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Low interest rates on savings

So I know it's been a pretty terrible time to put money in ISAs and pensions and the like, but I've only really started paying attention the last year and the couple of grand I put Vanguard ISAs have not done well to say the least.

I'd like to start saving a small amount every month. Does anyone have much in Premium Bonds and have you won anything?
 
So I know it's been a pretty terrible time to put money in ISAs and pensions and the like, but I've only really started paying attention the last year and the couple of grand I put Vanguard ISAs have not done well to say the least.

I'd like to start saving a small amount every month. Does anyone have much in Premium Bonds and have you won anything?
Don’t bother with premium bonds if you’re looking for long term growth. I keep money there as an easy instant access account on the basis that I might win something, but the interest rate is low.

If you’re looking for growth and can tie up money for 5 years plus then a tracker equities ISA is your best bet.
 
So I know it's been a pretty terrible time to put money in ISAs and pensions and the like,
Why do you say that? I think it’s the opposite. I know that anything invested in late 2021 has suffered from the consequences of the Ukraine war, but 2023 has seen a big start to recovering that and I expect that as the tightening cycle ends, losses will reverse. Certainly, I’ve seen more than a 10% increase since the lows of last October. The overall effect is a slight increase (about 2%) since last February, before the war began. That’s a decrease in real terms, because inflation has been 10% over that period. But neither cash nor bonds would have been better.

Nobody knows what will happen, but I do know that equities are the only realistic hedge against inflation, because at some point that inflation becomes an increase in earnings. That will be the next visible trend. I would be amazed if anything invested in 2022 doesn’t show a decent return by the end of 2024, certainly enough to produce a positive real return since 2021, unless we see another big geopolitical event that shocks the system again.

All just personal opinion, of course. Things might collapse over any short term time horizon. Investment is a long term thing.
 
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I had approx 45-50k in premium bonds over the period of 15 months or so.

My earnings were basically 1% over a year, but I was lagging till I won £125 in my last month

I wouldn’t bother unless 1) you’ve got a lot of other money invested elsewhere so nowhere else to put it or 2) you want a totally risk-free approach for a short period of time and prepared to have your stake reduced in value by inflation
 
Why do you say that? I think it’s the opposite. I know that anything invested in late 2021 has suffered from the consequences of the Ukraine war, but 2023 has seen a big start to recovering that and I expect that as the tightening cycle ends, losses will reverse. Certainly, I’ve seen more than a 10% increase since the lows of last October. The overall effect is a slight increase (about 2%) since last February, before the war began. That’s a decrease in real terms, because inflation has been 10% over that period. But neither cash nor bonds would have been better.

Nobody knows what will happen, but I do know that equities are the only realistic hedge against inflation, because at something point that inflation becomes an increase in earnings. That will be the next visible trend. I would be amazed if anything invested in 2022 doesn’t show a decent return by the end of 2024, certainly enough to produce a positive real return since 2021, unless we see another big geopolitical event that shocks the system again.

All just personal opinion, of course. Things might collapse over any short term time horizon. Investment is a long term thing.

Thanks for the reassurance. I've not been doing been doing this long enough, think I just put money in at a terrible time, but your right, things do seem to be on the up. Which is even more reasurring for the money I'm paying into the pension with them rather then the ISAs.

Don’t bother with premium bonds if you’re looking for long term growth. I keep money there as an easy instant access account on the basis that I might win something, but the interest rate is low.

If you’re looking for growth and can tie up money for 5 years plus then a tracker equities ISA is your best bet.

Thanks. That's a fair point. I don't really have additional funds I might not need in an emergency at the moment, so maybe putting then in the ISAs isn't the best move. And extra income I really think I can spare is probably best put in the pension anyway.
 
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I'd like to start saving a small amount every month. Does anyone have much in Premium Bonds and have you won anything?
A friend of mine who worked as a freelance used to buy premium bonds whenever she was paid, it was how she set money aside to pay her tax bill every year. She figured that it was better than leaving it in a savings account with a super low interest rate. Taking into account prize winnings, the return on premium bonds was, for her, better than the very low interest rate for savings.
 
A friend of mine who worked as a freelance used to buy premium bonds whenever she was paid, it was how she set money aside to pay her tax bill every year. She figured that it was better than leaving it in a savings account with a super low interest rate. Taking into account prize winnings, the return on premium bonds was, for her, better than the very low interest rate for savings.
This is only sometimes true. More often than not, premium bonds have a lower rate of expected return than a decent savings account.

