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Football betting and odds, discussion and other gambling stuff

That's an amateur's misunderstanding. If you can't afford to carry that level of exposure, don't make the bet in the first place. The second bet could have gone on something else at a similar price which represented similar value, but which wasn't mutually exclusive. That way, you'd have a chance of winning twice, which is guaranteed not to happen with what you propose. Yes, you could lose both by betting on two events, but, given you only covered two out of three outcomes, you could lose both, too!

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No because part of the acca was still open, so if chelsea scored i was still covered. The only way i would of lost is if Watford scored 2
 
Athos mate, sorry to say i'm done with you. You have nit picked for 17 pages and its getting boring. I've noted you do this on a lot of threads. I don't know why, thats your problem not mine. I've tried to be as civil as I can, but its got to to the point where I have to stick you on block as well. You keep making botched claims and assumptions and i'm getting bored of explaining shit to you.

You are the weakest link

Goodbye.

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Ah yes, your famous blocks that mean you still read the posts and respond to those you have blocked.
 
Athos mate, sorry to say i'm done with you. You have nit picked for 17 pages and its getting boring. I've noted you do this on a lot of threads. I don't know why, thats your problem not mine. I've tried to be as civil as I can, but its got to to the point where I have to stick you on block as well. You keep making botched claims and assumptions and i'm getting bored of explaining shit to you.

You are the weakest link

Goodbye.

_1108416_anne_robinson_bbc300.jpg

You couldn't pour piss out of a boot if the instructions were written on the heel. So, what you've explained is nothing more than your own ignorance. I really don't need betting advice from someone who couldn't count their own balls and come up with the same answer twice.
 
Only one bet noticeably shorter than evens, two at about evens and others ranging up to 11-1. This is really proving your continued belief in your short odds approach, isn't it? Why don't you just agree that finding value in longer odds is where both the money *and* the fun is to be had and leave it there? Since that's what you are actually doing!
 
Only one bet noticeably shorter than evens, two at about evens and others ranging up to 11-1. This is really proving your continued belief in your short odds approach, isn't it? Why don't you just agree that finding value in longer odds is where both the money *and* the fun is to be had and leave it there? Since that's what you are actually doing!

He can't read it; you're 'blocked.' Lol.
 
£16 on Liverpool / West Ham double. @ 7.7


I appear to have cocked up this up. Looks like i've bet on Liverpool to score first and Saints to beat swansea (but thats not till next week!) God knows how i've done that but will leave it open anyway as I quite like the odds for the given event.
 
Habitual gamblers are terrible at maths and logic shocker. Hold the front page.

It's the tension between "having a bit of fun" and "making a profit". Lost? "just a bit of fun". Won? "I'm in it for the money, I have a system".

A win-win hobby imo.
 
My bets for the weekend

Listen, first, I admire you for fronting up with your bets, particularly in the face of the vilification you are receiving. But part of me thinks you only did this out of arrogance and intransigence, so determined are you to prove yourself right. When you are so wrong. Your bets today provide a perfect example.

Ignoring the one outsider you backed, you picked six favourites or second favourites at Leopardstown. And more than one of these was odds on. Result? Roughly a 50% loss. Or, in other words, exactly the sort of loss any bookie would have expected of such a betting pattern. The sort of loss your 10-20 short-priced accumulators would regularly accrue.

There is no value in backing favourites. Your bets today are a prime example. Fun? Maybe. Profitable? Never.
 
£ 10.44 loss so far

1 bet still open - no more bets till thats closed
 
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Theres an arb on SPORTING LISBON V RIO AVE - CORRECT SCORE BETTING ODDS

You can back 1-0 @ 8.6 with Marathon Bet. Betfair lay price is swinging between 8.2 and 8.4 at the moment. Yields 2.26% - 4.64% after commission.
 
I like a flutter, and liking this thread, not sure why so many people who don't like a flutter are up in arms though :confused:
 
17:10 Wolverhampton -

Rat Catcher - Back at 9 with Paddy Power, Lay on Betfair at 8.6


Betfair price gone now, but the money was there under 9's if you are quick enough.
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Should set up a new thread for arb'ing
 
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So, can anyone explain in laymans terms how this makes money?
If you place, say, a £10 stake @ 9/1 you will win £90.00. If you lay the same stake at, say, 8/1 you will pay out £80.00. The £10.00 difference is your profit. If the selection loses then you break even (ignoring commission for now).

You can back and lay at prices and volumes that would allow you to guarantee a profit regardless of the outcome.
 
If you place, say, a £10 stake @ 9/1 you will win £90.00. If you lay the same stake at, say, 8/1 you will pay out £80.00. The £10.00 difference is your profit. If the selection loses then you break even

So how would that work backwards? Sorry to appear dense.
 
Basically, if you go into a bookies on the high street and place a bet on the Grand National you are betting that your horse will win. The bookie in turn is laying that selection - betting that it will lose.

Since the rise of betting exchanges you can lay selections as well as back them. Sometimes price fluctuations allow you to lay a selection you have already backed in order to guarantee a profit, sometime bookies will have better odds than are available on the betting exchanges. This lets you do the same if you can get on at the higher price.
 
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