Could somebody do an analysis of the top teams run in to the playoffs and likely scenarios - all very close
Given the time I have on my hands due to current lack of work, I've given this a go.
Current state of play Pld-
Pts-GD
Wealdstone 41
89 59
Dulwich Hamlet 42
78 33
AFC Hornchurch 42
76 29
Bognor Regis Town 41
76 27
Kingstonian 42
75 27
Maidstone 42
74 34
Lowestoft 40
71 30
Hendon 41
69 21
After the recent crop of games in hand went largely Hamlet's way, our fate is almost now back in our own hands. If we win our remaining games (Billericay (a), Leiston (h), Hampton (a) and Kingstonian (h) we are guaranteed at least 3rd. Really, that's the bottom line. The only other important game, in that context, is next Tuesday's Hampton v Bognor game. Hampton are currently on a decent run of form, they drew with Hornchurch last night and only lost narrowly to Lowestoft recently. If Hampton avoid defeat in that next week, Hamlet can finish 2nd again. Really, that is all we need to know.
However, your question was the other team's run ins. We can assume Wealdstone are gone but it will be interesting to see if they go all Leicester when they've confirmed promotion and simply walk round pissed for the rest of the season.
Hornchurch: They have to face Hampton again next week and, although a fairly dicey derby trip to Canvey awaits, they also play Harrow (h) and Met Police (h) so can be expected to get a pretty good haul out of that.
Bognor: On paper they have a tricky run in. They will no doubt get 3pts this weekend against WIngate (h) but then they visit Hampton and then Maidstone before entertaining Wealdstone and finishing off with a trip to an East Thurrock side likely to need the points to stay up.
Maidstone: Before entertaining Bognor they have a tricky trip to Enfield but likely to finish off with 6pts against Met Police (a) and Grays (h).
Kingstonian: Probably a harder run in than Bognor. Before finishing off at Champion Hill they tomorrow host Lowestoft and then visit Wealdstone before their final home game against Carshalton.
Lowestoft: They've got a horrible week, starting Saturday away at Kingstonian. On Tuesday they have a trip to Enfield and another to Grays on Thursday before finishing the week with a home game against Billericay. Their penultimate game is the Suffolk derby away at Bury but they finish off at home to Harrow.
Hendon: I've been prediciting their creep towards the play offs for a couple of weeks as the top 7 have been taking points off each other. They stumbled midweek but have been on form. Their whole run-in is eminently winable, Canvey (a), Harrow (h), Grays (h), Billericay (a), Margate (h).
This league run-in is almost as bonkers as the Championship was last season. I'm not even going to try predicting it. That's a lie, I have, but it's pointless.
dont wont to end up with the satanic god sodomizing ultra tour bus travel company.com)
