Urban75 Home About Offline BrixtonBuzz Contact

Is Brexit actually going to happen?

Will we have a brexit?


  • Total voters
    362
That needs a Corbyn government, not brexit.
An 'economic policy not tied to a set of free market rules' would require something a lot further from the centre than a Corbyn government. Fwiw, I'd agree with Jim that it would require a Brexit, and a hard one at that, but thinking that Brexit can make it even vaguely likely (in a leftward direction,certainly) would be backwards logic.
 
An 'economic policy not tied to a set of free market rules' would require something a lot further from the centre than a Corbyn government. Fwiw, I'd agree with Jim that it would require a Brexit, and a hard one at that, but thinking that Brexit can make it more likely (in a leftward direction,certainly) would be backwards logic.
It requires Brexit but brexit won’t make it more likely?
 
Taking a realistic view of the future surely doesn't mean giving up on articulating something better, something that will really change people's lives for the better.

People like you don't seem to ever articulate something better though. And your conflating eu membership with domestic policy, the two are not related. Tbh any kind of lexit reason to leave is at best a very nieve view of where we are and where we are heading.

It looks to me like a rush to the bottom with a low tax / high austerity Tory government for the foreseeable future, and that's not what any of us want I'm sure.
 
Yes. For me to be Harry Potter would require me to own a wand, but the fact that I own a wand does not make it more likely that I am Harry Potter.
:D I get that it's far from given and slim hopes at best, just genuinely see remaining as continuing the slow slide into a post-democratic technocracy where people far more clever than you and I set policy to help spreadsheets look better. read a bit by whatsisface ex-greek minister and their campaign for a better Eu but that seems even more unlikely as the forces that would push any change would be too scattered.
 
how do we explain then that we were told by the same voices scoffing now that brexit meant tory government forever, yet the snap election delivered an increased labour vote on a left manifesto? A left manifesto of the sort we were told is electoral poison?

I love how you have to completely ignore that to keep wailing and calling others naive
 
People like you don't seem to ever articulate something better though.
JimW just has.
And your conflating eu membership with domestic policy, the two are not related. Tbh any kind of lexit reason to leave is at best a very nieve view of where we are and where we are heading.
I'm not conflating anything. FFS you're so bound up by fucking Brexit that it is literally inconceivable to you that there is a politics beyond it. The points I'm making apply every socialist whether they voted leave, remain or abstained.
 
People like you don't seem to ever articulate something better though. And your conflating eu membership with domestic policy, the two are not related. Tbh any kind of lexit reason to leave is at best a very nieve view of where we are and where we are heading.

It looks to me like a rush to the bottom with a low tax / high austerity Tory government for the foreseeable future, and that's not what any of us want I'm sure.
Strikes me as quite naive to think domestic policy over governments of successive stripes over the past decades and EU membership aren't related, insofar at least as it helped enable the neoliberal turn.
 
how do we explain then that we were told by the same voices scoffing now that brexit meant tory government forever, yet the snap election delivered an increased labour vote on a left manifesto? A left manifesto of the sort we were told is electoral poison?

I love how you have to completely ignore that to keep wailing and calling others naive
The Tories also increased their share of the vote and remained in power.
 
how do we explain then that we were told by the same voices scoffing now that brexit meant tory government forever, yet the snap election delivered an increased labour vote on a left manifesto? A left manifesto of the sort we were told is electoral poison?

I was cool with the manifesto but thought it was embarrassing that the left didn't win by a landslide. How bad do the Tories need to be before the left can win! I took no joy from almost winning.
 
