Lib Dem Polls - How Low Can They Go?

[butchersapron]

Is this our first 6%?

Opinium for Observer:
CON 27%(nc)
LAB 38%(+1)
LD 6%(-1)
UKIP 19%(nc)

 

[shagnasty]

It seems that labour have a low vote but enough to win an election.That must be one for einstien theory of relativity

 

[belboid]

Marvellous result for the LibScum in the Welsh Parliament by-election.

1.43% and beaten by the Socialist Labour Party!

 

[Santino]

It seems that labour have a low vote but enough to win an election.That must be one for einstien theory of relativity

Latest Populus and YouGov polls have Labour at 40.

 

[Kaka Tim]

Lib dems have been telling themselves that thye wouldn't stay on 10% forever and things would change when they got closer to the general election.

turns out they were right.

They've just recorded their lowest ever poll rating with you gov - 6%.
Details here -
http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/

 

[goldenecitrone]

Lib dems have been telling themselves that thye wouldn't stay on 10% forever and things would change when they got closer to the general election.

turns out they were right.

They've just recorded their lowest ever poll rating with you gov - 6%.
Details here -
http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/

Closing in on their record low of 3% in 1989.

the lowest the Lib Dems have recorded in any GB poll is, so far as I can tell, a 3% in an ICM poll for the Sunday Correspondent in 1989

 

[treelover]

Danny Alexander has said that the Lib Dems could be biggest party by 2025.

http://www.newstatesman.com/politic...lexander-lib-dems-could-be-biggest-party-2025

Nurse!

 

[goldenecitrone]

Nurse!

Not as big a party as the one in 2015 when the twats get booted out of government next spring I bet.

 

[Kaka Tim]

Latest you gov -

Lab 38
Con 32
UKIP 14
LDem 6
Green 5

A new low?

 

[DaveCinzano]

Latest you gov -

LDem 6

I'm welling up

 

[belboid]

http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/9069

Down to 5%

 

[weepiper]

From the Rochester and Strood count

 

[brogdale]

...or coming under charlotte rose?

 

[butchersapron]

The Messenger spoke to 100 voters leaving polling booths during the day. Here's what they found.

Ukip – 49%

Conservative – 29%

Labour – 16%

Greens – 6%

Liberal Democrats – 0%

 

[taffboy gwyrdd]

At least 0 is a nice round number.

 

[butchersapron]

We seem to have worked out that they need around 400+ votes to avoid 0%. In South Shields they got 352. Larger turnout today though.

 

[brogdale]

We seem to have worked out that they need around 400+ votes to avoid 0%. In South Shields they got 352. Larger turnout today though.

I assume that >200 would be rounded up to 1%.
To get <200 would be pretty spectacular.

 

[butchersapron]

I assume that >200 would be rounded up to 1%.
To get <200 would be pretty spectacular.

You've killed the dream - i forgot about rounding.

 

[butchersapron]

It's ok, we just say, non-rounded results and give exact figures.

 

[Wilf]

At least 0 is a nice round number.

It may have been rounded up.

 

[butchersapron]

It may have been rounded up.

I hate to use a tories joke but on a 100 sample the MOE is +/-5%. So they could be on -5%

 

[Wilf]

It's only -5% because some of their votes blew away

 

[chilango]

0.87%.

Excellent.

The dream is Clegg losing his seat in May.

Can we dare to dream?

 

[William of Walworth]

0.87%.

Excellent.

The dream is Clegg losing his seat in May.

Can we dare to dream?

I'd say that's very achievable. I'm been daring to dream of that GE 2015 Portillo moment for ages

 

[Roadkill]

See here for an interesting take on Sheffield Hallam. Could go either way, although tbh if I were a betting man I'd put a fiver on Clegg hanging on by the skin of his teeth.

 

[William of Walworth]

Roadkill : That's from August, but I hadn't picked upon it before so thanks -- its an interesting read. Sounds like the main lesson Labour need to draw from it is that they need to start encouraging students to get registered within Clegg's consituency from NOW. No idea how organised or sussed the LP is in Sheffield though

 

[brogdale]

Lib Dem president Tim Farron has now broken cover to admit it had been a bad night. He’s told the World at One:

I spent quite a bit of time on the doorsteps of Rochester. I probably met all of the Liberal Democrat voters.

Lol

 

[redsquirrel]

See here for an interesting take on Sheffield Hallam. Could go either way, although tbh if I were a betting man I'd put a fiver on Clegg hanging on by the skin of his teeth.

Yeah, I think you're right unfortunately but we can but hope.

 

[Puddy_Tat]

From the Rochester and Strood count

at the MRLP failing to make the big breakthrough

 

[brogdale]

Newsnight fact....R&S = LDs 11th lost deposit of the parliament.