Lib Dem Polls - How Low Can They Go?

[little_legs]

yep, you are correct, n. russel was replaced by a labour councillor in this by-election.

 

[shagnasty]

But in may they only won by a small majority but this time they polled twice the libdem total

 

[shagnasty]

Indy poll
con35% lab37% libdem16%


http://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...ave-tories-behind-labour-in-poll-2122618.html

the first sign that cuts are starting to hurt tories

 

[Streathamite]

labour took over kentish town in camden from the lib dems last thursday: http://www3.camden.gov.uk/votes/?page_id=28

given that kentish Town is gentrifying, that's a shockingly bad result for the tories and the libdems

 

[Streathamite]

i hope sarah tether in the neighbouring brent central is shitting herself

bound to be, it's demographics are much more naturally pro-Labour than KT's are

 

[frogwoman]

what happens if there has to be a by election in sheffield and nick clegg loses his seat? Will he still have to carry on being the leader of the lib dems?

 

[Santino]

what happens if there has to be a by election in sheffield and nick clegg loses his seat? Will he still have to carry on being the leader of the lib dems?

The by-election would probably be caused by his death.

 

[frogwoman]

sorry, fuck, not really with it this morning, i thought so after i posted that!

 

[butchersapron]

Well yeah, he's either dead or gone to the chilterns in that situation. Preferably the former.

 

[butchersapron]

Interesting finding in the latest YG tables (pdf) - nearly a 1/4 of people who identify as lib-dem voters blame the coalition for the economic situation and 30% of lib-dem think they're being done 'unfairly' (That figures also maps quite nicely onto the LDs who aren't intending to vote for AV right now, only 70% for.).

 

[co-op]

If you follow the link it has the result from 6 May when Labour won all three seats. Their percentage share was well up the other day though.

And the Lib-Derm vote held up amazingly well it has to be said.

 

[butchersapron]

New welsh poll out for westiminster - i.e not the welsh regions and constituency votes - for proper london MPs - lib-dems being destroyed:

CON 29%(+3), LAB 46%(+10), LDEM 8%(-12), PC 11%(nc)

 

[frogwoman]

8%!

 

[Streathamite]

fucking hell, you'd expect the tories to collapse in wales a long way before the lib dems did

 

[Spanky Longhorn]

New welsh poll out for westiminster - i.e not the welsh regions and constituency votes - for proper london MPs - lib-dems being destroyed:

CON 29%(+3), LAB 46%(+10), LDEM 8%(-12), PC 11%(nc)

It would be plausible to conclude from that, that typical Libdem voters are peeling off back towards their natural parties, three quarters going back to Labour, and a quarter back to the Tories.

 

[Voley]

8%!

 

[butchersapron]

The lesson to the lib-dem is clear: get out of wales.

 

[London_Calling]

Milliband E. presumably hasn't done any harm either.

 

[Proper Tidy]

Assembly elections should be interesting. Even with the electoral system, the liberals and the tories are going to get fucked off. Plaid seem to be a bit lost at the moment too. Labour will fucking clean up.

Cheerio Black and Williams...

 

[butchersapron]

Tonight we have

CON 41%, LAB 40%, LD 11%; APPROVAL -5

Lab hitting that 40% fairly regular now. Govt approval stabilised at negative.

 

[lewislewis]

Assembly elections should be interesting. Even with the electoral system, the liberals and the tories are going to get fucked off. Plaid seem to be a bit lost at the moment too. Labour will fucking clean up.

Cheerio Black and Williams...

Plaid's vote will stay about the same- considering they're a junior coalition partner that's not a bad result, but they will probably lose a seat or two because in 2007 they got quite lucky on the regional lists. Labour are effectively deploying nationalist rhetoric at the moment and it is stunting Plaid's growth.

 

[William of Walworth]

New welsh poll out for westiminster - i.e not the welsh regions and constituency votes - for proper london MPs - lib-dems being destroyed:

CON 29%(+3), LAB 46%(+10), LDEM 8%(-12), PC 11%(nc)

Weyhey! Not seen that til now ...

In somewhere like Swansea, where in the West seat in May the LDs came within a whisker of unseating Labour, they'd be completely wiped out if that poll is anywhere near true ...

 

[William of Walworth]

Assembly elections should be interesting. Even with the electoral system, the liberals and the tories are going to get fucked off. Plaid seem to be a bit lost at the moment too. Labour will fucking clean up.

Cheerio Black and Williams...

That's Peter Black in Swansea isn't it? He was also the Parliamentary candidate in Swansea West, see above. Locally all the current talk from the political types (OK leftie beeer drinkers too!) that I hang out with, is that he hasn't got any hope at all of retaining his Assembly seat.

 

[William of Walworth]

AV may be a compromise but at least it's actually on the table.

As is blatantly pro-Tory gerrymandering of constituency numbers and boundaries, without any chance of any local input. The boundary changes are bundled in with AV.

 

[William of Walworth]

i hope sarah tether in the neighbouring brent central is shitting herself

I'm sure she is. I wrongly predicted Dawn Butler (ex Brent South MP) to win it back for Labour in May anyway --back then, the boundaries were already in Labour's favour and Butler had a positive local profile, most of Teather's redrawn seat was made up of the old Brent South. I was amazed Teather hung ionto it, but she's toast for next time now anyway

 

[Proper Tidy]

That's Peter Black in Swansea isn't it? He was also the Parliamentary candidate in Swansea West, see above. Locally all the current talk from the political types (OK leftie beeer drinkers too!) that I hang out with, is that he hasn't got any hope at all of retaining his Assembly seat.

Yeah, looks like he could go. Looks like they could all go! He's got a regional seat though, which isn't quite so bad as constituency seats cos of the way the electoral system works. He's a complete wanker too.

 

[moochedit]

YouGov’ daily polling for the Sun has topline figures of CON 40%, LAB 40%, LDEM 9%, Others 10%.
It’s the first time YouGov have shown the Lib Dems dropping into single figures, and the first time any pollster has shown them at such a low level since 1997.

http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/

 

[butchersapron]

Yes! I wanted to post that!

 

[Belushi]

Hahahahaha

 

[moochedit]

I wonder who the 10% "others" are ?