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Global financial system implosion begins

BofA Resolves Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Loan-Putback Dispute
Jan. 3 (Bloomberg)
Bank of America Corp., the biggest U.S. lender by assets, paid $2.8 billion to Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae after the U.S.-owned firms demanded the company buy back mortgages they said were based on faulty data. The bank rose as much as 5.6 percent in New York trading.
The agreement with Freddie Mac involves loans with total unpaid principal of $127 billion, and the Fannie Mae agreement includes unpaid principal of $2.7 billion. The company’s estimate of costs related to the government-sponsored entities is based on assumptions including U.S. home prices, Noski said.

‘Clearly a Gift’

The settlement is “clearly a gift” to Bank of America, said Chris Whalen, a former Federal Reserve Bank of New York analyst and co-founder of Institutional Risk Analytics in Torrance, California. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are “taking a very passive posture so the loss will remain in Washington.”
Only $3 billion for nearly $130 billion of loans? 2%?
 
BofA Resolves Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Loan-Putback Dispute
Jan. 3 (Bloomberg)


Only $3 billion for nearly $130 billion of loans? 2%?

The comercial insurers take a different view
Bank of America also wrote down the value of its mortgage division by $2 billion and said it still faces putback claims from insurers and investors. MBIA Inc. sued the firm, claiming in a lawsuit it was fraudulently induced to insure $21 billion in mortgage-backed securities. A group including Pacific Investment Management Co. and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York are demanding repurchases on loans packaged into about $47 billion of bonds, people familiar with disputes said in October.
 
There is -why is this?
Gold presumably is seen as an investment and silver as an industrial metal?
Silver has increased in price in 2010 by about 80%
 
The comercial insurers take a different view

Yes. It's all so blatant though.

World food prices at fresh high, says UN
BBC News 5 January 2011
Global food prices rose to a fresh high in December, according to the UN's Food and Agricultural Organisation (FAO).

Its Food Price Index went above the previous record of 2008 that saw prices spark riots in several countries.

How much of the quantitative easing money is going into commodities?
 
City Bankruptcies Will Increase, Dimon Warns
The Huffington Post. William Alden. 01-12-11
Different cities have different problems, but one thing remains constant: there's not enough money coming in. Often, revenue isn't enough to cover even the most basic of services.

* In Detroit, the problem has gotten so bad that a new proposal would deprive a fifth of the city of basic municipal services, like trash collection and police protection.

* Neighboring Hamtramck has run out of services to cut, and expects to spend its last dollar early this year.

* Prichard, Alabama, in a desperate response to depleted coffers, has illegally stopped paying its pensioners.

* Newark has cut 13 percent of its police force.

* Camden, N.J., one of the nation's most dangerous cities, has begun a process of cutting about half of its police department.

Housing Market Slips Into Depression Territory
11 Jan 2011 CNBC.com
Home values have fallen 26 percent since their peak in June 2006, worse than the 25.9-percent decline seen during the Depression years between 1928 and 1933, Zillow reported.

November marked the 53rd consecutive month (4 ½ years) that home values have fallen.

What’s worse, it’s not over yet: Home values are expected to continue to slide as inventories pile up, and likely won't recover until the job market improves.

Where's the recovery?
 
if the US stops giving China bits of paper with fancy scribbling on it, then China will probably stop giving the US their produce and look to sell it elsewhere in order to minimise damage to their economy
 
That's going to be popular, when the pensioners get told "Sorry, your government, and former employer, the State of California, has gone bust, so you can piss off for your pension. Meanwhile, a new company, called "State of California (2011) Inc." has been set up.

Giles..

Yeah, it will be none too popular right enough. Still, the image on worldwide news of armies of protesting pensioners (replete with walking sticks, oxygen tanks and zimmer frames) massed against ranks of tooled up ninjas from the US police force, will surely make 'the powers that be' think twice.
 