There's a good page on it here: https://www.moneysavingexpert.com/savings/premium-bonds/

"So overall, the summary is Premium Bonds can beat normal easy-access savings, but you'll need to have above average luck to ensure that comes true – and for most, guaranteed interest from savings is the better option."
 
This is only sometimes true. More often than not, premium bonds have a lower rate of expected return than a decent savings account.

There's a good page on it here: https://www.moneysavingexpert.com/savings/premium-bonds/

"So overall, the summary is Premium Bonds can beat normal easy-access savings, but you'll need to have above average luck to ensure that comes true – and for most, guaranteed interest from savings is the better option."
Yes, of course, it depends on the interest rate of the savings account and also your luck with the premium bonds. Around that time I think the interest rate was less than one per cent, negligible.
 
Re savings rates - and thanks to Part 2 for mentioning, I've upgraded most of my NS&i to a 1 year term income bond at 3.9%.
They do a 3 year "Green Bond" which only pays out the interest the end.

There is one problem with these National Savings bonds - you only get the deposit back at maturity.
Page 6 of the terms and conditions has this comforting thought:
If a Bond holder dies
If the Bond holder dies, the money in the Bond will become part of the holder’s estate. The Bond will continue to earn interest.
 
Re savings rates - and thanks to Part 2 for mentioning, I've upgraded most of my NS&i to a 1 year term income bond at 3.9%.
They do a 3 year "Green Bond" which only pays out the interest the end.

There is one problem with these National Savings bonds - you only get the deposit back at maturity.
Page 6 of the terms and conditions has this comforting thought:
If a Bond holder dies
If the Bond holder dies, the money in the Bond will become part of the holder’s estate. The Bond will continue to earn interest.
Do you also pay tax on the interest?

That's stopped me from doing the same, it's possible to get an ISA with 4% tax free but the deposit is limited to £20k I think.

I'm waiting for an appointment with a financial advisor through the union but he seems to have gone awol.
 
Do you also pay tax on the interest?

That's stopped me from doing the same, it's possible to get an ISA with 4% tax free but the deposit is limited to £20k I think.

I'm waiting for an appointment with a financial advisor through the union but he seems to have gone awol.
Ah - thereby hangs a tale.
Yes you may do. It's all, in here: Tax on savings interest

What pissed me off (I'm a 68 year old pensioner) was getting a letter from HMRC: Your simple tax assessment for 2021-22.
They say (I haven't checked yet) that I got £450 of untaxed interest income in 2021/22.
But that comes in UNDER the £5000 starting rate for saving plus £1000 basic rate savings allowance.

In my case my State Pension (I don't have a private one) comes in at £13,498 - according to them.
Assuming this is correct - and I don't think it is correct - that takes me £918 above the £12,570 personal allowance.
So they are saying I owe £183.20 (20% @ basic rate of £918). So - I am -if their figures are right required to pay tax on my state old age pension - not the savings interest.

In your case, I reckon you should familiarise yourself with the HMRC worked examples. You need to know how much of your personal allowance is used up - and how much you've gone over the personal allowance with your employment earnings.

WORKED EXAMPLES ON HMRC WEBSITE

1. Starting rate for savings: You may get up to £5,000 of interest and not have to pay tax on it. This is your starting rate for savings.

You earn £16,000 of wages and get £200 interest on your savings.
Your Personal Allowance is £12,570. It’s used up by the first £12,570 of your wages.
The remaining £3,430 of your wages (£16,000 minus £12,570) reduces your starting rate for savings by £3,430.
Your remaining starting rate for savings is £1,570 (£5,000 minus £3,430). This means you will not have to pay tax on your £200 savings interest.


2. Personal Savings Allowance: You may also get up to £1,000 of interest and not have to pay tax on it, depending on which Income Tax band you’re in. This is your Personal Savings Allowance.

Income Tax bandPersonal Savings Allowance
Basic rate£1,000
Higher rate£500
Additional rate£0

Interest covered by your allowance​

Your allowance applies to interest from:
  • bank and building society accounts
  • savings and credit union accounts
  • unit trusts, investment trusts and open-ended investment companies
  • peer-to-peer lending
  • trust funds
  • payment protection insurance (PPI)
  • government or company bonds
  • life annuity payments
  • some life insurance contracts
Savings in tax-free accounts like Individual Savings Accounts (ISAs) and some National Savings and Investments accounts do not count towards your allowance.

If you go over your allowance​

You pay tax on any interest over your allowance at your usual rate of Income Tax.

If you’re employed or get a pension, HMRC will change your tax code so you pay the tax automatically. To decide your tax code, HMRC will estimate how much interest you’ll get in the current year by looking at how much you got the previous year.

