How are Team GB doing wrt the expected / optimistic medal tally?
- Thread starter mrs quoad
- Start date
QueenOfGoths
Fuck you Dave!
There is some info here
http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/dat...c-day-3-medals-compared-beijing?newsfeed=true
http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/dat...c-day-3-medals-compared-beijing?newsfeed=true
That's not too bad then. 3 medals compared to 2 at this stage last time.
Minnie_the_Minx
someinenhhanding menbag and me ah bollox
Well the synch swimming lost out, but then the gymnasts got one, and I doubt very much that was expected
QueenOfGoths
Fuck you Dave!
This article shows where UK Sport are hoping the medals will come from
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/ol...th-place-with-48-medals-across-12-sports.html
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/ol...th-place-with-48-medals-across-12-sports.html
belboid
Exasperated, not angry.
The womens swimming gold isnt expected until tomorrow. Diving was never going to be a gold either. Mens road, and now the womens time trial are golds down, but otherwise they're about on track.
Based on that report in the Telegraph showing UK Sport's expectations, shooting and judo have reached the upper limit of their expectations (1 medal).
Of the other events where we have won medals so far:
Gymnastics won 1 - expected 1 to 2
Canoe 2 - expected 3 to 4
Cycling 4 - expected 6 to 10
Equestrianism 1 - expected 3 to 4
Rowing 3 - expected 6
Swimming 2 - expected 5 to 7
So in the categories where we've won medals so far, we've won 15 compared to a minimum expectation of 24. Obviously still plenty of medals to be won in those categories and ignores other categories where they expected to win a medal and didn't.
Of the other events where we have won medals so far:
Gymnastics won 1 - expected 1 to 2
Canoe 2 - expected 3 to 4
Cycling 4 - expected 6 to 10
Equestrianism 1 - expected 3 to 4
Rowing 3 - expected 6
Swimming 2 - expected 5 to 7
So in the categories where we've won medals so far, we've won 15 compared to a minimum expectation of 24. Obviously still plenty of medals to be won in those categories and ignores other categories where they expected to win a medal and didn't.
Minnie_the_Minx
someinenhhanding menbag and me ah bollox
Would be interesting to see who they expected to get medals (ie. were the male gymnasts expected to?)
TheHoodedClaw
acknowledging ur soup leg
I thought the male gymnasts really, really weren't expected to? I guess the gymnastic expectation is for Beth Tweddle?
Minnie_the_Minx
someinenhhanding menbag and me ah bollox
Yeah, definitely not expected as far as I'm aware
But what about Beth Tweddle? What was she expected to get? An individual in bars or something?
TheHoodedClaw
acknowledging ur soup leg
Individual bars, and a shout at the floor (I think)
Minnie_the_Minx
someinenhhanding menbag and me ah bollox
If shouting at the floor is an Olympic event, there's hope for me yet.
I see from QueenOfGoth's link that
That's a bit of a cop out isn't it?
We hope for 48 medals, but we're not sure where they'll be got.
TheHoodedClaw
acknowledging ur soup leg
I doubt any official could say anything else, to be honest.
Ach, you're probably right. I just thought it sounded really wishy washy.
belboid
Exasperated, not angry.
looking at the guardian predictions - http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/blog/2012/jul/26/olympics-medals-gold-team-gb - Pendleton wasnt actually expected to get the team sprint gold, but there should have been another canoeing or two. The Judo a complete shocker, and UK Sport, bizarrely, didnt think the world number 1 would win the shooting thingy
It was just to state that they hoped to be more successful than Beijing where they won 47.
twistedAM
Left Of The Dial
Wouldn't worry too much about the cycling predictions. William Fotheringham picked them. He's got more of a clue than Liggett but not much.
We weren't favourites to win either team sprint with the bookies so one gold out of two aint bad
They have won 11 medals by day 6 compared to 16 last time and only 1 gold compared to 5 in Beijing.How are Australia doing?
Minnie_the_Minx
someinenhhanding menbag and me ah bollox
I wouldn't have thought so, which is why I'm confused about the whole 'x medals by day y' way of thinking. BBC has medals tables for this year and 2008 if anyone fancies comparing medals from those events that have taken place.
Why don't you post a link then?
Obviously the days and events are unlikely to match exactly but theyll be in a similar order/timescale so it gives an indication of comparability. For instance, the Australians have performed less well in swimming Han they did last time and that is clear from the stats.
it was just something on that Guardian page that had those details and I thought they were interesting to post now that we are 6 days in compared to 3 when this thread was started.
Just seen what I think you are referring to. Not sure that BBC medal table would be the best way to do a comparison, at least not until the events are over. The day by day approach is far simpler and close enough to be a reasonable tracker of comparable performance. It's all meaningless anyway.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/olympics/2012/medals/countries
Of course it's no use until the events are over. In fact it's not really a contructive exercise beyond being a bit of fun. But you can see where medals have been lost won if you're ever as bored as a dole-scrounging me.
