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COVID-19 in America

Thanks for starting this, I thought a USA specific thread might be useful as I think we're going to see some quite dramatic covid stuff there very soon, with the possibility of those changes having significant long term impact on the structure and stability of the USA.
 
It's truly frightening the way things are headed in the US - New York state alone has almost a tenth of the world's confirmed coronavirus cases - more cases and almost as many deaths as China has reported, though China's figures are unlikely to have much connection with reality.

It would be bad enough if there was a real president in charge - with states largely being left to chart their own courses in the absence of federal leadership, I think the country might struggle even to get it together enough to hold this year's election on time in a manner where the results won't be disputed.
 
I don't really agree with starting a new USA thread at this time, but let's see how it goes ..

New York Mandates Nursing Homes Take Covid-19 Patients Discharged From Hospitals
New York told nursing-home operators that they will be required to accept patients infected with the new coronavirus who are discharged from hospitals but may be still convalescing, amid more cases in the state that are straining the health-care system.
Click to expand...
from WSJ News Exclusive | New York Mandates Nursing Homes Take Covid-19 Patients Discharged From Hospitals

Unfortunately wsj articles are behind a paywall, so that was all I could get.
 
An interactive Map of the USA shows NY NJ worst affected with states like the Dakotas least affected, you can mouseover - on the web page - to see the detail.

1585997590595.png
from Coronavirus in the US: Latest COVID-19 news and case counts

The U.S. became the epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic after reported cases surpassed those officially reported by China. Since the novel coronavirus called SARS-CoV-2 was first detected in the U.S. on Jan. 20, it has spread to at least 245,601 people in the U.S., across all 50 states.

Of the reported cases in the U.S., 6,058 people have died from the virus, with at least 2,538 of those deaths in New York, 537 in New Jersey, 417 in Michigan, 310 in Louisiana and 272 related deaths reported in Washington state. The globe has hit its own milestone: 1 million COVID-19 cases have been confirmed worldwide as of Thursday afternoon (April 2), according to the Johns Hopkins virus dashboard. To date, 54,137 deaths globally are attributed to the virus.
Click to expand...
 
The map in US cases seems to mostly correspond to the map of where the people are - the Southern states have been among slowest to introduce stay-at-home orders, so those states might be getting a lot redder soon.

usc19cases.png


usdensity.png
 
Which coronavirus patients will get life-saving ventilators? Guidelines show how hospitals in NYC, US will decide
But on Thursday, New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo said the state had shipped 400 ventilators, providing a few more days of capacity.

Still, the need remains dire, and growing, as coronavirus sufferers crowd hospitals.

The shortage is forcing health care officials in New York City to weigh ethical questions about who should get priority. Their counterparts across the nation may soon face the same dilemma as the pandemic surges.
Click to expand...
from Coronavirus ventilator shortages may force tough ethical questions
 
Anyone know where/how to place bets on:
  • Trump postponing (i.e. cancelling) the November election
  • Trump dying before then

And a side-bet of both of the above happening.
 
Last edited:
First US clinical trial of Covid-19 vaccine candidate begins
The first US clinical trial of a Covid-19 vaccine candidate, which is Moderna’s mRNA-1273, has started at Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute (KPWHRI) in Seattle.

Funded by the National Institutes of Health (NIH)’s National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), the trial has dosed its first participant.
Click to expand...
mRNA-1273 is an mRNA vaccine designed to target SARS-CoV-2 encoding a prefusion stabilised form of the Spike (S) protein. Moderna selected the candidate in alliance with the Vaccine Research Center (VRC) at the NIAID.

The Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI) funding supported the production of the first clinical batch.

During the Phase I trial, the safety and immunogenicity of 25μg, 100μg, 250μg dose levels of mRNA-1273 given on a two-dose vaccination schedule 28 days apart will be assessed in a total of 45 healthy adults aged 18 to 55.
Click to expand...
from First US clinical trial of Covid-19 vaccine candidate begins
 
Indeliblelink said:
this shows graphs for peak projections, different states can be selected

covid19.healthdata.org

IHME | COVID-19 Projections

Explore forecasts of COVID-19 cases, deaths, and hospital resource use.
covid19.healthdata.org covid19.healthdata.org
Click to expand...