If you complete a Self Assessment tax return, report any interest earned on savings there.

You need to register for Self Assessment if your income from savings and investments is over £10,000. Check if you need to send a tax return if you’re not sure.

I come into this category:
If you’re not employed, do not get a pension or do not complete Self Assessment, your bank or building society will tell HMRC how much interest you received at the end of the year. HMRC will tell you if you need to pay tax and how to pay it.

And it looks like their figures are wrong. We shall see.


Thew HMRC website I have put above does say
 
Do you also pay tax on the interest?

That's stopped me from doing the same, it's possible to get an ISA with 4% tax free but the deposit is limited to £20k I think.

I'm waiting for an appointment with a financial advisor through the union but he seems to have gone awol.

You are limited to £20k per year that you can put into an ISA. This makes it an excellent long-term savings vehicle, because (a) £20k per year per person is a lot(!) and (b) there is no capital gains tax and no tax on income, which means if you manage to get a 100% return on £20k over 10 years, none of this is taxed.

That means it is a real waste of the vehicle to use it for low-return options. Yes, you won't be taxed on the 4%, but you don't get taxed on £1000 in interest per year anyway, so getting £800 tax free on £20,000 isn't much to get excited about. You should think of the ISA like a pension -- the aim is to not take the money back out after you've put it in, until you reach the point at which you become a net spender instead of a net saver. That means there's no advantage to minimising the volatility of return, it's about maximising the expected return. Basically, if you're going to hold any equity funds, the ISA is the place you want to do it.

**

I have always hesitated to describe my strategy, because (a) it feels very gauche; (b) I don't want to offer it as a template for anyone else; these things come down to personal opinion; (c) I'm terrible at second-guessing short-term market trends, so even if my long-term strategy is right, my short-term timing might be horrible; and (d) this is my (current) long-term plan, but I'm not there yet, and I don't want anyone to think this is a recommendation for here and now.

Even so, however, maybe it's helpful to give an idea of the kind of things to think about when considering investments. And a concrete example is always useful for understanding things. So I'll go against my instincts and share, but please take it as a talking point only, not a recommendation.

The ultimate aim is a portfolio that can I can retire off. That means I want it to
(a) produce as high a rate as possible (obviously); but
(b) give me a minimum predictable income; and
(c) minimise the volatility of return within the constraints of (a) and (b).

Some things to consider in order to achieve these aims:
a) All being equal, a worldwide equity index does statistically tend to produce the most reliable maximum return per unit volatility
b) Despite the truth of (a), I am still enough of a fool to think that the right manager can actually reliably beat the index. YMMV, of course.
c) Exchange rate movements are a massive driver of uncertainty, since my actual expenses are in £. So there is a good reason to be "overweight" in GBP funds
d) Also, an index fund doesn't produce tonnes of its return as actual income. Most of its return comes from increases in its price (i.e. capital gain). This is only realised when you sell some of the fund. Econometrically, that is irrelevant. However, there is a psychological cost to relying on selling things for your income -- price is volatile and nobody likes being forced to sell on a downswing. Also, it's a bit tiring to have to keep selling chunks of fund. As such, I do actually want some of my portfolio to be devoted to funds that pay out a high income.

Those thoughts lead me to want to split the portfolio into seven parts (in the percentages shown in brackets):
1) UK equity income funds -- these only have UK stocks, which minimises exchange rate risk. They also pay high dividends, which gives a reliable baseline income. (18% of portfolio.)
2) Worldwide equity income funds -- like the above, but not just UK. This introduces exchange rate risk, but allows diversification to worldwide companies, so tend to produce better overall return. (21% of portfolio.)
3) Worldwide general equity funds -- these will typically be balanced towards growth stocks as well as income stocks. They thus tend to produce a higher return, but without the reliable income. NB: this is the bucket containing the worldwide index funds. (21%.)
4) Regional general equity funds -- like the above, but balancing out the UK focus by having funds that specialise in opportunistic situations in the US, Europe or Asia. (7%.)
5) Specialist equity funds -- I have the belief that some industry sectors are better placed for long-term future growth than others (such as firms seeking to produce green energy and associated infrastructure). (11%.)
6) Alternative investment income funds -- funds that focus on providing reliable income by investing in things other than equities. Some will be bonds but it also includes things like freeholds and private equity. (5%)
7) Bond funds -- yes, despite the fact that bonds don't tend to do as well over the long term, it still makes sense to include some element for diversification and income purposes. (16%; note that the other categories will also hold some bonds too).

