How do we know Bush had 'no plan'? Maybe his plan was: 'invade country, occupy it, replace government, wait around for 10 or so years with varying levels of troops and violence, end up with another middle eastern client state' - which is kind of what is happening. Plans don't actually predict numbers of future deaths or outcomes (which is impossible) - they are just plans.Yossarian said:It’s possible that’s what could have happened – nobody’s ever going to know now – but the fact that that possibility existed just makes Bush’s decision to invade and get rid of the country’s leadership and army without any clear plan for the country afterwards look even more like one of the stupidest decisions in modern history.
Whatever you think of Bush's intelligence (and lets's face it, he managed to win two presidential elections, which is more than a lot of supposedly 'clever' people have) he has a vast number of professionals working for him and a fair number of political allies who he needs to pay attention to.I’ve read that Bush didn’t even know there was a difference between Sunni Muslims and Shia Muslims at the time of the Iraq invasion, and that seems pretty easy to believe.
Where else are they going to go for support? Do they have any choice? How is turning Iraq into a US client state a failure in the bigger game?Even if the aim was a proxy war by the US against Russian and Chinese interests, it’s still a miserable failure – it seems unlikely that any democratically elected Iraqi government will be very kindly disposed towards the US.
This has yet to been proven conclusively. It may well be that Iran and Syria are the next two states that the US is going to break down and eventually claim as client states for its military and corporations.Bush has essentially spent hundreds of billions of dollars, taken action that’s led to death of hundreds of thousands, and squandered any goodwill or sympathy the rest of the world had towards the US after 9/11, and it’s all gone to serve the best interests of Iran.
The number of dead and cost might matter to you and me but does this actually indicate a "failure" for the people playing the big geo-strategic realpolitik game? sadly I don't think it does - it only matters if it means that they lose office and therefore control of the direction things are going. This isn't yet the case, and even if the Democrats win in the US and the Blairites are ousted in the UK, arguably the general thrust of western policy in the middle east won't actually change that much.
I'd argue that the only criteria for "failure" in these 'great game' terms would be if China and Russia gained ground - militarily and economically - in the middle east and central asia, and the US lost ground. Ofg course you and I might have our own human rights/democracy/welfare/development criteria, but if these aren't met then it is *us* who are losing, not Bush, if you presume that he has different criteria from us.