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Global financial system implosion begins

Something has changed, fundamentally. This is evident. What is it?

Before, they all wanted to be the ploughmen of history, to play the active parts, each one of them to play an active part. Nobody wished to be the ‘manure’ of history. But is it possible to plough without first manuring the land? So ploughmen and ‘manure’ are both necessary. In the abstract, they all admitted it. But in practice? Manure for manure, as well draw back, return to the shadows, into obscurity. Now something has changed, since there are those who adapt themselves ‘philosophically’ to being ‘manure’, who know this is what they must be and adapt themselves. It is like the problem of the proverbial dying man.

But there is a great difference, because at the point of death what is involved is a decisive action, of an instant’s duration. Whereas in the case of the manure, the problem is a long-term one, and poses itself afresh at every moment. You only live once, as the saying goes; your own personality is irreplaceable. You are not faced abruptly with an instant’s choice on which to gamble, a choice in which you have to
evaluate the alternatives in a flash and cannot postpone your decision. Here postponement is continual, and your decision has continually to be renewed. This is why you can say that something has changed. There is not even the choice between living for a day as a lion, or a hundred years as a sheep. You don’t live as a lion even for a minute, far from it: you live like something far lower than a sheep for years and years and know that you have to live like that.
-A. Gramsci - Prison Notebooks
 
I'm probably being silly, but I can't find this thread. "Blackheath" gives me this thread, and something about leaked memos to Fox about climate change.Or is the one about "somebody trying to buy the brittish goverment"? (from 2010)
 
The buying the british government on is the one, it was his first brain fart. If you check the end of that thread you will see the more recent 15 trillion brainfart.
 
I'm probably being silly, but I can't find this thread. "Blackheath" gives me this thread, and something about leaked memos to Fox about climate change.Or is the one about "somebody trying to buy the brittish goverment"? (from 2010)
That's the one
 
Someone stole Lord Blackheaths critical faculties and auctioned them on ebay. If you hurry there may still be time to bid ;)
 
Is the recent spate of top resignations anything to worry about?(rats fleeing the sinking ship?)

75 top level bankers/polititians have resigned in the past week or so. (since feb 15th)
Here's a list
http://americankabuki.blogspot.com/2012/02/updated-22912-thanks-kauilapele-for.html

another link with a smaller list
http://www.oyetimes.com/business/44-markets/18620-big-bankers-begin-to-resign
Is the recent spate of top resignations anything to worry about?(rats fleeing the sinking ship?)

75 top level bankers/polititians have resigned in the past week or so. (since feb 15th)
Here's a list
http://americankabuki.blogspot.com/2012/02/updated-22912-thanks-kauilapele-for.html

another link with a smaller list
http://www.oyetimes.com/business/44-markets/18620-big-bankers-begin-to-resign

How many people in the whole world's big banks leave their jobs in any other week though? Hardly any? A couple of dozen? What?

Giles..
 
How many people in the whole world's big banks leave their jobs in any other week though? Hardly any? A couple of dozen? What?

Giles..
Good point - the turnover is pretty large - and fairly typical
I suspect the chicken guts are better at predicting the future to be fair
 
yeah, but it's not like it was just a few clerks, these were all top level dudes/dudettes. There does seem to have been a big wave of people resiging, if you look at that list (the one with 101 people listed on it) it only has 6 lised for the whole of 2011. Now, of course there may have been many more not on that list, for what ever reason, but even then, only 23 in January, then in this month, the rest of the 75 or so. I dunno, I'm not really in touch with this side of the world, so I can't say wether or not this is the norm. If it's not, would it be cause for alarm?
 
Well the way Id put it, without spending time going through the list looking at the crappy examples they've included to bump the numbers (e.g. people from not-major-banking countries resigning because the company got done for doing something dodgy), is this:

People leave all the time under normal circumstances. And we should expect more people to leave in the current era because banking is hardly the most fun place to be right now, a lot of the cred and respect that went with it have gone down the toilet and although you can still make silly money, the silly silly money is harder to come by.

Bottom line for me is that stuff like this cannot raise my alert level, because the alert level should already be set rather high. The financial mess has much unravelling to do yet, and I won't try looking into the fog on the off chance of spotting the next acute moment of crisis coming. Should neither be surprised if it suddenly arrives one day, nor shocked if they manage to prop things up in the way we've seen in recent years. ut make no mistake, the crisis hasn't gone away or been dealt with in a sustainable manner.
 
I know you say you wouldn't look for signs of impending doom, but what would make you sit up and think "oh fuck, here it comes". Say...someone....was looking for things to link together, what would they be looking for?
 
Is the recent spate of top resignations anything to worry about?(rats fleeing the sinking ship?)