I have identified between three and seven funds for each category (depending on size of category). My funds in categories 1, 2, 6 and 7 are "distributable" -- I immediately receive any dividends. My funds in categories 3, 4 and 5 are generally "accumulation" -- dividends get reinvested back into the fund..

To give you a feel for what I expect from this portfolio:
  • Over the last six years, the total return of this portfolio would have been 7.7% p.a.. This ranged from -4.6% in the worst year up to 19.0% in the best year.
  • Based on its current income payout, this portfolio produces an income yield of 3.3% p.a..

The plan is thus to keep the 3.3% income and also sell capital gains worth about 1.2%, giving a total payout of 4.5%. The remaining 3.2% return (i.e. the difference between 4.5% and 7.7%) would then be reinvested to defeat inflation.
 
You are limited to £20k per year that you can put into an ISA. This makes it an excellent long-term savings vehicle, because (a) £20k per year per person is a lot(!) and (b) there is no capital gains tax and no tax on income, which means if you manage to get a 100% return on £20k over 10 years, none of this is taxed.
I agree with this bit. The rest depends on faith.

"You are old, Father William," the young man said,
"And your hair has become very white;
And yet you incessantly stand on your head-
Do you think, at your age, it is right?"

Back around 1993 I had a work colleague who was mad as a coot, played tennis with important people in Clapham.
What he was doing managing 336 Brixton Road I shall never know.

Anyway he, like you was into bond picking for a secure future.
Japan looked a brilliant investment back in 1989. He was complaining he'd lost more than half his savings in 1993.
And it just kept dropping. Japanese asset price bubble - Wikipedia

Be careful!
 
Back around 1993 I had a work colleague who was mad as a coot, played tennis with important people in Clapham.
What he was doing managing 336 Brixton Road I shall never know.

Anyway he, like you was into bond picking for a secure future.
Japan looked a brilliant investment back in 1989. He was complaining he'd lost more than half his savings in 1993.
And it just kept dropping. Japanese asset price bubble - Wikipedia

Be careful!
That isn't really a reason not to invest in ISAs or SIPPs... it is a good rationale for diversifying across markets and countries, and for drip feeding savings into investments.

You can easily get caught out by the hype of bubbles and flavour of the month trends.. often hyped by the investment media.

It's probably a good enough reason for focussing on global equity trackers or managed funds that are diversified.

Btw: I'm developing a theory that this thread becomes more active when markets are rising! :hmm:
 
That isn't really a reason not to invest in ISAs or SIPPs... it is a good rationale for diversifying across markets and countries, and for drip feeding savings into investments.
You can easily get caught out by the hype of bubbles and flavour of the month trends.. often hyped by the investment media.
It's probably a good enough reason for focussing on global equity trackers or managed funds that are diversified.
Btw: I'm developing a theory that this thread becomes more active when markets are rising! :hmm:
The thread has only been in existence for 2 years isn't it early to say?
I've noticed there are two types of posters
1. those who think equities are the best long term investment
2. those looking for a decent savings rate (like me)
Both could be right.
I'm surprised SIPPs are still going. But maybe not. You can have your gite in the south of France in a SIPP if you claim to be a travel writer can't you?
Give me Bob Beckman any day
9780330281782-uk.jpg
 
I've noticed there are two types of posters
1. those who think equities are the best long term investment
2. those looking for a decent savings rate (like me)
Both could be right.
Nothing wrong with that — ideally, you have both because you need instant access funds as well as long-term investments. I think the point is, though, know what your intent is and don’t mix up the two. If you’re saving for retirement or some other future goal then don’t keep it as cash.

For all your examples of crashes, the the way, I know that you won’t find any 10-year spell in history in which a savings account did better than a properly diversified equity portfolio. I doubt you’ll find many five-year spells either. Maybe the five years covering the first half of the Great Depression (but you do have to take account of dividend reinvestment). The equity market comprises the worldwide ability of corporations to make profit, and they manage this very reliably.
 
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Nothing wrong with that — ideally, you have both because you need instant access funds as well as long-term investments. I think the point is, though, know what your intent is and don’t mix up the two. If you’re saving for retirement or some other future goal then don’t keep it as cash.

For all your examples of crashes, the the way, I know that you won’t find any 10-year spell in history in which a savings account did better than a properly diversified equity portfolio. I doubt you’ll find many five-year spells either. Maybe the five years covering the first half of the Great Depression (but you do have to take account of dividend reinvestment). The equity market comprises the worldwide ability of corporations to make profit, and they manage this very reliably.

Naive question, but if your saving for retirement that why wouldnt you put it in a similar fund, but in a pension rather then an ISA?
 
