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Volcano and Earthquake watch

Magma is continuing to accumulate ...


predicting another eruption or dyke/sill intrusion event within two to three weeks.

Their met office are trying to offer more detailed predictions these days, and various data including increase in earthquakes caused them to issue a forecast on the 30th, one forecast after the one you probably read, that says the next 7-10 days likely:


A video about this:

 
Just coming here to update, but elbows beat me to it ...

with their prediction of in the next 7-10 days ... I'm going for an eruption starting around the 6-8th August 2024 !
 
Hreyfing_Webcam_2130.gif
Nice timelapse.
 
Thanks elbows - I missed the start, as I had hit the hay a bit earlier than usual last night.
[due to the weather forecast - very wet & windy]

I presume that fissure's in the usual place !
 
oh, that's not a good headline.
Mount Lewotobi Laki-laki, located on Flores Island in East Nusa Tenggara province

Still at it - decent ash column{s} in progress yesterday [Thursday 7th Nov 2024]

 
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They really got caught out by things like low seismic activity in the days leading up to this latest eruption. Indeed the following computer translation is from an update that was only recently published, on the 19th, oops!

It remains the opinion of the Norwegian Meteorological Agency's scientists that it is unlikely that enough pressure will have built up to trigger an eruption in November. One of the things that supports that assessment is how little seismic activity is measured in the area. If the rate of landslides in Svartsengi changes or there is a significant increase in seismic activity, this estimate will change accordingly.

(source Eldgos hafið á Sundhnúksgígaröðinni | Fréttir | Veðurstofa Íslands )
 
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