I've just been looking at the transport report. It's changed a bit from the previous one. They now acknowledge that LJ station is "busy".
They say there will only be 2-3 extra train journeys in the morning peak.
Look how they work it out though - they add up all the bus and train services, which apparently amount to around 50 buses and 8 trains, per hour. They predict 144 "additional AM peak" journeys.
So they divide that number - 144 - by about 60 and arrive at 2-3 extra passengers on each of those buses and trains. So they assume commuters are equally likely to get on a bus or a train, and equally likely to get on a bus/train going away from town as into town. The 8 train services include those going to Sutton rather than towards Blackfriars.
This seems obviously nonsense to me. Commuters are more likely to want to get on the train and far more likely to get onto trains heading north, but they make no attempt to allow for this. The real numbers of people trying to get on peak train services are much higher (never mind the fact that even 2 or 3 might well not be able to get on the trains).
If just half of those 144 extra journeys want to go by the train, that's something like 70 divided by 4 trains, which is just under twenty people trying to get on each peak service.
I hope Lambeth actually read this report critically as it seems disingenuous to me.
View attachment 69321