There is different tax implication
ISA is taxed income going in (£20k p.a.) . Any income or gain once in the ISA is tax free and can be taken at will

SIPP you get the tax back when you pay into it (so you contribute out of pre-taxed income, incl. NI.). Income in taking money from the SIPP is taxed at your (then) prevailing rate. There are lifetime limit on how much you can effectively having in your SIPP, at ~£1m, they are surprisingly easy to hit over a lifetime of contributions. You can't, in normal circumstance, get the money out before your mid 50's
 
I can’t add to that excellent summary! (Except to say that there are also limits on how much you can pay into a pension per year, as well as a maximum lifetime allowance).
 
Thank you. Problems I'll never have then. :D
You could be surprised. Things have a habit of shifting

The interest rate allowance has effectively meant that most people would never worry about it, so far.
But imagine you move to a higher tax rate, and your allowance is therefore £500 (personal allowances have been frozen lately). A a time of rising interest rates
All of a sudden, that 20k you have is earning 5% and any excess will be taxed at your highest rate.

Or say you have a public sector defined benefit pension (lucky you) - that is valued for Life Time Allowance at 20* the projected pension, So your (very nice ) 45k pa pension, has eaten 900k of your £1m lifetime allowance. meaning you only have £100k of LTA for SIPPs (the value of the SIPP, not what you put into it)
 
You could be surprised. Things have a habit of shifting

The interest rate allowance has effectively meant that most people would never worry about it, so far.
But imagine you move to a higher tax rate, and your allowance is therefore £500 (personal allowances have been frozen lately). A a time of rising interest rates
All of a sudden, that 20k you have is earning 5% and any excess will be taxed at your highest rate.

Or say you have a public sector defined benefit pension (lucky you) - that is valued for Life Time Allowance at 20* the projected pension, So your (very nice ) 45k pa pension, has eaten 900k of your £1m lifetime allowance. meaning you only have £100k of LTA for SIPPs (the value of the SIPP, not what you put into it)
And if you have a public sector funds salary pension in a high inflation environment, you can find that it breaches the annual allowance as well surprisingly easily.
 
I saw several mentions of Vanguard on here. Apparently they are ceasing advisory services:
a slow start, Vanguard is now gaining real traction with its D2C platform in the UK. It has amassed 480,000 clients, with £3.5bn of net flows last year, according to a report by The Times. This is in addition to the steady upward trajectory of its LifeStrategy funds with IFAs, with its range now at more than £35bn of assets under management.

But this success was not been replicated by its advice service. As we revealed yesterday, clients on the service will be refunded their advice fees and will have the choice to either switch to the non-advised D2C service or move to an external adviser.

This does not affect the funds themselves - just the advisory service. Full article here (possibly requires registration) Why Vanguard failed to fix the UK advice gap
 
Thought I'd throw this here as it's not worth it's own thread, but might be of interest. You get a free £50 in a pension for opening a new one with pension bee (don't need to pay anything in) and then possibly a £50 Amazon voucher for switching it in 12 days (not tried that bit yet). Even if it the voucher bit doesn't work, that's £50 to go in my Vanguard when I'm done.

 
From memory, though, ISTR that PensionBee are very expensive for a pension provider. Enough to swallow that £50 within the first month. You should be able to get a pension for no more than a 0.5% fee, really.

Still, good to get £50 for nothing even without transferring anything!
 
From memory, though, ISTR that PensionBee are very expensive for a pension provider. Enough to swallow that £50 within the first month. You should be able to get a pension for no more than a 0.5% fee, really.

Still, good to get £50 for nothing even without transferring anything!

I'm quite happy with Vanguard, but seemed worth doing, especially if I get the extra £25 from Penfold and the £50 Amazon vouchers for the next bit.

Also inspired by that Snoop app, I've done an account switch to First Direct to get £175. Not my main account as I quite like Starling, but an old Nationwide one I've got a few personal direct debits going out off. I'll bung in a grand when I get paid to meet the criteria. Then probably keep the account till I see another good switching deal.
 
So... if one has a mortgage fix that expires in August, is there a reason to choose a deal for what happens after that now, or is it better to wait until closer to the time?
 
So... if one has a mortgage fix that expires in August, is there a reason to choose a deal for what happens after that now, or is it better to wait until closer to the time?
I suspect it does matter if if you’re going to shift providers, because the amount of admin now involved in giving out a mortgage is large and takes a while to complete. Last time, I started the process several months in advance and they still didn’t finish their paperwork in time for the expiry of my existing deal. On the other hand, if you’re sticking with the same provider then they can update your mortgage deal pretty much overnight (which is what I then did instead, with one day to go).
 
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