75 top level bankers/polititians have resigned in the past week or so. (since feb 15th)
Here's a list
http://americankabuki.blogspot.com/2012/02/updated-22912-thanks-kauilapele-for.html

another link with a smaller list
http://www.oyetimes.com/business/44-markets/18620-big-bankers-begin-to-resign

Now all we gotta do is FIND the BIG (luxury quality ) BUNKER the top bankers are fleeing to, to wait out "the BIG Meltdown" , and get the ready-mix concrete ordered to pour into the air vents..........
 
Ho ho, more resignation rants like this one please!

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/03/14/o...ng-goldman-sachs.html?_r=2&hp=&pagewanted=all

Greg Smith is resigning today as a Goldman Sachs executive director and head of the firm’s United States equity derivatives business in Europe, the Middle East and Africa.


I believe I have worked here long enough to understand the trajectory of its culture, its people and its identity. And I can honestly say that the environment now is as toxic and destructive as I have ever seen it.

What are three quick ways to become a leader? a) Execute on the firm’s “axes,” which is Goldman-speak for persuading your clients to invest in the stocks or other products that we are trying to get rid of because they are not seen as having a lot of potential profit. b) “Hunt Elephants.” In English: get your clients — some of whom are sophisticated, and some of whom aren’t — to trade whatever will bring the biggest profit to Goldman. Call me old-fashioned, but I don’t like selling my clients a product that is wrong for them. c) Find yourself sitting in a seat where your job is to trade any illiquid, opaque product with a three-letter acronym.

It makes me ill how callously people talk about ripping their clients off. Over the last 12 months I have seen five different managing directors refer to their own clients as “muppets,” sometimes over internal e-mail. Even after the S.E.C., Fabulous Fab, Abacus,God’s work, Carl Levin, Vampire Squids? No humility? I mean, come on. Integrity? It is eroding. I don’t know of any illegal behavior, but will people push the envelope and pitch lucrative and complicated products to clients even if they are not the simplest investments or the ones most directly aligned with the client’s goals? Absolutely. Every day, in fact.
 
It's good to have a record on it on this great thread though. T'will outlive the other, and some people catch up late. :)

Interesting the "muppets" for small-time investors and "elephants" for the really, really rich ones. Poker players use the terms "fish" and "whale" for the same concepts. They're talked about in exactly the same sort of language also. It's one of the more uncomfortable things about the game for me - although there are many players who show a lot more respect (the good ones who know who it is they're making a living off), and few of them lose more than they would spend on a night out ... or so I tell myself. :hmm:

Casino banking indeed.
 
Nice post from Krugman:


Taking Stock

031512krugman1-blog480.jpg


Memories:
Larry Kudlow:
I have long believed that stock markets are the best barometer of the health, wealth and security of a nation. And today’s stock market message is an unmistakable vote of confidence for the president.[Bush]​
Mark Skousen:
What’s the future for Obamanomics? The stock market’s reaction doesn’t bode well. The Dow has fallen 18 percent since the last trading day of Bush’s term. Clearly, Wall Street thinks that Obama’s tax, spend, and regulate policies will be a disaster.​
Muppets.
 
OK its gone pretty quiet on the European sovereign debt default front since the Greece deal was cobbled together last month. Has the sovereign debt problem come off the critical list.
 
OK its gone pretty quiet on the European sovereign debt default front since the Greece deal was cobbled together last month. Has the sovereign debt problem come off the critical list.

More like a very poor quality plastic bung hammered into a leaking hole in a pressure vessel over an open fire (such imagery ..Hmmmmm. feel that PRESSURE BUILD!)

Spain and Portugal up next for the big default - then it's GAME OVER for stabilizing the Eurocrisis. OR if one believes Sarkozy .. "The problem's solved". Don't think so Sarko.
 
I'm not sure which is more remarkable. The fact that UK oil production fell 22.3% in 2011, thereby sealing the collapse of the UK economy that has become dependent on its balance of payments contribution; or the broadsheets' general conclusion that this has something to do with the price of petrol in the forecourt.

Media energy illiteracy is alive and well. A 22% fall in a DECADE would have been a really serious blow to a so-called "developed" economy.

Source: DECC uk oil production statistics 2011
 
I'm not sure which is more remarkable. The fact that UK oil production fell 22.3% in 2011, thereby sealing the collapse of the UK economy that has become dependent on its balance of payments contribution; or the broadsheets' general conclusion that this has something to do with the price of petrol in the forecourt.

Media energy illiteracy is alive and well. A 22% fall in a DECADE would have been a really serious blow to a so-called "developed" economy.

Source: DECC uk oil production statistics 2011
Though I'm not your biggest fan usually,falcon, that is a truly gobsmacking statistic. Yep that fall in government tax income alone must put the tin lid on any chance of UK PLC avoiding a double dip recession of some considrable magnitude. Still, at least the North Sea oil revenues were used to create a solid high tech research and manufacturing base, ready for the day................
 
I can't be bothered to read a whole PDF document. Can somebody summarise why oil production fell so sharply in the course of one year?
 
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