Sorry, the last straw today, Elbows. I've been following this thread for a year now because you and other posters such as LynnDoyleCooper have given very informative replies to various questions, plenty of useful data etc. But lately I can't help but notice you're on the insult bus all the time. Just stop it. Please.
Insults are part of the package people get from me, and this has always been the case. I can do bloody reasonable too, but I do find that when I do too much of that and not enough expression of anger or ridicule in regards some peoples stances, the reasonable starts to lose its reason, too much room is given to exactly the sort of bullshit I am here to counter. Because cutting away some layers of bullshit where I can is very much what causes me to commentate on things like pandemics, nuclear reactors melting and certain revolutions with quite a lot of intensity.
Some but not all of my insults are designed to make people think. If what they think is that I am an arse then so be it. Very few of my insults have been directed at peoples behaviour in this pandemic, there are all sorts of judgements and perceptions about peoples behaviour which I have tried to stay clear of. The big exception is when people come out with bullshit to justify their stance. I will attack the bullshit without apology, and perhaps at times I hit the wrong target in which case, if I notice, I will apologise.
Todays insult was not based on that single post, it was based on the posters recent history. People that brag about they and their associates breaking public health guidelines are not a pure representation of all the feelings of lockdown fatigue that people have. They are a related but somewhat distinct phenomenon, and their words often seem designed to provoke, especially on a forum like this one where there is quite a high degree of consensus about what attitude to take in this pandemic so far. There are various special and sentitive moments, often where the announcements and politics of the matter are heating up, where the occasional grubby freak seems to come out of the woodwork on this forum, taking stances that they absolutely know are going to go down badly here. And their posts also go down badly because they are often judged in isolation due to a lack of them being part of the community of this forum in any broader, non-pandemic sense.
Not that I expect things to remain like that forever. The game will change, since in addition to the genuine fatigue that many feel (including me), the equations in regard level of hospitalisations should change, which will change how far government ends up having to go. Theres a whole bunch of reason Johnson and the government are using words like irreversible and irrevocable this time. If they fuck up the exit strategy or something goes terrible wrong with the vaccine-based approach, and we end up needing another lockdown etc in future, then concerns will grow about whether the public will put up with it again. How many of them actually put up with it will depend on more detail about the threat we face at the time. The first lockdown was backed by the massive shock the pandemic was to everyone. The government made noises about never doing it again after the first time but I doubt they were sincere, since they knew the chances of an autumn/winter wave were high. This time they are banking on a gradual return to something resembling business as usual via vaccinations. And some setbacks can be tolerated under normal conditions so long as the numbers game is changed so that hospitalisation levels dont go off the charts. I know how many flu deaths society tolerates, and I will move with the times, I wont be ranting and taking an unwavering stance on how this virus should be surpressed if we get to a point where things remain within bounds that society and healthcare systems are used to coping with.
I'd ask to be judged on my stance last summer for a start. I wasnt entirely comfortable with pubs reopening when they did, but I recognised the economic and morale aspects and so was prepared to begrudingly go along with it, on the condition that such steps were reversed if the situation deteriorated. And on the occasions later where I started throwing insults about 'pandemic pub wankers', its because the situation had deteriorated but some were resisting the idea of closing the pubs again. I tried to make it clear that I was referring to people who felt the need to deny obvious epidemiological reality in order to justify a 'keep the pubs open' stance at a time where the situation called for strong measures to mitigate the second wave. Not people who were simply sad and feeling like they would struggle with the pubs closed, but people who were trying to invent their own reality to justify keeping them open.
People that cant stand lockdown should have even more interest in doing everything they can to ensure the success of careful relaxation of lockdown, everything they can to make it the last lockdown. Its February, its only just a few days over a month since we hit the peak of deaths in the second wave. The wave timing compared to the seasons is better than it was in 2020, we will be able to start to do a few things in spring so long as there arent any setbacks.There is lots of good vaccine news. I know people who find the strength to carry on a bit longer this time, and to be ok with the easing being slow, because they do sense light at the end of the tunnel now and dont want to see that light blotted out via premature missteps. Do not implode the tunnel when people are still travelling down it. Do not make the tunnel too short and run the risk of popping out in the middle of nazi virus guards rather than the safety of the forest well beyond the barbed wire.