So, a very quick estimate from Google earth I reckon there might be 150 residential properties on Shakespeare North. Some are houses which will be split into flats. but let's call it 250 households. Lambeth stats say about 40% will have a car. That's 100 cars and actually that looks about the number that can be seen on google earth as well. Look around your streets and you'll see most cars don't actually move every day - commute share by car in Lambeth is less than 10% but we want to make this number high so lets say every car makes 1 trip every day as an assumption. That's 200 car movements by residents each day (one out, one back).
Add deliveries to that. There must be a dozen different courier companies. plus the post office, Plus veg boxes and a few Amazon drivers and supermarket home delivery. But surely not more than 50 vans coming each day so add another 100 movements.
Add some takeaway deliveries - 10% of homes day (I'm sure it's nothing like that high). 50 movements.
Add some carers and visitors.
We're still below 400 vehicle movements a day for residents who live on the street and that's probably a significant over estimate.
And of course, the residents at the north end don't drive past the homes on southern end so the road gets progressively quieter the further south you go.
the DFT figures aren't great - if you dig into them you'll find most years are estimates BUT lambeth took counts for the 20mph introduction in 2017 (and before in 2015) using those rubber strips in the street and they
are accurate. Thats where the 3600 comes (combined count of both directions)
What does the data say?
It looks like it separates it by number of axles so 14 HGVs a day (do these already all go north because of the height restriction on the bridge?) and 26 'trucks'. The only category that should be increasing on Shakespeare North is that 26 (but that includes the bin lorries and their routes routes are unchanged).