The Federal Reserve made an $81bn profit last year as well - making it the most profitable bank in history
Little hope they'll use that to stop the states going bankrupt though.
US Federal Reserve makes $80.9bn profit
More than $75bn of the total, which it hands over to the Treasury, came from income generated by its holdings of Treasury bonds, mortgage-backed securities and debt issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

The 65pc jump in profits compared with 2009 comes as the Fed's quantitative easing (QE) programme has pushed the size of its balance sheet to almost $2.5 trillion.
 
Oil_Food.png


I suspect the tendency for food prices to lead oil prices is the biofuel market. Initial diversion of edible biomass into fuel manufacture raises food prices while supporting liquid fuel supplies. However, incremental liquid fuel production is insufficient to offset depletion, leading to the oil price rise, then global crash.

The spike in the food price index suggests we are about to experience the same oil price spike and crash. Certainly the production capacity investment record tells us there has been insufficient investment to offset depletion.

Of course, there are now no surplus funds for defibrillating the financial system. All this talk of "double dip recession" and "slow return to growth" is a catastrophic misunderstanding of the big picture.
 
that seems to suggest that oil prices led food prices up until autumn 2006, at which point food prices continued to rise instead of dropping in response to falling oil prices - this seems to correspond with the boom in biofuel production during that period

the cart then seems to have been pulling the horse for a while, although it could be that the 11/2010 food spike is due to the 4/2010 oil spike and once again oil prices are leading food prices (although now with an exaggerated effect)
 
since the industrial revolution and the widespread use of inorganic fertilizers, the world population has boomed mainly due to an increased food supply fuelled by fossil fuels

under these circumstances food prices will normally be led by fuel prices due to the cost of running machinery and the cost of fertilizer production from natural gas

when food production is then used to supplement the fuel stock, in effect food production is then fuelling itself to a certain degree, enough to cause food prices to soar and fuel prices to follow behind helped along by derivative trading

a heavy reliance on biofuels is probably going to cause amplifications to food prices and, in the long run, fuel prices don't look like they will be going down
 
lets not also forget that speculation in food prices caused a mini bubble.
http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=54274

"UXBRIDGE, Canada, Jan 28, 2011 (IPS) - Billions of dollars are being made by investors in a speculative "food bubble" that's created record food prices, starving millions and destabilising countries, experts now conclude.

Wall Street investment firms and banks, along with their kin in London and Europe, were responsible for the technology dot-com bubble, the stock market bubble, and the recent U.S. and UK housing bubbles. They extracted enormous profits and their bonuses before the inevitable collapse of each.

Now they've turned to basic commodities. The result? At a time when there has been no significant change in the global food supply or in food demand, the average cost of buying food shot up 32 percent from June to December 2010, according to the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO). "
 
the degree of the effect of speculation on 2007/8 food prices is debateable........there was a 2006 bubble in biofuels largely caused by the phasing out of MBTE fuel additive in the US in favour of ethanol - the housing market was already in decline and speculators probably predicted a rise in food prices as land was transferred over to fuel producing crops

the ensuing bull market in food and fuel ensured that some little piggies got their roast beef although it was only a matter of time before they went wee, wee, wee all the way home
 
Preaching to the choir I know but a good recap.

Why Isn't Wall Street in Jail?
Rolling Stone. February 16, 2011
Over drinks at a bar on a dreary, snowy night in Washington this past month, a former Senate investigator laughed as he polished off his beer.

"Everything's fucked up, and nobody goes to jail," he said. "That's your whole story right there. Hell, you don't even have to write the rest of it. Just write that."
 
isn't that the purpose of corporate limited liability - a license to take excessive risks with very little accountability placed on the employees
 
limited liability may protect the shareholders of a company from personal bankruptcy, although the creation of a corporate legal personality means that directors do not go to jail for corporate crimes, rather fines are usually imposed on the company

......and the banks can pay those out of the bail out money from the taxpayer
 
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