That's a fascinating site, thanks.

Looking at the projected versus actual numbers:

1586007324931.png
So 7,300 is the very top end of their projection.

The actual number of deaths by April 3rd?
1586007463778.png

:(
 
Trump speaks publicly as 700 people in New York under voluntary quarantine amid LA outbreak fears after flight attendant confirmed with virus
Reports of a female flight attendant diagnosed with coronavirus having repeatedly travelling through Los Angeles International airport is sparking fears of an outbreak in the region, as officials confirm 59 cases of the mysterious illness.

The unidentified flight attendant reportedly serviced a flight from Tel Aviv to Seoul on 15 February, and had travelled through the LAX airport on multiple occaisions before receiving the diagnosis. A majority of cases in the US (39) are among Americans evacuated from the Diamond Princess cruise ship in Tokyo. The US Centres for Disease Control and Prevention has said that while the immediate risk of coronavirus to American citizens is low, the global situation suggested a pandemic is now likely.
Click to expand...
from Flight attendant diagnosed with coronavirus sparks fears of potential outbreak - follow live

Plenty more in that article if you can cope with the Trump popup video etc
 
Gov. Cuomo Says Chinese Government Delivering 1,000 Ventilators to New York
During a press conference on Saturday, New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo announced that the Chinese government is facilitating a donation of 1,000 ventilators to New York, which has been struck hard by the COVID-19 pandemic. Cuomo said the ventilators will arrive at John F. Kennedy International Airport in New York City later on Saturday.

Cuomo thanked Joseph and Clara Tsai — who own the Brooklyn Nets, Barclays Center and Alibaba — as well as Jack Ma, co-founder of Alibaba, for helping with the donation. He also thanked the Chinese Counsul General Ambassador Huang for “his help in making all of this happen.”
Click to expand...
from 04/04/2020 Gov. Cuomo Says Chinese Government Delivering 1,000 Ventilators to New York
 
Trump announced that they have ordered 180,000,000 face masks from 3M and he hopes they will be able to deliver.
 
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Supporting Small Businesses
President Trump is helping small businesses bridge this economic emergency by giving them the funds they need to keep their employees on their payroll and stay in business. Thanks to The CARES Act, President Trump is helping hardworking American business owners by:
  1. Providing $350 billion in forgivable loans for small businesses through the Paycheck Protection Program
  2. Providing advances on SBA disaster loans that never have to be repaid
  3. Forgiving existing non-disaster SBA loan payments over the next six months
Click to expand...
from Supporting Small Businesses

from Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
 
Voley said:
I worry for America too. Spiralling infection rates, a heavily-armed population and an idiotic narcissist in charge. Just seems like a perfect storm. Really scary.
Click to expand...

Add in the massive evangelical tendency, huge social inequalities, shit healthcare at the best of times, and I really think some areas could explode or collapse entirely.
 
US tally:
covidtracking.com

Totals for the US

Daily totals for all metrics collected from January 2020 to the present.
covidtracking.com covidtracking.com

this has a state-by-state breakdown:
coronaworld.eu

Coronavirus Dashboard

Live coronavirus dashboard tracker. See real-time data, social media trends, and learn about prevention measures.
coronaworld.eu coronaworld.eu

a_chap said:
Anyone know where/how to place bets on:
  • Trump postponing (i.e. cancelling) the November election
  • Trump dying before then

And a side-bet of both of the above happening.
Click to expand...

neither will happen. a president can't postpone or cancel elections, and he's pretty hale for his age and has socail -distancing enforcement in the form of his bodyguard.
 
by the way, ye may like to watch this:



a 1950 quasi-documentary about the smallpox that came to NYC in 1947. some of the dialogue could have been written yesterday.
 
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