  • Like
Reactions: CRI
The Tories also increased their share of the vote and remained in power.

in an election where the the tories lost thier majority and had to bribe the DUP to maintain a government. This, according to all wise sages was not going to happen. The point being the assumption was made that brexit meant a lurch rightwards electorally forever. And that turned out to be false, so you'll forgive me if I just laugh at the half weight prognostications
 
Yes. For me to be Harry Potter would require me to own a wand, but the fact that I own a wand does not make it more likely that I am Harry Potter.
I understand what you said, but moving away from Harry Potter is it necessary to repeat a statement (again) that no one has made aaaaah
 
Strikes me as quite naive to think domestic policy over governments of successive stripes over the past decades and EU membership aren't related, insofar at least as it helped enable the neoliberal turn.
The UK was at the vanguard of that neoliberal turn. Right from Thatcher onwards (some would no doubt argue from Callaghan onwards). This is the bit I still don't really see an explanation of - how does brexit change that? At the moment, the real danger is that it will merely accelerate it.
 
in an election where the the tories lost thier majority and had to bribe the DUP to maintain a government. This, according to all wise sages was not going to happen. The point being the assumption was made that brexit meant a lurch rightwards electorally forever. And that turned out to be false, so you'll forgive me if I just laugh at the half weight prognostications
Who said these things though? Pretty sure I didn't. Corbyn won a landslide election as labour leader long before the brexit referendum - these forces were already in play, not somehow magicked into existence by brexit.
 
The UK was at the vanguard of that neoliberal turn. Right from Thatcher onwards (some would no doubt argue from Callaghan onwards). This is the bit I still don't really see an explanation of - how does brexit change that? At the moment, the real danger is that it will merely accelerate it.
True and why she was keen on being in a free trade entity. Mostly I think it removes one of the enabling props and brings politics back closer to home. As a nation we certainly helped shape the way it is but you look at the imposed governments in Italy etc and you can see where it's headed IMO.
 
True and why she was keen on being in a free trade entity. Mostly I think it removes one of the enabling props and brings politics back closer to home. As a nation we certainly helped shape the way it is but you look at the imposed governments in Italy etc and you can see where it's headed IMO.
The brexit wet dream of most leave-supporting tories is to be allowed to strip away social and environmental protections, to asset-strip even more, and to move the UK towards a US-style hire-and-fire economy. For them the EU isn't neoliberal enough.

I bore myself repeating this shit, but David Davis was explicit about his wishes for brexit right from the start - his 'vision' (for which, read 'delusion' really, as he badly underestimated the level of EU resistance towards it) was of a differential system in which different standards are applied depending on which market a good is being prepared for. That's a race to the bottom. Now Davis is gone now, but the other shites still there want much the same thing.
 
Folks, stop squabbling. The path to socialism revealed by galaxy-brain redsquirrel isn't about jobs or anything as mundane as that, it's about *checks notes* joining a residents's association!?
 
  • Like
Reactions: CRI
The brexit wet dream of most leave-supporting tories is to be allowed to strip away social and environmental protections, to asset-strip even more, and to move the UK towards a US-style hire-and-fire economy. For them the EU isn't neoliberal enough.

I bore myself repeating this shit, but David Davis was explicit about his wishes for brexit right from the start - his 'vision' (for which, read 'delusion' really, as he badly underestimated the level of EU resistance towards it) was of a differential system in which different standards are applied depending on which market a good is being prepared for. That's a race to the bottom. Now Davis is gone now, but the other shites still there want much the same thing.
Well, yes, we know the right wingers are right wingers. Point is surely to defeat them here not rely on a veneer of social and environmental legislation from the same institution that is enabling the sort of free market that will never really be controlled by social demands in that framework.
 
Who said these things though? Pretty sure I didn't. Corbyn won a landslide election as labour leader long before the brexit referendum - these forces were already in play, not somehow magicked into existence by brexit.
do you think these same forces have any bearing on the brexit vote? At all?
 
Well, yes, we know the right wingers are right wingers. Point is surely to defeat them here not rely on a veneer of social and environmental legislation from the same institution that is enabling the sort of free market that will never really be controlled by social demands in that framework.
But this is where I see confusion. Mysterious talk of the EU 'cabal' and the like. They're negotiating with the Tories. We are not no the tories' side here. This isn't us, Britain, battling against them, the EU. Not accusing you particularly here, but I see some comments that seem to forget this.
 
