up last August at a Baghdad market, killing more than 20 people.

Such cases have prompted Bosnia’s security forces to step up raids and arrests against suspected radical Islamists. Last year the country passed a law threatening citizens who fought abroad with a 10-year jail sentence on their return.



Rogue preachers
In recent weeks, Bosnian prosecutors accused 12 people of travelling to the Middle East to fight for Islamic State, while the US charged six Bosnian immigrants with sending cash and supplies to IS and similar groups.


The successor to Imamovic as Bosnia’s unofficial Wahhabi leader in Bosnia, Husein Bilal Bosnic, is now on trial for inciting terrorism and recruiting for IS.

Azinovic, who is an expert witness for the prosecution in the case, said Bosnia’s rogue preachers often had great sway over their congregation, and particularly those who end up with Islamic State.

“In very few instances do they [recruits] have more than an elementary school education and I question their ability to grasp the ideas behind the ideology; they want simple instructions on how to live their daily lives,” he said.

“They are on the fringes of society, completely marginalised geographically, socially, economically. They come from places that any individual would be desperate to leave, at any point, to go anywhere.”

The co-author of a forthcoming study on Balkan fighters in the Middle East, Azinovic said Muslim anger over the 1990s war and genocide – which has provoked remarkably few revenge attacks – is less a factor in pushing Bosnians towards IS than the country’s political, economic and social problems.

“This is a failing state,” he said of a country still run according to a western-designed 1995 peace deal that created a bewildering administrative system in a bid to maintain a balance of power between ethnic groups.

The arrangement lumbered Bosnia with several parliaments, more than a dozen governments at various levels and 22 police agencies, which often refuse to work together and pursue their own interests, paralysing the country.

“Youth unemployment is the highest in the world, around 63 per cent – worse than Gaza. All those young Bosnians have nothing to do, no prospects, and it’s a similar story in Kosovo, ” said Azinovic.

With Bosnia’s politicians characteristically slow to tackle the issue of radicalisation, the country’s Islamic Community – the official Muslim organisation in Bosnia since it was part of the Habsburg Empire – has taken the lead.



Living together
The community has urged the authorities to revoke the citizenship of people who fight abroad and asked the Sarajevo embassies of Muslim states to seek its approval before allowing Bosnians to make foreign study trips.


Razim Colic, the community’s director for foreign affairs, said radical Islam had come to Bosnia from outside – first with the 1990s mujahideen and now, above all, from Wahhabis in western Europe – and had little support and shallow roots in the country.

“Bosnians have such a long history of co-operation, and that is coming back after the war,” he said.

“I don’t think radicalisation will live long in Bosnia – our tradition of living together is much stronger than the troubles we have now.”

Of course on one point the article is wrong there was a version of Islamic radicalism even in the 1970' with Alija Izetbegović's publishing of his book The Islamic Declaration.
 
An interesting article from the IT on Bosnians being urged to join daesh:

Moderate Bosnian Muslims called to join Islamic State
Radicals exploit social and economic woes of traditionally moderate Balkan Muslims

The video’s slick style is now familiar: between clips of documentary footage, and with English subtitles, young Muslim gunmen urge fellow believers to join them in Islamic State, to wreak bloody vengeance on an infidel West.

But the languages the men speak are surprising: they espouse mass murder in Bosnian and Albanian and tell those who cannot come to the IS “caliphate” in Syria and Iraq to wage jihad at home, in the Balkans.

The video appeared online before Pope Francis’s visit last weekend to Bosnia, where he preached peace and reconciliation a month before the 20th anniversary of the Serb slaughter of some 8,000 Bosnian Muslims at Srebrenica.

The film paints Balkan history, including Bosnia’s 1992-5 inter-ethnic war, as a long tale of Muslim suffering at Christian hands and it is Islamic State’s strongest message to disaffected Muslims in Albania and former Yugoslavia.

It comes as the Balkan states face growing western pressure to staunch the flow of hundreds of young men to IS and other radical groups, to monitor closely those who return from the battlefield and to find out who recruits them – and how.



Continuing tension
With its recent history of ethnic conflict and Serb genocide of Muslim Bosnians, continuing tension between its communities and dysfunctional state and security structures, Bosnia is under particular scrutiny for signs of rising radicalism.


According to Vlado Azinovic, an expert on terrorism at Sarajevo University, about 156 Bosnian men and 61 women and children left the country for Syria and Iraq between December 2012 and December 2014; about 26 were killed there and about 50 have returned home.

