Sorry gurrier, I'm far too tired to get into this in detail right now.
I posted to point out that criticising the Trotskyist view of the Soviet Union by attacking the SWP's supposed ulterior motives for developing a variant of a state capitalist analysis doesn't make much sense. Whether or not you regard the SWP as "Trotskyists" in general, their view of the Soviet Union is not Trotskyist and they'd be the first to say it.
The criticisms you make of Trotsky's actual view of the Soviet Union in your more recent posting are fairly standard anarchist stuff which I don't have any time for, but at least you are attacking something related to his actual views. Trotsky, and those who broadly hold to his analysis, did indeed oppose the Stalinists precisely because they saw the Soviet Union as a bureaucratic dictatorship not because they saw it as some form of capitalism. You can argue that Trotsky was a hypocrite, a butcher or whatever else. I'd argue that he was a heroic figure who did his best to fight for the survival of the revolution, fought against the rise of the bureaucracy and was eventually murdered for it. We aren't likely to resolve that particular disagreement on this thread however.
On the other issue you raise, Trotsky's argument that there was a crisis of leadership in the working class movement in the latter part of his lifetime certainly stands up to scrutiny.
There were mass working class political organisations with the allegiance of millions - social democracy during the first world war and immediately after it, both social democracy and Stalinism afterwards. There were a series of revolutionary or pre-revolutionary crises in the wake of the first world war and to a lesser extent at other stages (for example the end of World War 2, 1968). In each of those situations the leadership of those mass organisations did everything they could to chain the working class to capitalism. That's the essence of what the "crisis of leadership" analysis was about.
As for the present day, I wouldn't argue that the main problem facing the working class in its political organisations is faulty leadership. A rather bigger problem is the absence of mass political organisations in the first place. A crisis of organisation if you will.
Anyway, as I said too tired for this right now.