Sheffield Hallam - How Would You Vote?

[belboid]

Clegg scum, rather than Tory scum I assume?

indeed.

Fuck knows exactly how they come up with that precise figure, it's basically 'we are pretty convinced' as far as I can tell. I suspect they're giving Clegg a positive personal vote tho. The eejits

 

[SpackleFrog]

indeed.

Fuck knows exactly how they come up with that precise figure, it's basically 'we are pretty convinced' as far as I can tell. I suspect they're giving Clegg a positive personal vote tho. The eejits

Dunno, might not be far off. We'd say Labour have a 100% chance in Sheffield Heeley for example.

 

[belboid]

Dunno, might not be far off. We'd say Labour have a 100% chance in Sheffield Heeley for example.

I'd put Heeley at 99%, but I wont argue too much.

 

[belboid]

It's on the bag now, shorely?

Ronnie O'Sullivan endorses Coppard

 

[killer b]

Ashcroft's latest has coppard ahead.

 

[comrade spurski]

I think this election result will be a shit...it'll just be a matter of degrees of shit imo.
The only enjoyable thing will be seeing if the lib dems implode and seeing clegg lose his seat would at least give us a smile on election night.

 

[Flavour]

What if there's a dead heat?

 

[danny la rouge]

What if there's a dead heat?

Has Quartz got your login?

 

[comrade spurski]

Dont understand your question mate...not being rude...i genuinely do not get it...

Imo this election will end up as
A) Tory win...fucking horrible shit
B) Tory majority ... ukip and dup coalition...fucking horrible shit
C) Tory majority ... lib dem coalition....fucking horrible shit
D) Labour win...a little less fucking horrible shit
E) Labour majority...some coalition...a little less fucking horrible shit

Whatever happens it'll be horrible shit...imo

 

[Belushi]

What if there's a dead heat?

They toss a coin.

 

[danny la rouge]

Ashcroft's latest has coppard ahead.

Here's the data set:

http://lordashcroftpolls.com/wp-con...ffield-Hallam-April-2015.HSTR-Full-tables.pdf

(PDFs).

 

[Yossarian]

What if there's a dead heat?

Wait until the oldest voter dies or the youngest potential voter turns 18.

 

[fakeplasticgirl]

Labour. Will be so great if slimy Clegg loses his seat!

 

[fakeplasticgirl]

if clegg loses would not be surprised if he was booted up to the lords.

But Clegg's said he wouldn't accept a peerage.

And we all know he's a man of his word............

 

[Dogsauce]

Dont understand your question mate...not being rude...i genuinely do not get it...

Imo this election will end up as
A) Tory win...fucking horrible shit
B) Tory majority ... ukip and dup coalition...fucking horrible shit
C) Tory majority ... lib dem coalition....fucking horrible shit
D) Labour win...a little less fucking horrible shit
E) Labour majority...some coalition...a little less fucking horrible shit

Whatever happens it'll be horrible shit...imo

You also have to think of what happens to the losers too - a defeated labour party is likely to eject the leader and move even further to the right, blaming defeat on failing to attract voters from the (ever shifting rightwards) 'centre ground', plus finger-pointing at greens or other left parties for splitting the nominally left vote, perhaps discouraging voters of those parties from voting for their beliefs rather than tactically.

Hammered lib dems (probably going to happen anyway) may move leftwards, depending on who remains and who becomes leader - hence some extra importance in throwing Clegg out. Beware 'expectations management' and a victory being claimed if they don't do quite as bad as people expect, even if still pretty heavily routed.

Tories may end up finger-pointing and squabbling with UKIP if they do badly - could be a delightful spat on the right, yet if they still end up as the largest single party (which polls suggest) they might still claim some sort of moral victory even if not in government, playing themselves as victims of the system and acting like they have a divine right to rule (they kind of have this arrogance already). I'm hoping for messy splits and defections, but more likely is they'll anoint Boris and rally round the flag.

 

[ViolentPanda]

What if there's a dead heat?

Political death-match. No rules, no crying when the other politician rips one of your ears off, just blood, gore and to-the-death violence!

 

[belboid]

Tory share collapsing to save Clegg, according to the latest Guardian poll
http://www.theguardian.com/politics...tical-votes-to-save-nick-clegg-in-hallam-poll

 

[William of Walworth]

Denied a possible best Portillo moment???

I always hated the Tories. As well as the official Tories

 

[William of Walworth]

I very often (over-optimistically?) distrust Guardian polls though.

 

[miktheword]

but still equal before ICM's adjustments of certain to vote and DKs to last election (50% Clegg)
also a phone poll will miss many first year students out. Amongst 3rd year students, 29% supporting Green apparently.

 

[Fozzie Bear]

oops, ignore me.

 

[Pickman's model]

oops, ignore me.

there's the tagline for which you've been looking

 

[treelover]

but still equal before ICM's adjustments of certain to vote and DKs to last election (50% Clegg)
also a phone poll will miss many first year students out. Amongst 3rd year students, 29% supporting Green apparently.

But will they vote?

 

[Pickman's model]

But will they vote?

let's wait and see.

 

[Up the junction]

Clegg's never been in much doubt on Lib Dem private polling. Almost zero Tory campaigning in the constit sending a very clear message to their own voters.

 

[Up the junction]

Much tighter in BaOS vs. Simon Hughes. Labour mounting a huge 14-hour get the vote out push from adjoining Lab constit's on Thurs itself.

 

[William of Walworth]

Up the junction -- for ages, I've thought Simon Hughes was a bit more likely to be kicked out than Clegg.

I used to live very near that constituency, and there's huge potential there IMO, despite the big LD majority last time.

I had also been getting hopeful recently about Clegg's General Ejection though....

 

[Pickman's model]

Up the junction -- for ages, I've thought Simon Hughes was a bit more likely to be kicked out than Clegg.

I used to live in the constituency, and there's huge potential there IMO, despite the big LD majority last time.

I had also been getting hopeful recently about Clegg's General Ejection though....

perhaps every politician should be made to do the 20 pint challenge on election day and only those who can keep it down without passing out should be allowed entry to the house of commons.

 

[William of Walworth]

Clegg's never been in much doubt on Lib Dem private polling.

Well publicised as in well placed leaks to the Guardian style 'private polling' ????

Or as in over complacent, under scientific, but technically 'real' style private polling?

 

[William of Walworth]

perhaps every politician should be made to do the 20 pint challenge on election day and only those who can keep it down without passing out should be allowed entry to the house of commons.

I've only had ..... far far fewer than 20 earlier , and I'm not standing for election, either