In proportion to the country’s population of 3.8 million, Bosnia has one of Europe’s highest participation rates in the Syrian conflict, which is baffling to those who cherish the moderate Islam that has prevailed here for 500 years.

More radical beliefs came to Bosnia with mujahideen fighters who arrived from the Middle East and North Africa during the 1992-5 war.

The areas where they settled after the war are those most commonly associated now with “rogue” Bosnian-born preachers of Wahhabi or Salafi Islam, who move from village to village holding covert, unauthorised prayer meetings.

For several years, the unofficial leader of Bosnia’s Salafi community was Nusret Imamovic, whom the US has now placed on a list of “specially designated global terrorists” for allegedly joining the al-Qaeda- linked Nusra Front in Syria.

He was formerly based in Gornja Maoca, a remote Bosnian village abandoned by Serbs during the war and taken over by Wahhabis, who flew the black banner of Islamic State there earlier this year.

Many Bosnians now with Islamic State and Nusra spent time in Gornja Maoca, as did Mevlid Jasarevic, who is serving 18 years in jail for strafing the US embassy in Sarajevo with more than 100 bullets in 2011.

Emrah Fojnica, a Bosnian who was acquitted of being Jasarevic’s accomplice and also lived for a while in Gornja Maoca, blew himself up last August at a Baghdad market, killing more than 20 people.

Such cases have prompted Bosnia’s security forces to step up raids and arrests against suspected radical Islamists. Last year the country passed a law threatening citizens who fought abroad with a 10-year jail sentence on their return.



Rogue preachers
In recent weeks, Bosnian prosecutors accused 12 people of travelling to the Middle East to fight for Islamic State, while the US charged six Bosnian immigrants with sending cash and supplies to IS and similar groups.


The successor to Imamovic as Bosnia’s unofficial Wahhabi leader in Bosnia, Husein Bilal Bosnic, is now on trial for inciting terrorism and recruiting for IS.

Azinovic, who is an expert witness for the prosecution in the case, said Bosnia’s rogue preachers often had great sway over their congregation, and particularly those who end up with Islamic State.

“In very few instances do they [recruits] have more than an elementary school education and I question their ability to grasp the ideas behind the ideology; they want simple instructions on how to live their daily lives,” he said.

“They are on the fringes of society, completely marginalised geographically, socially, economically. They come from places that any individual would be desperate to leave, at any point, to go anywhere.”

The co-author of a forthcoming study on Balkan fighters in the Middle East, Azinovic said Muslim anger over the 1990s war and genocide – which has provoked remarkably few revenge attacks – is less a factor in pushing Bosnians towards IS than the country’s political, economic and social problems.

“This is a failing state,” he said of a country still run according to a western-designed 1995 peace deal that created a bewildering administrative system in a bid to maintain a balance of power between ethnic groups.

The arrangement lumbered Bosnia with several parliaments, more than a dozen governments at various levels and 22 police agencies, which often refuse to work together and pursue their own interests, paralysing the country.

“Youth unemployment is the highest in the world, around 63 per cent – worse than Gaza. All those young Bosnians have nothing to do, no prospects, and it’s a similar story in Kosovo, ” said Azinovic.

With Bosnia’s politicians characteristically slow to tackle the issue of radicalisation, the country’s Islamic Community – the official Muslim organisation in Bosnia since it was part of the Habsburg Empire – has taken the lead.



Living together
The community has urged the authorities to revoke the citizenship of people who fight abroad and asked the Sarajevo embassies of Muslim states to seek its approval before allowing Bosnians to make foreign study trips.


Razim Colic, the community’s director for foreign affairs, said radical Islam had come to Bosnia from outside – first with the 1990s mujahideen and now, above all, from Wahhabis in western Europe – and had little support and shallow roots in the country.

“Bosnians have such a long history of co-operation, and that is coming back after the war,” he said.

“I don’t think radicalisation will live long in Bosnia – our tradition of living together is much stronger than the troubles we have now.”

Of course on one point the article is wrong there was a version of Islamic radicalism even in the 1970' with Alija Izetbegović's publishing of his book The Islamic Declaration.

Bin laden was their ministry of defence for all intents and purposes back in the 90s . Many of his people were given Bosnian citizenship afterwards . Traditional Bosnian Islam died as a force and tradition alongside Yugoslavia . An Islamic bigot ...Izetbegovic was proclaimed...not elected...president and that was the end of it . The Saudis have been funding the mosques and the schools eversince , with predictable results . It's over 20 years on , this is no anomaly . It's cause and effect .
 
