sheothebudworths
Up the bum - no babies!!!
Yeah, there's all kinds of stuff to account for. Some of it no doubt won't be accounted for a long time yet. All we can know is that the reality is worse than the stated figures.
But those figures are all we have to go on atm, and I don't see a reason why the general shape of the official figures won't reflect the general shape of the infection's progress.
I agree with you about non-c19 deaths and general hardship, though. I know from the situation of someone close to me that social services have ground to a halt - people aren't getting emergency housing, for instance. Not to mention all the other operations put on hold. There is a lot of collateral damage going on.
I'm not just talking about non-c19 deaths, I'm talking about the potential there is for the rest to have been higher while we've tested less, along with the drop in figures for people presenting at hospital.
I do know that while we use (for eg) Spain and Italy as a measure, there is a comparison to be made - that they also had significant numbers of people dying in care homes, for eg - but it's difficult for us to measure those extra deaths, or growth in cases outside, when we continue to have such little information given on those, or on much relevant data in general.
Separately, I know of someone who works in homelessness - they were tasked in finding homes for all of their registered homeless population, in one London borough, in one day - and guess what, they managed to do it.
Before lockdown, obvs - and with an insane amount of work - but fuck, I'm so angry at how well the gov can provide now. Those homes already existed, they were already available and those people were already sleeping on fucking pavements, for years before this.
Just how well they're able to scrabble together their shitty solutions and chuck money at it, during a crisis that they have only escalated, while they happily sit on them otherwise.