  • Like
Reactions: CRI
But this is where I see confusion. Mysterious talk of the EU 'cabal' and the like. They're negotiating with the Tories. We are not no the tories' side here. This isn't us, Britain, battling against them, the EU. Not accusing you particularly here, but I see some comments that seem to forget this.
Yeah, I don't think it's some cabal so much as an institution with a set dynamic that is technocratic and pro-market and won't be turned from by us. We will leave under a shambolic but dangerous Tory government but that situation is more amenable to change.
 
The brexit wet dream of most leave-supporting tories is to be allowed to strip away social and environmental protections, to asset-strip even more, and to move the UK towards a US-style hire-and-fire economy. For them the EU isn't neoliberal enough.
And the dream of Cable, Cameron, Merkel, Verhofstadt, Carney, Selmayr, etc is also for increasing exploitation, technocracy the imposition of free trade. Shits want shit stuff.
Folks, stop squabbling. The path to socialism revealed by galaxy-brain redsquirrel isn't about jobs or anything as mundane as that, it's about *checks notes* joining a residents's association!?
If you're so contemptuous of my vision of socialism how about you outline yours. Are Labour councils in coalition with Tories socialism? Were the attacks on the working class by New Labour socialism? Is it ideological purity to see shits like Mandelson as the enemy? What is socialism to you? Is it about jobs, and if so how? Do you see yourself as a socialist?
 
Last edited:
Those forces can also be taken advantage of by the populist right. Disaffection with a failing system can and does take many forms, not all of them positive.
As it was insisted they would certainly be in the event of a brexit vote. Yet that proved otherwise at snap election. Circular arguing lbj.
 
brexit fucks the economy - every single study shows that. many leading brexiteers have admitted the same. left wing labour government or not - they will be seriously hobbled by that in terms of delivering anything progressive - far more likely that they spend a few years fire fighting and borrowing just to keep public services afloat. and then what? we get the tories back in and they use the situation to turn the uk into a deregulated, privatised shit hole.
Stay in the EU and you at least have more room to do some positive stuff - primarily because you a stronger economy and you are less under pressure from predatory capital. In that scenario you at least have some potential to push against the EU neo-liberalism - esp if you have other leftist governments in - say - spain or portugal.
I just don't get the lexit argument at all - brexit provides no credible route to a more socialist, egalitarian society - instead it carries a far greater risk of things going in the exact opposite direction.
 
The brexit wet dream of most leave-supporting tories is to be allowed to strip away social and environmental protections, to asset-strip even more, and to move the UK towards a US-style hire-and-fire economy. For them the EU isn't neoliberal enough.

I bore myself repeating this shit, but David Davis was explicit about his wishes for brexit right from the start - his 'vision' (for which, read 'delusion' really, as he badly underestimated the level of EU resistance towards it) was of a differential system in which different standards are applied depending on which market a good is being prepared for. That's a race to the bottom. Now Davis is gone now, but the other shites still there want much the same thing.

Yes and Daniel Hannan - in What Next he explicitly says that once the EU has gone the UK state is next.
 
f00219a0cb6d156aebdbf49d79d743.jpg
Are you feeling OK?
 
As it was insisted they would certainly be in the event of a brexit vote. Yet that proved otherwise at snap election. Circular arguing lbj.
Nasty forces were emboldened by the brexit vote. We are still yet to see where that will lead. As for the snap election, I didn't see that coming - I assumed May would limp on to 2020. I was one of those positive voices saying it might not all be lost in the lead up to that election, btw. But it was an election that Labour lost. And another of my predictions - that there would be another election within six months - was wrong. As a general rule, we must never forget the depths to which the tories will debase themselves in order to cling to power.
 
  • Like
Reactions: CRI
Back
Top Bottom