That's good ta. It overplays the efficiency of the USA bombing raids.

Why is it only Vice ffs that is doing proper investigative journalism?

If they, the USA, are afraid of boots on the ground, why aren't they giving ammo and other material to the Kurds?

Is it just Kurds IS are killing ? You'd think so the way people react to it . Shia , alawite , Twelver, Christian , Assyrian and non sectarian sunnis seem to be way down the list of acceptable humanity . I've sympathised with the pkk for as long as I can remember but it gets my goat that Kurds are now a protected species while the awaiting genocide of other minorities matters not a bit .

The fact is the US , and other states, have been deliberately fuelling a sectarian war and IS are simply the logical conclusion of it . Except they're the " unacceptable " face of it . Meaning the rest of the cunts who are every bit as bad in any number of respects and methods are now seen as acceptable . And can be supported . When the difference is little more than degrees , and sometimes initials . And very often the date they switched from FSA to IS .
 
The west is scratching it's head thinking what to do now and how to do it but they are cololianists,doh (2015, Colonialism is well passed it's sell by date).
Why don't they just bugger off? mind you they have made such mayhem and murder they are not going to be allowed to forget it for a long,long time.
I can't see the need for journalists because it seems so straight forward, the jig is up.
 
Couple of interesting, connected pieces analysing the past & future cartography of Iraq & Syria, both featuring analysis of the way that 'Sykes Picot' is used by contemporary politicians & commentators on all sides.

First piece is by Daniel Neep, a professor at Georgetown - 'The Middle East, Imagination and Cartography' - some economic analysis, & a reference to macro identity politics.

Rejection of the so-called Sykes-Picot settlement focuses on the non-correspondence of actually existing states and the latent divisions of communal identities such as ethnicity and sect. (The poor economic viability of the new states, on the other hand, is rarely referenced in the artificiality debates, despite the fact that struggles over political economy invariably underpin episodes of ethnic and sectarian tension). Syria, Lebanon, and Iraq are often taken as exemplars of the category of artificial state: each of these states is putatively identified as a chaotic mishmash of different sectarian and ethnic groups with few common loyalties. A society that contains religious and ethnic diversity, it is implied, produces structural instability on the political level.

Yet, despite the promise of cartographic solutions to the political problems of the world, they simply prolong the life of the troublesome equation of identity and geography. It is this dangerous equivalence that needs to be unraveled, not the borders of Mr Sykes and Monsieur Picot.

Second piece (run in two parts) is by Sara Pursely, also a US academic, for Jadillya magazine - 'Lines Drawn on an Empty Map' - plenty of history, and one key point - that the supposed artificiality of Iraq (& to a lesser extent Syria) justifies its destruction by foreign powers. 'It wasn't a real country anyway'.

The discourse of Iraq as an artificial state—an irrational amalgam of heterogeneous peoples—emerged in the 1920s, as I will show in Part 2 of this article. It was originally a colonial narrative, invoked to argue that Iraq was not yet coherent enough to govern itself, contrary to the claims of Iraqi nationalists, and that it must therefore be governed by Britain. That it later also became a nationalist narrative—especially an Arab nationalist narrative—may help to explain its persistence. In the wake of the US invasions of 1991 and 2003, it was dusted off and trotted out in particularly virulent ways by the pro-war camp and their later apologists. After all, what harm had been done in destroying a country that had never authentically existed in the first place?
 
Daesh aint all that.
interesting american army report here https://publicintelligence.net/usarmy-trisa-isil/ about isis tactics.

Executive Summary


• ISIL is an evolution of an insurgent group that has changed its name to reflect an increasing geographic vision.
• ISIL’s advantage to date has been an increasingly large number of fighters and deep cash reserves to fund its operations. This provides greater capacity to organize, train, and equip like a military organization.
• ISIL executes military tactics to the best of its capability. This is a greater capability than that shown by previous insurgencies in the area, but still not best practice in a number of warfighting functions and key tasks.
• High value targets for ISIL have included such infrastructure as dams and oil refineries, which also contribute to its cash flow.
• Social media use has reached a new level of refinement as ISIL has capitalized on Western recruits’ language skills and a new generation of technically savvy apprentices.
 
That thing of killing the person and immediately sending a death certificate is exactly what the nazis (and probably many others) used to do btw. :(
 
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